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Jacksonville is back from bye, but Oakland has the worst offense in the NFL, which is why Kansas City checks in at No. 1 in Athlon Sports’ Fantasy Football Defense/Special Teams Rankings for Week 12. The Chiefs are tied for third in the league in sacks (30) while the Raiders are last in total (276.5 ypg) and scoring (15.2 ppg) offense and tied for fourth in giveaways (20). It sure sounds like a recipe for good things from Kansas City’s DST this week. But don’t worry, we haven’t forgotten about the Jaguars. Jacksonville still leads the way in fantasy points allowed to opposing DSTs, which is why Indianapolis is a top-10 option even though the Colts gave up 502 yards (246 rushing) and 42 points to the Patriots last week.
Each week during the NFL season, we will rank enough players at each position to appease everyone from those in 8-team leagues to 16-team leagues, those that can start two QBs, two TEs, three RBs and four WRs. We cut out the rest, because if you're looking at who the 50th-best running back or the 17th-best kicker is for that week, you need more help than any Web site can give you.
2014 NFL Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings — Defense/Special Teams
Teams on bye: Carolina, Pittsburgh
|1||Kansas City Chiefs||at OAK (Thurs.)|
|2||Buffalo Bills||vs. NYJ (Detroit)|
|3||San Francisco 49ers||vs. WAS|
|4||Green Bay Packers||at MIN|
|5||Seattle Seahawks||vs. ARI|
|6||Arizona Cardinals||at SEA|
|7||Philadelphia Eagles||vs. TEN|
|8||Indianapolis Colts||vs. JAC|
|9||Denver Broncos||vs. MIA|
|10||Houston Texans||vs. CIN|
|11||New England Patriots||vs. DET|
|12||Baltimore Ravens||at NO (Mon.)|
|13||San Diego Chargers||vs. STL|
|14||Dallas Cowboys||at NYG|
|15||St. Louis Rams||at SD|
|16||Detroit Lions||at NE|
Rankings are based upon Athlon Sports' standard scoring system:
0 points allowed = 12 points
1-6 points allowed = 10 points
7-13 points allowed = 8 pts
14-20 points allowed = 6 points
21-27 points allowed = 2 pts
28+ points allowed = 0 points
Safeties = 2 points
Fumbles recovered = 2 points
Interceptions = 2 points
Sacks = 1 point
Defensive/Special Teams TDs = 6 points
Need more fantasy help? Visit www.FantasyRundown.com.
Green Bay’s offense and defense have both been on a roll lately, which is why Mason Crosby is near the top of Athlon Sports’ Fantasy Football Kicker Rankings for Week 12. The Packers have averaged more than 50 points per game over their last three, so it should be no surprise that Crosby has produced double-digit fantasy points in each. Points shouldn’t be that much of an issue for Green Bay this week against Minnesota, making Crosby a very appealing option. The only kickers we like better this week are Adam Vinatieri (at JAC) and Stephen Gostkowski (vs. DET). What’s one thing all three kickers have in common? They get to clean up after the NFL’s top three scoring offenses. Good gig to have.
Each week during the NFL season, we will rank enough players at each position to appease everyone from those in 8-team leagues to 16-team leagues, those that can start two QBs, two TEs, three RBs and four WRs. We cut out the rest, because if you're looking at who the 50th-best running back or the 17th-best kicker is for that week, you need more help than any Web site can give you.
2014 NFL Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings — Kickers
Teams on bye: Carolina, Pittsburgh
|1||Adam Vinatieri||IND||vs. JAC|
|2||Stephen Gostkowski||NE||vs. DET|
|3||Mason Crosby||GB||at MIN|
|4||Cody Parkey||PHI||vs. TEN|
|5||Dan Bailey||DAL||at NYG|
|6||Justin Tucker||BAL||at NO (Mon.)|
|7||Phil Dawson||SF||vs. WAS|
|8||Steven Hauschka||SEA||vs. ARI|
|9||Cairo Santos||KC||at OAK (Thurs.)|
|10||Caleb Sturgis||MIA||at DEN|
|11||Chandler Catanzaro||ARI||at SEA|
|12||Randy Bullock||HOU||vs. CIN|
|13||Greg Zuerlein||STL||at SD|
|14||Dan Carpenter||BUF||vs. NYJ (Detroit)|
|15||Brandon McManus||DEN||vs. MIA|
|16||Robbie Gould||CHI||vs. TB|
Rankings are based upon Athlon Sports' standard scoring system:
PATs = 1 point
39 yards and under = 3 points
40-49 yards = 4 points
50-59 yards = 5 points
60+ yards = 6 points
The SEC is light on must-see games for Week 13, but the Missouri-Tennessee matchup in Knoxville has plenty of intrigue and importance in the overall league picture. The Tigers need two victories to claim the East Division once again, while the Volunteers need one more win to get bowl eligible in coach Butch Jones’ second year.
Both teams have been playing at their best over the last few weeks. Missouri has a four-game winning streak, which started after a 34-0 loss to Georgia on Oct. 11. The Tigers won at Texas A&M last Saturday and have allowed more than 14 points only once during this four-game streak. Tennessee has a two-game winning streak, but Jones’ team has been playing better since the insertion of sophomore Joshua Dobbs into the lineup. The Volunteers knocked off South Carolina in overtime (45-42) on Nov. 1 and then defeated Kentucky in commanding fashion (50-16) in Knoxville last Saturday.
Standout Tennessee linebacker A.J. Johnson and defensive back Michael Williams are not expected to play due to an suspension resulting from an off-field incident. Johnson is one of the top defenders in the SEC and is the team’s top tackler (101).
These two teams have only played twice in previous years. Missouri owns a 2-0 edge over Tennessee, winning 31-3 last year and 51-48 in 2012.
Missouri-Tennessee is the Talk Back game of the week. Visit att.com/TalkBack to watch the game with former Missouri receiver Justin Gage and former Tennessee receiver Joey Kent. Hop in and ask a question.
Missouri at Tennessee
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (Saturday)
TV Channel: ESPN
Spread: Tennessee -3.5
Missouri’s Key to Victory: Balance on Offense
Missouri quarterback Maty Mauk was pegged by some as a potential All-SEC candidate in 2014. The sophomore has experienced his share of ups and downs this year but has 19 touchdowns to 10 interceptions and is coming off his best performance (252 yards, 57.5%) in a SEC game this year. Five of Mauk’s 10 interceptions have come in losses, so it’s critical the sophomore limits his mistakes against a Tennessee defense that’s forced 19 turnovers through 10 games. In last week’s victory against Texas A&M, Missouri posted a season high of 587 total yards on offense and averaged 6.6 yards per play. The Tigers were balanced in their offensive approach, with running back Russell Hansbrough nearly eclipsing the 200-yard plateau (199). Mauk is still developing in his first year under center and should have an infusion of confidence after a good showing against the Aggies last Saturday. Tennessee’s secondary has allowed only eight passing scores in six conference games this year and opposing quarterbacks are completing just 53.5 percent of their throws (SEC-only games). The Volunteers have struggled to stop the run in conference action (191.7 ypg), and that’s a matchup Missouri should look to exploit after Hansbrough’s game against Texas A&M. In a tough road environment, it’s not easy to ask Mauk to shoulder all of the offensive load. That’s why the Tigers need to establish balance and let Hansbrough have his share of touches against a struggling run defense.
Tennessee’s Key to Victory: Protect QB Joshua Dobbs
Sophomore Joshua Dobbs has been on fire since ditching his redshirt against Alabama. He finished 19 of 32 for 192 yards and two scores against the Crimson Tide and threw for 301 yards and two touchdowns, while rushing for 166 yards and three scores against South Carolina. In last week’s 50-16 win over Kentucky, Dobbs added 48 yards on the ground and completed 19 of 27 passes for 297 yards and three scores. The sophomore has clearly progressed as a quarterback since the end of 2013, but Missouri’s defense should provide a stiff test on Saturday night. The Tigers are tied with Alabama in SEC games by holding opponents to just 4.2 yards per play – the best mark in the SEC. Led by defensive ends Shane Ray and Markus Golden, the Tigers rank second with 32 sacks in 10 games. With an active pass rush, the secondary doesn’t have to cover for long, but this unit will have talented sophomore Aarion Penton back in the lineup after a one-game suspension due to an off-field incident. Tennessee’s offensive line is the biggest weakness on an offense that is filled with talent at running back and receiver, along with an emerging star at quarterback. Missouri’s pass rush will look to keep Dobbs in the pocket and not allow the sophomore to make plays with his legs on the outside. Will the Tigers get to Dobbs? Or can the sophomore escape the rush and continue his hot play of recent weeks?
Just how light is the slate in the SEC this Saturday? Only three games feature matchups between two conference opponents. The rest are one-sided non-conference affairs. That’s why the spotlight in the SEC should be on this game. Tennessee and Missouri seem to be playing their best ball of the season at the right time, and there’s plenty at stake. The Tigers seem to be finding the right mix on offense, and their pass rush should find a way to get to Tennessee quarterback Joshua Dobbs. It’s tough to pick a winner considering how well the Volunteers have played over the last few weeks, but Missouri has the edge on defense and seems to be finding the right answers on offense. Expect a close game, with the Tigers winning late in the fourth quarter.
Prediction: Missouri 27, Tennessee 24
Louisville and Notre Dame both enter Week 13 at 7-3, and each program still has plenty left at stake despite sporting a three-loss resume. The Orange Bowl is a possibility for both programs, with the Cardinals having a better shot at a trip to Miami than the Fighting Irish. In order for Louisville to reach the Orange Bowl, coach Bobby Petrino’s team needs to win out and have Georgia Tech lose its finale against Georgia. There are a couple of other dominoes that needs to fall, but a 9-3 Louisville team could be the ACC’s highest-ranked team outside of Florida State.
Notre Dame has lost two in a row and three out of its last four matchups. Offense certainly hasn’t been a problem for the Fighting Irish during that span, as coach Brian Kelly’s team has scored at least 31 points in four out of the last five games. However, turnovers and a struggling defense have been problematic for the Fighting Irish. Louisville lost to Florida State 42-31 on Oct. 30, but the Cardinals rebounded by defeating Boston College 38-19 on Nov. 8.
This will be the first meeting between Louisville and Notre Dame.
Louisville at Notre Dame
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (Saturday)
TV Channel: NBC
Spread: Notre Dame -3
Louisville’s Key to Victory: Get the Ball to DeVante Parker and Michael Dyer
Both teams enter this matchup with some uncertainty under center. Louisville lost quarterback Will Gardner to a season-ending knee injury against Boston College, which elevates true freshman Reggie Bonnafon into the starting lineup. Bonnafon already has three starts under his belt this year and has completed 51 of 92 passes for 662 yards and four scores. The true freshman also has 138 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. Bonnafon should see plenty of opportunities to exploit a Notre Dame defense that has struggled in recent weeks. The Fighting Irish did not allow an opponent to score more than 17 points in each of their first five games. However, Notre Dame’s defense has allowed its last five opponents to average at least 5.6 yards per play, and this unit allowed 40 in a loss to Northwestern, 55 in a loss to Arizona State and 39 in a victory over Navy. While Bonnafon’s performance in a road tough environment will be under the spotlight, his supporting cast should chip in plenty of help. Running back Michael Dyer faces a rush defense allowing 150.6 yards per game. Receiver DeVante Parker has recorded 490 receiving yards since returning from a foot injury against NC State. Petrino and coordinator Garrick McGee can ease Bonnafon into this game with a heavy dose of Dyer and play-action passes downfield to Parker. And keep an eye on Bonnafon’s mobility. The true freshman’s mobility could be an underrated part of Louisville’s offense on Saturday.
Notre Dame’s Key to Victory: Limit the Turnovers
The Fighting Irish’s outlook on Saturday could be as simple as winning the turnover battle. Coach Brian Kelly’s team has recorded a negative turnover margin in four out of the last seven games, including a -4 mark against Arizona State. Notre Dame also had a costly fumble in the final minutes against Northwestern last Saturday. Quarterback Everett Golson is dealing with a sprained shoulder but is expected to play. Golson is to blame for some of the Fighting Irish’s problems with turnovers, as the junior has tossed 12 picks in 2014. The rash of turnovers this season has to be a major concern for Kelly against Louisville’s defense, which leads the ACC with 25 takeaways this year. Safety Gerod Holliman has intercepted 13 passes in 10 games and has been one of the nation’s top defenders through the first 12 weeks of the year. Golson has an array of options at receiver to choose from, including William Fuller (61 receptions, 13 TDs), Corey Robinson (13.7 ypc, 34 rec.) and running back Tarean Folston (5.1 ypc, 668 yards) is also capable of churning out 100 yards on the ground. Louisville should have linebacker/defensive end Lorenzo Mauldin back on the field after the standout senior missed the victory over Boston College due to a hamstring injury, which is a boost to the defense’s pass rush and overall depth in the front seven. Notre Dame’s offense is one of the best Louisville has played this year, and if Golson can limit his mistakes, the Fighting Irish should be able to move the ball on a unit that limits opponents to just 4.4 yards per play.
Week 13 is full of matchups that are difficult to evaluate. With rivalry games coming in Week 14, teams may be looking ahead to next week, and there are a lot of even matchups on the schedule. The Louisville-Notre Dame meeting in South Bend fits that mold. These two teams are fairly even, and there’s uncertainty for both offenses with the quarterback position. If the Cardinals continue to force turnovers and Bonnafon doesn’t many any big mistakes, Louisville has a good shot to leave South Bend with a victory. Golson's health is a major concern for coach Brian Kelly, but Notre Dame's biggest issue remains turnovers. Will the Fighting Irish avoid a loss due to its own mistakes? The guess here is Notre Dame bounces back after disappointing loss to Northwestern and edges the Cardinals for a 27-24 victory.
Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Louisville 24
Arkansas and Ole Miss each have two regular season games remaining, and there’s plenty at stake for both programs. The Rebels still have faint SEC West title hopes if they win their last two games and Auburn defeats Alabama in the Iron Bowl. The Razorbacks finally earned a win in SEC play under second-year coach Bret Bielema with a 17-0 victory over LSU last Saturday. Arkansas needs one more victory to get bowl eligible and has two winnable games left on the schedule.
Ole Miss is coming off a bye week after an easy 48-0 win over Presbyterian. Prior to the victory over the Blue Hose, the Rebels played six consecutive games against tough competition, including matchups against LSU (in Baton Rouge), Auburn, Alabama and Texas A&M. Arkansas’ win over LSU last week came after a timely bye on Nov. 8.
Ole Miss owns a 31-28-1 series edge against Arkansas. The Rebels have won the last two meetings against the Razorbacks. The previous four matchups between these two teams have been relatively close, including a three-point victory by Ole Miss in 2012 and a five-point win by Arkansas in 2011.
Ole Miss at Arkansas
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV Channel: CBS
Spread: Ole Miss -3.5
Arkansas’ Key to Victory: Win the Turnover Battle
Ole Miss ranks second in the SEC with a +13 turnover margin. The Rebels are +10 in SEC-only games, but coach Hugh Freeze’s team was -1 against Auburn. There are few glaring holes in the Ole Miss roster, and with Arkansas still developing its passing offense, coach Bret Bielema’s team will need a few breaks. The Razorbacks are even in turnover margin this year but has forced only 14 in 10 games. The defense needs to force at least two turnovers to win on Saturday, especially if they can put the offense in position to take advantage of short fields for scores. There’s a small margin for error for Arkansas on Saturday. The Razorbacks will be able to hit a few big plays on the ground, but can their passing attack deliver? And when Ole Miss has the ball, can the defense force quarterback Bo Wallace into a few mistakes?
Ole Miss’ Key to Victory: Stop the Run
Arkansas has been better with its passing attack in 2014 than it was last year. However, make no mistake: This offense is still a run-first group behind a massive offensive line and running backs Jonathan Williams and Alex Collins. The Razorbacks rank fourth in the SEC with 232.9 rushing yards per game, but that number dips to 151.8 per contest in SEC-only matchups. Collins and Williams could find running room limited against an Ole Miss defense that has limited SEC opponents to 140.2 yards per game in 2014. The Rebels have also limited conference opponents to five rushing scores in six games. The late bye week should help the Ole Miss defense, which was banged up through the brutal midseason SEC schedule. Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen may need to throw early (and have success) to prevent the Rebels from stacking too many defenders in the box. Allen has tossed only five interceptions this year and has raised his completion percentage from 49.6 (2013) to 58 percent. The junior has made strides as a passer, but Arkansas still needs to develop more options at receiver. Expect Ole Miss to gameplan to put Allen in several third-and-long situations.
There’s no doubt Arkansas is trending in the right direction. And the Razorbacks are hungry to get to a bowl, which makes Saturday’s matchup a dangerous one for an Ole Miss team that’s still alive in the West Division. The Rebels also have to be cautious about a lookahead factor. With a huge game against Mississippi State next week, Ole Miss can’t afford to look past an improving Arkansas team. Despite the Razorbacks picking up a win in SEC play last week, the Rebels are the better team and will find a way to win and keep their title hopes alive.
Prediction: Ole Miss 27, Arkansas 20
I was 3-4 with top picks and 3-3 in trendy picks last week and it has dropped me below .500 for the first time all season. And I’m not sure where to go this weekend to make up for it.
You’ll notice one of two themes this weekend in college football. A) Huge point spreads in top 25 mismatches and B) Impossibly difficult to predict rivalry games with heavy title implications. This might be a good week to sit on the bench.
So I'm going to try the underdogs...
Last Week: 6-7
Missouri (+4) at Tennessee
The Tigers are playing for a trip to the SEC Championship Game and Tennessee is missing its two most important leaders on defense (A.J. Johnson, Brian Randolph for the first half). Mizzou has won nine straight true road games outright and should be able to win the line of scrimmage battle on both sides. Prediction: Missouri +4
Ole Miss (-3) at Arkansas
The Rebels are a much more balanced offensive team than LSU and should be able to take advantage of the Hogs' defensive issues more so than the Tigers. Ole Miss is 6-3-1 against the number this year and Arkansas could be exhaling after finally winning an SEC game under Bret Bielema. Prediction: Ole Miss -3
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Maryland (+5.5) at Michigan
Laying 5.5 points means Michigan must score six to win and that has been easier said than done this year. The Wolverines scored 10 points against Northwestern, 11 against Michigan State and 18 against Penn State in three of the last four games. Look for a low-scoring affair in Ann Arbor. Prediction: Maryland +5.5
Boston College (+19.5) at Florida St
This was Florida State’s toughest game of the year last fall and while the game isn’t in Chestnut Hill and isn’t featuring Andre Williams, the points are still too much to pass up. The Noles don’t blow people out and are 3-7 against the spread this season. Prediction: Boston College +19.5
Stanford (-6) at Cal
Cal is 7-3 against the spread and is playing its archrival at home with a shot at going to a bowl game. The Bears need no more motivation than that. Stanford struggles to score and has struggled to cover (4-6 ATS this year). Take Cal to cover and possibly win outright. Prediction: Cal +6
Air Force (+5.5) at San Diego St
The Falcons have won four in a row, seven of their last eight overall and are posting big numbers on offense in the process (37.8 ppg in last four). The Aztecs have lost two of their last three and AFA could win outright. Prediction: Air Force +5.5
W. Michigan (+1) at C. Michigan
This is a pure trend pick as WMU is leading the nation with a 9-1 record against the spread. Central has a decent defense but is 5-6 against the spread this year and I’m not going against the trend. Play with caution. Prediction: W. Michigan +1
Top 25 Picks ATS:
|Top 25||Braden Gall||Mitch Light||David Fox||Steven Lassan|
|Colorado (+32.5) at Oregon|
|B. College (+19) at Florida St|
|Vanderbilt (+30) at Miss. St|
|Indiana (+34.5) at Ohio St|
|Okla. St (+28.5) at Baylor|
|Ole Miss (-3) at Arkansas|
|USC (+3.5) at UCLA|
|Rutgers (+22) at Mich. St|
|Wash. St (+16) at Ariz. St|
|Arizona (+4) at Utah|
|Wisconsin (-10) at Iowa|
|Missouri (+4) at Tennessee|
|Kansas (+25) at Okla.|
|Minnesota (+10) at Nebraska|
|Georgia St (+40.5) at Clemson|
|Louisville (+3) at Notre Dame|
Nebraska and Minnesota head into Week 13 needing a victory to keep their Big Ten West Division title hopes alive. The Cornhuskers lost to Wisconsin 59-24 in a record-setting performance by running back Melvin Gordon, while the Golden Gophers fell short in their upset bid over Ohio State (31-24).
At 5-1 in conference play, Wisconsin is the clear favorite in the West Division. However, the Cornhuskers and Golden Gophers aren’t out of the title mix, but a win is a necessity on Saturday to keep alive in the West.
Minnesota owns a 30-22-2 series edge over Nebraska. The Golden Gophers won last year’s meeting in Minneapolis by 11 (34-23). Although Minnesota owns an edge in the overall series, Nebraska is 2-1 against the Golden Gophers since joining the Big Ten.
Minnesota at Nebraska
Kickoff: Noon ET (Saturday)
TV Channel: ESPN
Spread: Nebraska -10
Minnesota’s Key to Victory: The Passing Game – Offense and Defense
In Minnesota’s three losses this year, quarterback Mitch Leidner is 31 of 75 for 476 yards. He’s also tossed six interceptions in defeats and only one score. For the Golden Gophers to win in Lincoln, Leidner needs to be more efficient and do a better job of limiting his mistakes. Nebraska will stack the box to prevent running back David Cobb from having a huge day, which leaves Leidner with some one-on-one matchups on the outside that he can exploit. In addition to Leidner, Minnesota’s pass defense will be critical on Saturday. The Golden Gophers’ secondary has intercepted 13 passes this year (tied for third in the Big Ten) and is playing against a quarterback (Tommy Armstrong) that has tossed seven picks in Big Ten games. Limiting running back Ameer Abdullah on the ground, forcing Armstrong to throw and then making a play or two for turnovers would significantly help the Minnesota upset odds.
Nebraska’s Key to Victory: Stop the Run
Nebraska’s No. 1 priority on Saturday is to fix the issues that allowed Wisconsin to rush for 581 yards on 53 attempts last week. Was the performance against the Badgers a one-week speed bump or a sign of things to come? Prior to last week’s game, the Cornhuskers allowed two Big Ten opponents to rush for at least 143 yards but limited rushers to 3.7 yards per carry for the season. But after playing Wisconsin, Nebraska’s season total ranks 11th (conference-only games) against the run. Minnesota’s David Cobb isn’t on the Heisman radar like Melvin Gordon, but the senior is capable of recording 150-175 yards. In 10 games this year, Cobb has 1,350 yards on 254 attempts. The senior has rushed for at least 118 yards in each of his last three games, including 194 yards against Purdue and 145 against Ohio State.
These two teams are very similar in terms of style and on the stat sheet this year. Both teams prefer to establish their ground attacks, with All-Big Ten running backs leading the way. Nebraska’s Ameer Abdullah has only 70 yards in his last two games, but he should eclipse the 100-yard mark against a Minnesota defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry in conference play. After Melvin Gordon gashed Nebraska last Saturday, the Cornhuskers should be motivated to stop Minnesota’s David Cobb – or Cobb could have a huge effort against a defense struggling with confidence right now. Even though these two teams are similar, the edge in talent goes to Nebraska. And it certainly doesn’t hurt the Cornhuskers have more of a threat in the passing attack and will be at home on Saturday.
Prediction: Nebraska 31, Minnesota 20
A running back setting himself apart from others in Wisconsin history takes a monumental feat.
The Badgers have the all-time leading rusher (Ron Dayne), career rushing touchdown leader (Montee Ball, who is also tied for the single-season record) and now the single-game rushing leader (Melvin Gordon).
Gordon’s 408 rushing yards against Nebraska last week, though, puts him in reach of the biggest prize for any running back, much less a Wisconsin running back — Barry Sanders’ single-season rushing record.
Sanders rushed for 2,628 yards in 11 games in 1988 for Oklahoma State, a mark that’s been seriously challenged only once since then. UCF’s Kevin Smith came 61 yards short of tying Sanders in 2007.
To put Gordon’s season in perspective, only four running backs have come within 500 yards of Sanders’ record: Smith in 2007, Iowa State’s Troy Davis by 443 yards in 1986, Boston College’s Andre Williams by 451 yards last season, and TCU’s LaDainian Tomlinson by 470 yards in 2000.
Before we delve deeper into Gordon’s shot at Sanders’ record, consider this: In 1988, the record for single-season passing in 1988 belonged to BYU’s Jim McMahon (4,571 yards in 1980). That mark has been exceeded 22 times since.
Back to Gordon: The Badgers running back sits at 1,909 rushing yards through 10 games and could play as many as 14 games if the Badgers clinch a trip to the Big Ten title game Saturday.
While Gordon won’t match Sanders’ mark of 238.9 rushing yards per game, he does have a chance to catch Sanders in a couple of other ways. And perhaps what’s most remarkable, Gordon could do it by rushing below his own season average.
Here’s a look at the records in Gordon’s sights in the final three or four games:
• Counting a Big Ten title game and a bowl, Gordon would need to rush for 720 yards in the final four games to pass Sanders. That’s an average of 180 yards per game. Gordon averages 190.9.
• Let’s say Wisconsin loses each of its last two games and misses the Big Ten title game. Gordon would need to average 240 yards in games against Minnesota and Iowa and in the bowl game. He’s exceeded that total three times this season.
• But if we’re going to say it's possible Gordon could average 240 yards in three games, what if those three games include the Big Ten title game? That would mean Gordon has a chance to break Sanders’ record before the bowl game — and before the Heisman voting. Since Ron Dayne in 1999, only two running backs have won the Heisman (Mark Ingram in 2009 and Reggie Bush in 2005).
• While Sanders’ rushing yards per game average is out of reach, Gordon can better Sanders in the per-play department. Sanders holds the record for backs with more than 280 carries with 7.64 yards per attempt. Gordon averages 8.56 yards per carry on 223 attempts. That would surpass Nebraska running back Mike Rozier’s record of 7.81 yards per carry for backs with at least 215 attempts.
• And as ESPN’s Brett Edgerton notes, Gordon could beat Sanders to the 2,000-yard mark.
If @Melvingordon25 can rush for his next 91 yards in fewer than 28 carries, he'll be the quickest ever to reach 2,000 yards.— Brett Edgerton (@EditorEdge) November 20, 2014
• So what about those Big Ten marks? Dayne holds the Big Ten record for single-season rushing with 2,109 yards in 1996. If Gordon’s season averages hold up, he’ll break that record sometime in the first half of the regular-season finale against Minnesota.
• Moreover, Gordon might have the Big Ten’s single-season rushing yards per game record all but wrapped up. Gordon, at 190.9 yards per game, is already well ahead of the record set by Michigan State’s Lorenzo White in 1985 (173.5).
NBA Commissioner Adam Silver hasn’t been on the job for a year yet, but he’s already made a strong impression.
Most of that is due to his swift, judicial action in regards to the Donald Sterling scandal. His lifetime ban of Sterling branded Silver as a man of conviction, and now he’s extending that reputation with his harsh penalizing of Jeff Taylor, the Charlotte Hornets forward who was found guilty, last month, of misdemeanor domestic violence assault and malicious destruction of hotel property. Taylor confessed to the crimes in court by pleading guilty.
Silver hit Taylor with a 24-game, no-pay suspension for his behavior. In a press release, Silver described his decision thusly: "This suspension is necessary to protect the interests of the NBA and the public's confidence in it. Mr. Taylor's conduct violates applicable law and, in my opinion, does not conform to standards of morality and is prejudicial and detrimental to the NBA.”
The NBA, as you likely know, is not the sport most plagued by the issue of domestic violence, Ray Rice and others have made stretches of the 2014 NFL season almost unpalatable with the unsavory details of abuse. Mr. Taylor, unlike Rice, is not terribly important to his team, or to his league’s image. He’s a relative unknown, and it’s worth wondering whether the Commish would bring such a steep punishment upon someone who the common fan has actually heard of before. Such an occurrence would actually do damage to the sport’s image; hitting Taylor hard, to the contrary, is a way of making highly attentive fans aware that Silver means business. But those outside the hard core of NBA followers probably won’t ever hear about this event.
Silver hasn’t done anything to suggest he’s anything less than a progressive moral warrior, yet. His early record with touchy issues has actually been quite laudable. But his real P.R. test will come when he has to make a choice about one of the more beloved faces of his game — not an already reviled character like Sterling, or an anonymous one like Taylor.
Information from AP reports was used here.
— John Wilmes
One of the few places Scooby Wright will find his given name is on his high school diploma.
So ingrained is the nickname Scooby that when he was announced at his graduation ceremony at Cardinal Newman in Santa Rosa, Calif., many of his friends were taken aback to see him rise when “Phillip Wright III” was called to receive his diploma.
“And these were friends from fourth or fifth grade,” Wright told Athlon Sports.
Wright almost never goes by the name Phillip. Not even his parents — even when frustrated or trying to get his attention — use his full name.
He’s had his nickname since he was a baby when his father called his son his “little Scooby Doo.”
By season’s end, he’ll be the first Scooby to earn All-Pac-12 honors and perhaps other awards. Earlier this week, Wright was named a finalist for the Nagurski and Lombardi awards.
Wright ranks first nationally in tackles for a loss per game (2.2), third in sacks per game (1.2), fourth in tackles per game (11.8) and tied for first in forced fumbles (five).
With numbers like that, Wright may be on the verge of rare rise from recruiting obscurity to national prominence.
If Wright is a consensus All-American this season, he’ll be the sixth defensive freshman or sophomore since 2009 to earn that honor.
The others on the list are a who’s who of college and NFL stars: South Carolina’s Jadeveon Clowney, LSU’s Tyrann Mathieu, Georgia’s Jarvis Jones, Boston College’s Luke Kuechly and Texas’ Earl Thomas.
If Wright joins that group, he’ll complete a meteoric two-year rise. He wears the Scooby nickname with pride but also his recruiting rating. On Twitter, Wright is @TwoStarScoob.
Though he’ll be decorated at the end of his sophomore college season, Wright nearly finished his junior high school season without a scholarship offer. He participated in camps but received only the cursory two-star rating by the recruiting services.
“He kind of was baffled why he wasn’t being recruited more,” Cardinal Newman coach Paul Cronin said. “There was one coach who said, ‘Hey, go check out Sacramento State or check out UC Davis.’ Those are good schools, but it was an insult to him because he thought he was better than the guys they were recruiting.”
The longtime coach at Cardinal Newman, Cronin remembers Wright around the school for several years before he was a freshman. Wright’s father is the softball coach at Santa Rosa Junior College, and his sister, six years older, played college softball at Illinois.
Confidence was never an issue for Wright, as he promised as a freshman that he’d be a Division I linebacker.
That was tested, though, in his junior year. His classmates in other sports were starting to receive scholarship offers, but Wright was not among them.
Cardinal Newman was not a football hotbed, so recruiters weren’t in the area consistently. Before Wright, the last alum to play high school football at a high level was offensive lineman Al Netter, who went to Northwestern and now plays for the San Francisco 49ers.
Though he was a productive high school player, Wright didn’t exactly look the part. Cronin estimates Wright weighed about 195-205 pounds at the time. His recruiting profiles listed him at 6-1, 225 pounds. As a junior, he barely had a 30-inch vertical. By the time he was a senior, that improved to 38 inches.
His Arizona profile lists him now at 246 pounds.
“Everyone always questioned my athleticism,” Wright said. “(But) I went to the Nike training camp with supposedly the best guys in the West Coast. I went and competed with the best of them and stood out but never really heard anything back.”
Wright was so far removed from recruiting that when the first offer came, he was nowhere to be found. While Wright was “probably at the beach that day,” Cronin was the first to learn that Arizona stumbled upon his highlights and couldn’t let him slip away.
The first contact came at the end of his junior year when he spoke to then-Arizona assistant Tony Gibson, who is now defensive coordinator at West Virginia.
“The first time I talked to them was when coach Gibson said, ‘we’re going to offer you,’” Wright said.
The scholarship offer wasn’t without risk, though. As happens in recruiting, secrets don’t stay secret for long. Once reports of an Arizona offer hit recruiting news sites, other schools might have taken a closer look — and not just Sacramento State and UC Davis.
“I thought this guy looks like a really good player,” Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez said. “We thought, if we offer him, it’s going to bring attention to him and we’re going to have to fight a bunch of folks.”
Other schools started to pay attention, but Arizona made sure Wright didn’t feel forgotten. And Wright didn’t forget that out of the hundreds of highlights he sent, Arizona was one of the few to respond and the only one that didn’t hedge.
“Other schools said we’ll get back to you or send us film from your senior year,” Wright said. “But there was none of that with Arizona. They said we’re going to offer you now. We want you.”
The flyer on Wright paid quick dividends for Arizona. He started as freshman, picking up 83 tackles and 9.5 tackles for a loss and earning Athlon Sports second-team Freshman All-America honors.
If any school wishes it would have pounced on Wright early, it’s probably Oregon. Anything that would have kept Wright out of an Arizona uniform.
In Oregon’s two losses to Arizona in the last two seasons, Wright has been the pivotal player. Ducks quarterback Marcus Mariota has been one of the most sure-handed quarterbacks in the country the last two seasons, but Wright has plucked two turnovers in two seasons from the Heisman contender.
Last season, Wright intercepted a Mariota pass, plucking the ball out of the air after teammate Shaq Richardson, falling out of bounds, deflected the ball to keep it in play. The first-quarter interception set the tone as Arizona upset the fifth-ranked Ducks 42-16.
In a Thursday night game on Oct. 2, Wright sacked Mariota, stripped the ball and recovered the fumble as Oregon drove down the field for the game-tying score. Arizona upset the No. 2 Ducks 31-24.
Wright, who two years earlier had gone ignored by colleges, couldn’t go to the student rec center the following Saturday without being noticed by other students.
“Once he got on campus, we found that he could handle a lot physically and mentally,” Rodriguez said. “He’s just a football player whether you put him at defensive end or linebacker. We could put him at fullback because he’s great there, too.”
For some teams, it’s always about next year and it’s never too early to think about the next draft. It’s not a position they particularly want to be in. It’s just the reality of where they are.
And for a handful of NFL teams, that’s the reality as the league steamrolls toward Week 12. The playoff chase is over. The race for the first overall draft pick is now all that matters to them.
So with that in mind, here’s a look at the bottom five teams in the NFL standings – the teams with the best chance at the golden ticket in the 2015 draft. It’s going to be hard to beat out the winless Oakland Raiders. But hey, you never know …
1. Oakland Raiders (0-10)
Owners of the worst offense in the NFL and scoring at a paltry clip of 15.2 points per game, they’re not a threat to beat anybody. Worse for them, five of their last six games are against playoff contenders, and the sixth is against the rapidly improving St. Louis Rams. It’s always hard to project an 0-16 record, but 1-15 certainly seems to be well within their sights.
Needs: Well, they don’t need a quarterback since they just drafted Derek Carr in the first round, which puts them in great position to trade the pick to whomever wants Oregon QB Marcus Mariota. They could use a pass rusher (USC DE Leonard Williams would be a possible pick). It might be a reach in the Top 5 to get the receiver help they need, though.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9)
The last few years they’ve seemed to live within range of the No. 1 pick. They are starting to assemble some talent, though. QB Blake Bortles looks like their future and they have talent at receiver (Allen Robinson) and (Denard Robinson). The schedule isn’t terrible down the stretch and if they come together quickly they have a shot to win a game or two, but will not likely fall out of the Top 5.
Needs: If they end up at the top they’re another team that could trade down and benefit from other teams’ desire for Mariota or Florida State QB Jameis Winston. What they need more than anything is help along the offensive line. Maybe Texas A&M’s Cedric Ogbuehi or Iowa’s Brandon Scherff. If they drop down far enough a CB could be in play.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8)
If the return of QB Josh McCown to a starting role gives them the lift they’re expecting, they might find themselves with a couple of unwanted wins, too. But if they can somehow sit right around 3, they could be in prime position either for the top pick or for a reasonably priced trade-up. Their best chances for wins are on the road, at Chicago and at Carolina, and neither one will be easy for this battered team.
Needs: They may be desperate to be in the Mariota/Winston range because McCown is nothing more than a stop-gap and it’s clear that new coach Lovie Smith doesn’t view Mike Glennon as his quarterback of the future. Yes, they could use help on both lines too, but without a quarterback they’ve got nothing. So they need to get to the 1 or 2 pick or be prepared to move up.
4. Tennessee Titans (2-8)
The Titans hang in a lot of games, which always makes them a threat to win. Worse for them – if getting a top pick is the goal – they have games remaining against the Giants, Jets and Jaguars. Those three alone might be enough to get them out of the race, and maybe out of the Top 5. And if QB Zach Mettenberger becomes more than they expected, they could fall even farther than that.
Needs: Well, if Mettenberger isn’t their long-term answer – and there’s no indication that the end of this season is anything more than a big audition for him – then quarterback becomes their biggest need and Mariota certainly could be in play. Maybe Winston, too. If they slip, though, they certainly need some help on defense, which puts the pass rushers in play – either an end or an LB like Clemson’s Vic Beasley. Florida State CB P.J. Williams would figure to be in play if they fall closer to pick No. 10.
5. New York Jets (2-8)
They got a surprising boost last week when they beat the Steelers and they have a few winnable games down the stretch (two vs. Miami, at Buffalo, at Minnesota, at Tennessee). Plus, there’s always the possibility this team will fight for coach Rex Ryan, who is probably on his way out regardless. The point is, for all the Jets fans counting on a Top 5 draft pick, don’t rule out an unwanted late-season run.
Needs: They benched Geno Smith, so it’s safe to assume they’re not sold on him as their future, which means that if they land in the Top 5 then Mariota has to be in play. Winston is a complicated case, though, because of all his off-field baggage. That won’t play well in New York for a team that really needs to find a way to be distraction free. If they don’t go quarterback they’d be crazy if they don’t draft an offensive lineman or a cornerback, which besides quarterback might be the two biggest of their many glaring needs.
—By Ralph Vacchiano
Making an impression as an NBA rookie is a tall task. The game gets considerably more complicated when you make the jump from college to the pros, and most first-year players — even if they’re talented — flounder for a while as they try to grasp the intricacies of NBA playbooks and psyches.
But that doesn’t mean it’s impossible to wow the roundball world in a debut season. Magic Johnson, for instance, was the Finals MVP as he led his Los Angeles Lakers to a title alongside Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as a rookie. And the San Antonio Spurs’ still-active legend Tim Duncan arrived to the NBA as his team’s best player in 1997-98. It was only one season later that he led his team to their first of many championships as they defeated the New York Knicks in the 1999 NBA Finals.
We’re not going to hold the new crop of NBA first-timers up to the lofty standards set by Duncan, Magic, and the rest of the game’s greatest players. That would just be unfair. But there is plenty to be excited about in 2014-15’s new collection of stars.
5. Nikola Mirotic
Chicago Bulls fans have been twiddling their thumbs over this guy for years. Acquired in a 2011 trade after he was drafted by the Minnesota Timberwolves, Mirotic has seen his myth only grow in the years he spent playing through contracts in the Spanish League, where he was the 2013 MVP.
Mirotic finally signed with the Bulls this summer, a full three years after they got their man, and through limited time on the floor, Mirotic has made good on a lot of the hype. The 6’10” forward is shockingly mobile for his size, a deadly shooter, and incredibly clever and quick with his hands. Although his game is rough, raw, and sloppy in the expected fashion of a rookie, there appear to be very few NBA skills he doesn’t have.
“Niko,” as he prefers to be called, is not going to garner any rookie awards. The Bulls have perhaps the deepest backcourt in the league, and it will be hard for Mirotic to find minutes behind Joakim Noah, Pau Gasol, and Taj Gibson. But if he were on a team without such an embarrassment of big man riches, he’d be in the running for Rookie of the Year honors.
4. Andrew Wiggins
It’s going to take Andrew Wiggins a while to outgrow the story that started his NBA career. Initially drafted No. 1 overall by the Cleveland Cavaliers, Wiggins was subsequently traded to Minnesota in a deal that assembled the sport’s next juggernaut by moving Kevin Love over to Ohio, alongside LeBron James.
But “Maple Jordan,” as the Canada native is fondly called, has the hops and coordination to eventually turn into one of the most devastating perimeter athletes around. Moments like this terrific block of superstar James Harden remind us of what Wiggins might become:
Wiggins doesn’t yet have the confidence, fluidity, or knowledge needed to more regularly stand up to players of Harden’s stature. In time, he could. But for now, one thing we can be sure of is that the ‘Wolves' young stud is liable to explode for can’t-miss highlight clips any night you watch him.
3. Jabari Parker
Widely touted as the most NBA-ready prospect of his class, Jabari Parker is helping to restore life to the basketball community in Milwaukee. The Duke University alum and Chicago native (he played at Simeon Academy, the same school that brought up Derrick Rose) was a first-team All American in the NCAA last year, and the consensus high school player of the year as a senior.
The peak of Parker’s upside has him looking like the next Carmelo Anthony; A beefy, creative, sweet-shooting wingman who’s an offense unto himself. Parker can get buckets with the best of them. So while he’s only averaging 10.6 points per game through ten Bucks contests, you can comfortably expect that number to rise as coach Jason Kidd figures out how to best use his 19-year-old star.
2. Marcus Smart
When it comes to defense, Marcus Smart already looks like he’s got years and years of experience under his belt. A ravenous, lockdown guard, Smart is all over the floor for his Boston Celtics, chasing ball-handlers like a bad dream that doesn’t end.
His awareness and energy have even occasionally translated to the other side of the ball in the early going, like when he made this shrewd, dazzling behind-the-back pass in an eye-catching performance against the Dallas Mavericks:
Smart’s already got the moxie and aggression of a veteran. It’s only a matter of time until he has the rest of the picture complete, and he’s one of the most fearsome guards in the game.
1. Elfrid Payton
Elfrid Payton is the undisputed champion of hairstyles in his class. What’s even more enticing than Payton’s ‘do, though, is how it’s an emblem of his unchained playing style. Payton is a hard-charging, physical point guard with speed to spare and incredible vision for the floor.
Like Smart, Payton is also a relentless pest as a defender, often approaching wrestling tactics in his coverage. His infectious energy is unlearned for now, but Payton’s already looked like a fierce leader for his young Orlando Magic team, and like a player who can spark his team into great performances down the road. Watch these highlights of Elfrid’s November 7 outing against Minnesota for a preview of one of the NBA’s most watchable point guards:
— John Wilmes
Phoenix Suns point guard Eric Bledsoe doesn’t think much of the tanking, winless Philadelphia 76ers. They’re 0-11, and they’re very bad. In a recent appearance on Sirius XM NBA Radio, Bledsoe was asked whether his NCAA team, the University of Kentucky Wildcats, could beat the Sixers, and he said: "I'll definitely take Kentucky. I think Philly would probably get maybe one game. I know they're going to be mad [in Philadelphia], but I love my Wildcats.”
One game? Hey, well … it’s hard to disagree with Mr. Bledsoe. Kentucky has a handful of studs destined to be NBA rotation players, while the Sixers are a rag-tag crew of broken contracts and bodies assembled by general manager Sam Hinkie specifically to lose. As Deadspin’s Tom Ley puts it, “They aren't so much a basketball team as a monument to the cold, dead-eyed cynicism that so often makes pro sports a huge bummer. They are the bastard children of an Excel spreadsheet, born for the purposes of minimizing risk and maximizing odds.”
It’s hard to remember an NBA tanker that’s inspired so many inspired criticisms and impassioned arguments about the nature of the sport, winning, losing, and loads of other emotional and economic concerns. Beyond being historically terrible, the Sixers’ front office is breaking ground in how blatant they are about doing it on purpose, to climb up the NBA draft boards. Hinkie is unabashed in his quest for colossal short-term failure, and it rubs a lot of people the wrong way.
The argument about whether great college teams can beat anemic pro teams is not so new, of course. It seems every year we go through this debate, and every year we’re less certain about the truth. Like the time-machine debates about current superstars versus past legends (M.J. and LeBron being the most tread-over of the lot), this conversation exists in a vacuum of impossible circumstances. What can’t be proven will always cause disagreements.
But one thing I’m sure that you, me, Eric Bledsoe, and Sam Hinkie can all agree upon is that we don’t want to watch the Sixers play basketball.
— John Wilmes
We all would like to budget wisely, and it's no different in daily or weekly fantasy football.
If you are playing in a salary-capped game at either FanDuel or DraftKings, here are a few value plays and bargains at the quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end positions for Week 11 of the NFL season that should allow you to hold on to some of that money to spend on the big-name studs.
Only two more weeks of byes. We lose four teams this week, two the next and then you have a full slate the rest of the way. Gone from your lineups this week are players from Baltimore, Dallas, Jacksonville, and the New York Jets.
VALUE PLAYS (salaries in parenthesis are that of FanDuel's and DraftKings)
1.) Zach Mettenberger, Tennessee vs. Philadelphia ($6500/5300)
The Eagles are the second-friendliest team to quarterbacks over the last five weeks. They have allowed four starters in that span to average 295 yards per game with nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Mettenberger has been relatively efficient for a rookie, completing 63 percent of his passes for 247 yards per game, including three scores and three interceptions in his three starts.
2.) Blake Bortles, Jacksonville vs. Indianapolis ($7700/5600)
Bortles had his touchdown-a-game streak stopped two weeks ago against Dallas, but draws an Indianapolis team that has allowed 10 over the last four games. The Colts are surrendering 316 yards per game through the air with just two interceptions during this four-game run. Bortles had thrown for five TDs and seven interceptions in the four games leading up to the Dallas blanking. Bank on Bortles playing catchup and having at least another 20-point day like he did against Indy in Week 3 (223 yards, two TDs, two interceptions).
3.) Josh McNown, Tampa Bay vs. Chicago ($7500/6600)
The Bears have allowed the most TD passes over the last five weeks (four games) by surrendering 14 against just one interception. The 282.5 passing yards per game given up in this span is not too shabby either. McNown takes on his former team having thrown for 589 yards, four scores, and two interceptions in his last two starts.
1.) Tre Mason, St. Louis vs. San Diego ($5600/4200)
Mason has been a bell cow during his three starts, carrying 62 times the last three weeks. That is fourth most amongst RBs during that span. He has turned it into 75 yards per game on the ground. Mason draws a San Diego team this week that has faced two 20-carry backs this season - both coming in the last four games - and allowed 204 yards, a rushing touchdown, and 41 yards receiving to them.
2.) Bishop Sankey, Tennessee vs. Philadelphia ($5800/4900)
Like their passing defense, the Eagles' run defense has been pretty generous the last five weeks. Philadelphia is allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game at 79.3 yards on the ground with three scores and 49 yards through the air with two scores in its last four games. Sankey has received the bulk of the carries the last six games, and has also added eight catches for 51 yards over the last three games. We are still waiting on the breakout game from the first running back selected in the most recent draft, and perhaps this is the week for it to happen.
3.) Jonas Gray, New England vs. Detroit ($6700/5600)
He is most certainly the hottest free agent pick up in most fantasy leagues this week after he torched Indianapolis for 199 yards and four scores. His 38 carries were ridiculous and old school, but he had averaged 14.5 touches on the ground in the two games prior. So Gray is there to be the workhorse. A repeat is certainly unlikely and Detroit is tough, but three of the five backs to hit the teens in rushing attempts against the Lions this season have scored TDs, and the group averaged 53.8 YPG.
1.) Kenny Britt, St. Louis vs. San Diego ($6400/4600)
Do we believe in the Shaun Hill-to-Kenny Britt connection or was it a one-week wonder? The seven targets Britt received on his way to a 4-128-1 day was the third time he has received at least six targets in a game this season. The other two came in Weeks 3 and 5 when he turned 13 targets into eight catches for 137 yards and a score. The Chargers have allowed six receivers to hit at least that 68-yard average Britt had in his last two-game stretch. Four of those six have scored double-digit fantasy points.
2.) Kendall Wright, Tennessee vs. Philadelphia ($6400/4900)
Here are those Eagles again. If they are allowing solid passing days they must be allowing solid receiving days. Like they are to QBs over the last five weeks, Philadelphia is second friendliest to receivers in that span. Over the four games, the Eagles have seen five receivers go over 100 yards (average of 126.4 ypg) with four of them catching a TD. Wright is coming off a season-high 70 yards and went over eight targets for the fifth time this season.
3.) DeAndre Hopkins, Houston vs. Cincinnati ($6800/5000)
Hopkins’ consistent run did not slow much with the addition of Ryan Mallett under center for the Texans. He received at least eight targets for the fourth straight game. Hopkins is the eighth-most targeted receiver over the last five weeks (of those who have played four games). He has turned those 39 targets into 398 yards receiving and a score. Ride the hot hand.
1.) Charles Clay, Miami vs. Denver ($5200/4000)
Clay leads tight ends over the last five weeks with 12 red-zone targets, double what the next closest player has. He has turned that into one touchdown, and is averaging 4.4 catches for 40 yards in that span. The Broncos have allowed five TDs to the position over the last six games, and four TEs hit at least 54 receiving yards.
2.) Larry Donnell, New York Giants vs. Dallas ($5500/3900)
Streaking down the middle of the field, Donnell caught his sixth touchdown of the season in Week 11. He continues to be a popular target for Eli Manning. Donnell has 27 targets over the last four games. The Cowboys are the ninth friendliest to tight ends over the last five weeks (four games).
3.) Jacob Tamme, Denver vs. Miami ($5300/3400)
If Julius Thomas cannot go due to his ankle sprain, Tamme will get the bulk of the tight end work. Thomas is listed as day-to-day and sat out Wednesday's practice. Tamme had a season-high 10 targets last week, a number he had not seen since 2012. He got double-digit targets three games that season, averaging six catches and 56.6 yards. No team has thrown more TDs to the tight end than Denver (14). While that is mostly Thomas' supreme talent it also is a testament to looking for the position in the red zone.
@Corby_Yarbrough on Twitter
Hosts Braden Gall and Steven Lassan preview an interesting weekend of games in college football. USC visits UCLA, two potential SEC title contenders are on the road, some Big Ten games with coaching implications and much more on this Week 13 podcast. We also offer up some locks of the week against the spread.
This is your daily links roundup of our favorite sports and entertainment posts on the web for Nov. 20:
• I'm not one to question James Harden's fashion choices. Actually, yes I am.
• When greedy family members are around, an athlete and his money are soon parted.
• Bizarre story of the day: A woman is claiming to be Michael Phelps girlfriend. She was also born a man.
• Amanda Dufner went topless in Thailand. Do I have your attention now?
• The Cavs game ended on a LeBron James turnover.
--Email us with any compelling sports-related links at [email protected]
Two teams that are streaking rapidly in opposite directions will get Week 12 in the NFL started when the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders square off tonight on the NFL Network. The surging Chiefs (7-3) have won five straight games to move into a tie with the Broncos for the AFC West lead, while the Raiders (0-10) have sunk into a seemingly bottomless black hole of despair, losing a staggering 16 consecutive games and counting. The Chiefs swept the season series in 2013 in decisive fashion, beating the Raiders 56–31 in Oakland in December after pounding them 24–7 at Arrowhead in October.
Any hope for a competitive game rests with rookie Oakland quarterback Derek Carr, who has shown flashes of skill while taking far less of a beating than big brother David did during his ill-fated rookie season back in 2002. In three games against division foes, Carr has thrown six touchdowns to only three interceptions. For a team that's playing out the string, the rest of the season will focus on Carr's continued development.
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
Kickoff: 8:25 p.m. ET
TV Channel: NFL Network
Spread: Kansas City -7.5
|Kansas City 2014 Schedule|
|10/5||@ SF||L 17 - 22||Recap|
|10/19||@ SD||W 23 - 20||Recap|
|10/26||vs STL||W 34 - 7||Recap|
|11/2||vs NYJ||W 24 - 10||Recap|
|11/9||@ BUF||W 17 - 13||Recap|
|11/16||vs SEA||W 24 - 20||Recap|
|11/20||@ OAK||L 20 - 24||Recap|
|11/30||vs DEN||L 16 - 29||Recap|
Kansas City's Key to Victory: Focus on This Week
We're talking about professionals here, so pitfalls that plague teams at lower levels — like overlooking an inferior opponent — are less of a danger. But it's only human nature for the Chiefs to be mentally chalking up a win and looking ahead to next week's showdown with Denver for AFC West supremacy. Fortunately, the short week offers less time for complacency. "You don't have quite as much time to think over things," coach Andy Reid told the team's official website. "Sometimes that could be a good thing, sometimes it could be bad. We have to get ourselves back and ready to go quickly, so we understand that." If Kansas City merely sticks to what they do well, it should be fine. For instance, the Chiefs average 141 yards rushing per game, while Oakland is surrendering 130. In other words, the matchups all favor the visitors.
|Oakland 2014 Schedule|
|10/12||vs SD||L 28 - 31||Recap|
|10/19||vs ARI||L 13 - 24||Recap|
|10/26||@ CLE||L 13 - 23||Recap|
|11/2||@ SEA||L 24 - 30||Recap|
|11/9||vs DEN||L 17 - 41||Recap|
|11/16||@ SD||L 6 - 13||Recap|
|11/20||vs KC||W 24 - 20||Recap|
|11/30||@ STL||L 0 - 52||Recap|
Oakland's Key to Victory: Keeping Carr Upright
The Oakland offensive line has done a more-than-respectable job of protecting Carr. The Raiders have allowed only 12 sacks on the season, second-fewest in the league behind Denver. But they're facing a fearsome pass rush led by NFL sack leader Justin Houston, who hasn't added to his total of 12 in the last two games and would love nothing more than to create misery for Carr and the Raiders’ passing offense. KC's pass rush, which has produced 30 sacks, keys the league's top-ranked pass defense (only 202 yards allowed per game). "There's a lot for every quarterback to get ready for, especially with a talented defense like Kansas City has," said Carr. "It just puts more on your plate and you just knock it out in the time that we do have."
The winless Raiders have no shortage of motivation; they certainly don't want to join the Detroit Lions as the only franchises with 0–16 seasons. And a team that's playing out the string, with nothing to lose except draft position, can often show up loose and relaxed and spring an upset. But the Chiefs look too balanced and too physically superior on both sides of the ball to stumble in this one. Look for Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles, who caught eight passes for a career-high 195 yards and four touchdowns in last December's win in Oakland, to be a big part of the game plan. If he gets 25 touches, it means that the Chiefs are clicking, and it's bad news for the Raiders.
Prediction: Kansas City 27, Oakland 17
The B storylines of the Big Ten are just starting to heat up.
The A storyline seems to be the same since the second week of the season: This is a league whose College Football Playoff hopes are continually hanging by the thread.
The other stories, though, may be more interesting. Chief among them Melvin Gordon’s chase for history, both as a realistic candidate to break Barry Sanders’ single-season rushing record and a running back who could win the Heisman.
The other story is the November round robin to determine the Big Ten West. Ohio State should wrap up the East official this week against Indiana even if the Buckeyes’ division title seemed inevitable after a win over Michigan State on Nov. 8.
After the win over Nebraska last week, Wisconsin can clinch the West with a win over Iowa and a Minnesota loss, but the possibility remains that Wisconsin and Minnesota will face each other in the finale with the division on the line.
Week 13 Previews and Predictions:
ACC | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
Big Ten Week 13 Game Power Rankings
All games Saturday. All times Eastern.
1. Wisconsin at Iowa
3:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN2
All eyes are on the Melvin Gordon show as the Wisconsin running back makes a run at the Heisman and Barry Sanders’ single-season rushing record. Thanks to last week’s record-breaking 408-yard rushing effort, Gordon can pass Sanders even if he falls below his season average of 191 yards per game. Of course, that’s assuming Wisconsin reaches the Big Ten title game. The Badgers can clinch the West division with a win over Iowa and a Minnesota loss to Nebraska. Perhaps lost watching Gordon is the play of the Wisconsin defense. In the last four games, the Badgers have allowed 181 yards per game and three yards per play. Two opponents in that span (Rutgers and Nebraska) have passed for fewer than 100 yards and three (Maryland, Rutgers and Purdue) have rushed for fewer than 100 yards. Iowa will find out which version of its offense will show up — the balanced efforts against Northwestern and Illinois or the inept passing game against Minnesota.
Listen to the Week 13 preview podcast:
2. Minnesota at Nebraska
Nebraska is in an interesting spot. One week has unraveled many of the goals this season. This time last week, Nebraska still had a chance the Big Ten title game, and if the one-loss Cornhuskers could beat Wisconsin and potentially Ohio State in the Big Ten title game, Nebraska could at least make a case for the playoff. Melvin Gordon ended those plans in a 59-24 loss. The division is gone and probably a major bowl game. Nebraska hopes to have running back Ameer Abdullah and defensive end Randy Gregory, who were both injured during the course of the Wisconsin loss, back healthy this week. Even so, facing the run-oriented Gophers might not be a welcome sight after the Cornhuskers gave up 581 total rushing yards a week ago. Despite a loss to Ohio State, Minnesota has a chance to win the Big Ten West with a win in Lincoln setting up a winner-take-all game against Wisconsin next week.
3. Maryland at Michigan
3:30 p.m., Big Ten Network
For all the tumult this season, Michigan is still hoping for a bowl game. The Wolverines are 5-5 with a finale against Ohio State, meaning Michigan may need to win this one play in the postseason. Meanwhile, the problems continue for Brady Hoke, who may be coaching in his final home game in Ann Arbor. Defensive end Frank Clark, a player chosen in the preseason to represent Michigan at media day, was arrested on suspicion of domestic violence and was dismissed. Michigan will have to hope an off week and Maryland’s lackluster defense will put the Wolverines into a good position Saturday. Maryland, meanwhile, has been a better team away from College Park. The Terrapins are 4-1 on the road compared to 2-3 at home.
4. Indiana at Ohio State
Big Ten, Big Ten Network
Before Ohio State improved its stock to No. 6 in the College Football Playoff rankings Tuesday, Urban Meyer was already touting his team’s improvement from the Virginia Tech loss in Columbus to a team that has won back-to-back conference games over ranked teams on the road (Michigan State and Minnesota). “There’s no question this is the most improved team from Game 1 to Game 10 that I’ve ever been around,” Meyer said. That improvement has made the College Football Playoff a possibility and has made redshirt freshman quarterback J.T. Barrett a viable candidate to go to New York has a Heisman finalist. This week, Ohio State need only to flex its muscles like it can against Indiana. The Buckeyes need only look at TCU, which beat its conference bottom-feeder Kansas by 4, to learn that wins alone aren’t enough for the selection committee. Ohio State can clinch the Big Ten East with a win or a Michigan State loss.
5. Rutgers at Michigan State
Noon, Big Ten Network
With two games left against Rutgers and at Penn State, Michigan State is looking to secure a spot in a major bowl — i.e., the Cotton, Fiesta, Peach or Orange. Rutgers is a bowl team but has been outclasssed by the upper tier of the Big Ten, losing by a combined score of 135-41 to Ohio State, Nebraska and Wisconsin. Most important for Michigan State is to get Connor Cook into a groove before he faces Penn State’s defense in the finale. Throw out a start against Indiana, and Cook is completing only 49.4 percent of his passes in October and November.
6. Penn State at Illinois
Penn State has corrected its course after a four-game losing streak and gained bowl eligibility thanks to back-to-back wins over Indiana and Temple. A win over Illinois would clinch not only a winning season for James Franklin in his first year at Penn State but also a winning regular season in all three years under NCAA sanctions (Penn State finishes the season at Michigan State). In the modeset two-game win streak, Penn State has enjoyed a revival of its run game. After failing to run for 100 yards in six of the first eight games, Penn State ran for 162 against Indiana and 254 against Temple. The Nittany Lions also didn’t allow a sack against the Owls. Time may be ticking on Illinois coach Tim Beckman, but his rosy evaluations of the season are true on one front: Illinois still has a shot at a bowl game. Illinois (4-6) finishes with Penn State and Northwestern but hasn’t won back-to-back Big Ten games since 2011.
7. Northwestern at Purdue
Northwestern will find out in a hurry how much the comeback win at Notre Dame helped turn the season. The Wildcats ended a four-game losing streak and scored only seven points fewer in a single game (43 points against Notre Dame) than they had in the previous four games combined (50). The upset in South Bend puts Northwestern (4-6) in bowl contention with its final two games against Purdue and Illinois. The Wildcats were an improved team against Notre Dame — Justin Jackson returned to form at running back, and Trevor Siemian passed for 284 yards and was sacked only twice. But Northwestern also got gifts from Notre Dame in the form of three second-half fumbles. Earlier in the season, Purdue started to look like a tougher out than the Boilermakers were a year ago, but Darrell Hazell’s team is exiting a brutal stretch of losses against Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska and Minnesota.
Week 13 Big Ten Staff Picks
|David Fox||Braden Gall||Steven Lassan||Mitch Light|
Northwestern (-1.5) at Purdue
|NW 31-21||NW 14-13||NW 27-24||NW 34-20|
Penn State at Illinois (-6.5)
|PSU 24-14||PSU 24-21||PSU 27-20||PSU 20-10|
Indiana at Ohio State (-34.5)
|OSU 49-17||OSU 49-13||OSU 45-13||OSU 41-10|
Minnesota at Nebraska (-10.5)
|Neb 24-17||Neb 34-27||Neb 31-20||Neb 23-20|
Rutgers at Michigan State (-22.5)
|MSU 35-14||MSU 40-20||MSU 38-13||MSU 27-13|
Wisconsin (-10) at Iowa
|Wisc 41-21||Wisc 31-27||Wisc 30-20||Wisc 27-13|
Maryland at Michigan (-5)
|Mich 17-14||Mich 21-17||Mich 23-20||Md 17-10|
Florida State clinched the Atlantic Division title last Saturday, and there’s a possibility for clarity in the Coastal depending on what happens on Thursday night in Durham. If Duke beats North Carolina, the Blue Devils need to win their regular season finale to claim the division title. But if Duke loses to the Tar Heels, Georgia Tech would clinch a spot in the championship game.
North Carolina-Duke is the game with the most impact on the conference standings this week in the ACC, but Notre Dame-Louisville should be most intriguing matchup to watch. The Fighting Irish has struggled in recent weeks, while the Cardinals are hoping to win out and have a shot at the Orange Bowl.
Outside of those two games, it’s a light slate of action in the ACC. Florida State hopes to earn a few style points against Boston College, Miami travels to Virginia, Pittsburgh needs a win over Syracuse to keep its bowl hopes alive, while Clemson should have an easy win over Georgia State.
Week 13 Previews and Predictions:
ACC Week 13 Game Power Rankings
1. Louisville at Notre Dame (-3.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, NBC
The ACC’s top game in Week 13 is a non-conference tilt in South Bend between Louisville and Notre Dame. The Cardinals have completed their conference schedule and need wins in their final two games to have a shot at a berth in the Orange Bowl. Notre Dame is reeling after losses in three out of its last four games. The Fighting Irish has struggled with turnovers by losing nine over their last two contests. In addition to the turnover problems, Notre Dame’s defense has struggled since a 6-0 start. The Fighting Irish has allowed at least 31 points in four consecutive games. Both teams are dealing with some uncertainty at quarterback in this matchup. Notre Dame’s Everett Golson is dealing with a sprained shoulder, while Louisville lost starter Will Gardner to a season-ending knee injury against Boston College. Reggie Bonnafon will replace Gardner in the starting lineup, and the true freshman has completed 51 of 92 passes for 662 yards and four scores this year. Bonnafon’s previous experience this season, along with a bye week should help him prepare for this road test in South Bend. And Bonnafon’s job has been made easier with the return of standout receiver DeVante Parker, and Louisville’s defense is holding opponents to just 17.8 points per game. This will be the first meeting between these two programs.
Listen to the Week 13 preview podcast:
2. North Carolina at Duke (-6)
7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN (Thursday)
Duke’s Coastal Division title hopes took a hit by losing to Virginia Tech last Saturday. However, coach David Cutcliffe’s team still controls its destiny within the division and can clinch a repeat trip to the ACC Championship to Charlotte by winning its last two games. This in-state rivalry has been controlled by the Tar Heels, but the Blue Devils have won the last two in this series. Turnovers will be critical to both teams on Thursday night, as Duke lost only six prior to Week 12 and surrendered three against Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils struggle to stop the run (197.6 ypg allowed), but North Carolina ranks near the bottom of the ACC in rush offense. Quarterback Marquise Williams has recorded at least 300 total yards in four out of the last five games and posted in 327 in last year’s matchup between these two teams. Williams needs to have a big day against Duke’s defense, as the Tar Heels rank at the bottom of the ACC in yards per game allowed (6.5 ypp) and will have trouble containing the Blue Devils’ balanced attack. There’s plenty on the line for both teams on Thursday night. Duke needs to win to take the Coastal, while a victory over the Blue Devils would get North Carolina bowl eligible with a game remaining. And if that's not enough, in-state bragging rights and the Victory Bell are up for grabs between these two rivals.
3. Boston College at Florida State (-19)
3:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2
Florida State remained No. 3 in this week’s playoff rankings, and with no ranked opponents remaining (pending what happens in the ACC Championship), style points could matter for coach Jimbo Fisher’s team over the next three weeks. The Seminoles used another second-half rally to defeat Miami 30-26 last Saturday, extending its winning streak to 26 games. Coach Jimbo Fisher’s team certainly has its flaws, but one area this team could improve upon over the next few weeks is turnovers lost. Florida State leads the ACC with 22 lost turnovers in 10 games. On the flipside of that stat is Boston College. The Eagles have lost only 12 turnovers this year and played the Seminoles tough in Chestnut Hill last season. Coach Steve Addazio’s team features a rushing attack that ranks second in the ACC with 264 yards per game, with quarterback Tyler Murphy (1,006 rushing yards) leading the way as the catalyst for the offense. The Eagles’ rushing attack will challenge a Florida State defense that has been vulnerable to run (139.7 ypg), but if Addazio’s team falls behind, can Murphy throw well enough to keep Boston College in the game? The Eagles create a lot of havoc around the line of scrimmage (76 tackles for a loss), and the Seminoles shuffled their offensive line prior to the matchup against Miami to solidify the front five. Freshman Rod Johnson is now the starter at left tackle, while Cameron Erving has shifted from tackle to center. If the Eagles can’t get to quarterback Jameis Winston with pressure, Florida State should be able to take advantage of a secondary that ranks near the bottom of the ACC in pass efficiency defense.
4. Miami (-6) at Virginia
7 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Both teams enter Week 13 coming off losses to Florida State. Miami lost 30-26 to the Seminoles last Saturday, while Virginia was defeated 34-20 in Tallahassee on Nov. 8. The Hurricanes were eliminated from Coastal Division title contention last week, but coach Al Golden’s team has a chance to improve its bowl positioning with wins in their last two games. The Cavaliers need to win their last two games to get bowl eligible, which is no easy task with remaining matchups against Miami and Virginia Tech. Miami has lost three of its last four trips to Charlottesville and hopes to reverse that recent trend by relying heavily on running back Duke Johnson (1,343 yards, 10 TDs in 2014) and quarterback Brad Kaaya (2,403 yards, 22 TDs). The Hurricanes average 32.3 points per game, but this offense will be tested by a Virginia defense limiting opponents to five yards per play. The Cavaliers also rank fourth in the ACC against the run and have recorded 27 sacks through 10 contests. Defense is clearly the strength of Virginia, as its offense has not averaged more than 5.3 yards per play in its last three matchups. Miami coach Al Golden worked at Virginia from 1994-96 and 2001-05.
5. Syracuse at Pittsburgh (-7.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU
If the last two matchups between these two schools are any indication, this year’s game could be another low-scoring affair with a small margin of victory. Syracuse won 14-13 in 2012, but Pittsburgh claimed a close 17-16 win last season. The Panthers have lost six out of their last seven games this year, including a 40-35 thriller at North Carolina last week. While the losses are piling up for coach Paul Chryst, four of Pittsburgh’s defeats have been by five points or less. Running back James Conner (156.2 ypg) continues to have a standout year for the Panthers, and the sophomore will test a Syracuse defense holding opponents to 127.3 rushing yards per game. And the Orange has not allowed a rushing touchdown in four contests. In addition to the strength in the front seven, Syracuse has forced 18 takeaways, which is a concern for a Pittsburgh team that ranks last in the ACC with a -7 turnover margin. Syracuse’s offense is averaging only 14.8 points per game in conference matchups, with injuries significantly hampering the offensive line. Quarterback has been a revolving door this season, and true freshman AJ Long (727 yards, 4 TDs, 6 INTs) is expected to start on Saturday. Pittsburgh needs to win both of its remaining games to reach bowl eligibility, while Syracuse is looking to build momentum after its first losing record since 2011.
6. Virginia Tech (-15) at Wake Forest
12:30 p.m. ET, ACC Network/ESPN 3
Offense is expected to be at a premium when Wake Forest and Virginia Tech meet on Saturday for the first time since 2011. The Hokies are averaging 21.3 points per game in ACC contests, while the Demon Deacons rank last in the league at 11.7 per game. Virginia Tech’s win over Duke last week left coach Frank Beamer’s team just one win short of bowl eligibility. The Hokies need to beat Wake Forest or Virginia to extend its bowl streak to 22 consecutive years. Virginia Tech’s offense has been hit hard by injuries this year, and the bad luck continued last Saturday with running back Marshawn Williams suffering a torn ACL against the Blue Devils. With Williams out, J.C. Coleman, Jerome Wright and Joel Caleb will shoulder the workload at running back. The strength of Wake Forest is its defense, and this unit could create a few headaches for quarterback Michael Brewer and the Hokies offense. However, the Demon Deacons have scored more than 17 points only once since Sept. 20. Wake Forest has not defeated Virginia Tech since 1983.
7. Georgia State at Clemson (-41)
3:30 p.m. ET, RSN/ESPN3
Coming off last week’s loss to Georgia Tech and a matchup against South Carolina upcoming on Nov. 29, this game against Georgia State comes at a perfect time for coach Dabo Swinney’s team. Quarterback Deshaun Watson suffered a sprained LCL against the Yellow Jackets and will miss this matchup, allowing Cole Stoudt and Nick Schuessler to build confidence against a defense allowing 6.6 yards per play and 43.8 points per game. The Panthers lead the Sun Belt in passing offense behind first-year starter Nick Arbuckle, but coach Trent Miles’ team has lost 24 turnovers and averages just 2.9 yards per rush. Even though Stoudt has struggled in relief of Watson, Clemson shouldn’t have much trouble with Georgia State on Saturday.
Week 13 ACC Predictions
|UL (+3.5) at ND||UL 31-21||UL 30-24||ND 27-24||ND 27-20|
|UNC (+6) at Duke||Duke 35-21||Duke 38-34||Duke 34-31||UNC 28-24|
|BC (+19) at FSU||FSU 38-28||FSU 41-21||FSU 38-20||FSU 34-20|
|Miami (-6) at UVa||UVa 21-17||Miami 30-20||Miami 31-20||Miami 40-17|
|Syracuse (+7.5) at Pitt||Pitt 28-21||Pitt 29-21||Pitt 30-20||Pitt 28-21|
|Va. Tech (-15) at Wake||VT 35-7||VT 40-13||VT 31-10||VT 17-3|
|Georgia State (+41) at Clemson||CU 49-10||CU 41-3||CU 52-7||CU 55-10|
It’s the week before rivalry week in the SEC. Translation: There aren’t a ton of compelling games. That said, Missouri vs. Tennessee is an intriguing matchup between two teams playing very well of late. Elsewhere, Arkansas looks to extend its SEC winning streak to two games against Ole Miss; Mississippi State hopes to get back on track against winless (in the SEC) Vanderbilt; and then … not much to get excited about.
Week 13 Previews and Predictions:
ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten | Pac-12
SEC Week 13 Game Power Rankings
1. Missouri at Tennessee (7:30 ET, ESPN)
There’s plenty at stake for both teams. Missouri remains on top of the SEC East with a 5–1 league record and must beat Tennessee in Knoxville and Arkansas at home to make a second straight trip to Atlanta. Tennessee is one win away from becoming bowl-eligible for the first time since 2010. The Vols’ resurgence has coincided with quarterback Joshua Dobbs’ insertion into the lineup. In two-plus games, Dobbs has thrown for 790 yards and seven touchdowns and added 289 yards and four scores on the ground. His ability to make plays with his feet has negated one of Tennessee’s primary weaknesses; the Vols allowed 32 sacks in their first eight games but only one in Dobbs’ two starts. That takes on added significance with Missouri coming to town. Led by defensive ends Shane Ray and Markus Golden, the Tigers rank second in the SEC with 32 sacks. The Vols have a ton of momentum, but Missouri just keeps on finding ways to win.
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2. Ole Miss (-3.5) at Arkansas (3:30 ET, CBS)
Arkansas finally broke through with its first SEC win since October 2012, shutting out LSU 17–0 before a delirious crowd in Fayetteville that was starved for a victory. Can the Hogs make it two in a row? It’s possible. After opening the season with seven straight wins, highlighted by a rare victory over Alabama, Ole Miss has lost its last two league games — both in excruciating fashion. The most troubling part for the Rebels, other than the losses, has been the decline of the rushing defense. After allowing no more than 168 yards on the ground in their first four SEC games, they gave up 264 to LSU and 248 to Auburn. Injuries have no doubt contributed, but there are very few healthy teams at this point of the year. Arkansas has been better than expected throwing the ball this season, but this is still a team that prefers to run the ball. Jonathan Williams and Alex Collins rank fourth and fifth, respectively, in the SEC in rushing, and both will end the season with over 1,000 yards — barring injury. Slowing down this duo will be key for Ole Miss.
3. Vanderbilt (+29.5) at Mississippi State (7:30 SEC Network)
When these two teams last met in Starkville — in October 2008 — Vanderbilt was 5–0 and ranked No. 13 in the nation while Mississippi State was 1–4 and playing out the string in the final season of the Sylvester Croom era. Vanderbilt lost that game 17–14, the first of a four-game losing streak that finally ended with a win at Kentucky that made the Commodores bowl-eligible for the first time since 1982. Both programs have had their ups and downs in the last six years. Clearly Mississippi State is on the uptick — the Bulldogs are No. xx in the most recent CFB Playoff rankings — while Vanderbilt is struggling through a difficult season under first-year coach Derek Mason. Hence, the nearly 30-point spread. The main issue for Mississippi State will be focus; this game is sandwiched between last week’s emotional loss at Alabama and next week’s trip to Oxford for the Egg Bowl.
4. South Alabama at South Carolina (12 ET Fox SportsSouth)
South Alabama is 6–4 overall and 5–3 in the Sun Belt but lost badly in its only previous game against an SEC opponent. In Week 2, the Jags dropped a 35–3 decision at home to Mississippi State — long before we knew Mississippi State was going to be one of the top teams in the country. USA has been solid on defense — it ranks third in the Sun Belt in yards allowed — but should be no match for South Carolina. The Gamecocks have some new life after rallying to beat Florida in overtime last week. Steve Spurrier’s team needs one more win to become bowl-eligible. They will get it this weekend.
5. Eastern Kentucky at Florida (12 ET, SEC Network+)
Playing for the first time since the school announced Will Muschamp will not be back next season, the Gators will be out to snap a one-game losing streak to FCS opponents. Eastern Kentucky arrives in Gainesville with a 9–2 overall record with losses to Tennessee Tech (by eight) and Jacksonville State (by 14). The Colonels beat the only FBS team they have played, topping Miami (Ohio) 17–10 in Week 2. If the Gators are focused — which might be an issue after an emotional week for the players — they should win this game with ease.
6. Charleston Southern at Georgia (12 ET, SEC Network)
After closing out its SEC season with an impressive 34–7 win over Auburn, Georgia hosts Charleston Southern in a tune-up for next week’s visit from surging Georgia Tech. Charleston Southern runs the triple-option but is also averaging 186.7 passing yards per game. In their one game against an FBS opponent, the Buccaneers had 190 yards passing and 199 yards rushing in a 21–20 loss at Vanderbilt. CSU has done a poor job stopping the run, allowing an average of 252.2 rushing yards per game. Georgia could win this game easily without attempting a pass.
7. Western Carolina at Alabama (4 ET, SEC Network)
This is the sixth straight season Alabama has played an FCS opponent the week prior to the Iron Bowl. The Crimson Tide has won the previous five, including the last two by identical scores of 49–0. Western Carolina won six of its first eight games but has since lost two of three, including a 51–0 defeat at home to Chattanooga. The Catamounts lost in Week 1 to South Florida, 36–31. This journey into the FBS ranks will not be as close.
8. Samford at Auburn (7 ET, ESPNU)
Auburn has lost two straight games for the first time in the Gus Malzahn era. In Saturday’s loss at Georgia, the Tigers managed only 292 total yards and seven points — by far their least productive offensive performance of the season. With hopes of an SEC West title dashed, Auburn must now focus on the Iron Bowl in two weeks. Samford is 7–3 overall and has won four straight game. The Bulldogs opened the season with a 48–14 loss at TCU.
Week 13 SEC Predictions
|David Fox||Braden Gall||Steven Lassan||Mitch Light|
|E. Kentucky at Florida||UF 35-7||UF 37-10||UF 34-13||UF 34-10|
|S. Alabama at S. Carolina||USC 42-10||USC 44-10||USC 41-17||USC 44-13|
|Charleston So. at Georgia||UGa 49-14||UGa 51-10||UGa 48-7||UGa 47-14|
|Ole Miss at Arkansas||UA 31-28||UM 27-17||UM 27-20||UM 27-20|
|W. Carolina at Alabama||UA 49-17||UA 41-0||UA 51-3||UA 48-0|
|Samford at Auburn||AU 48-14||AU 38-3||AU 51-10||AU 47-10|
|Mizzou at Tennessee||UT 21-17||MU, 31-27||MU 27-24||MU 27-23|
|Vanderbilt at Miss. State||MSU 35-10||MSU 37-13||MSU 38-13||MSU 30-17|
TCU is still ahead of Baylor in the playoff rankings (for better or for worse) and will sit at home and watch this weekend.
But Baylor still controls its own destiny and has a chance to earn some style points against Oklahoma State. Not to be left out, Kansas State is still in the Big 12 title mix but has to win in Morgantown.
And when Kliff Kingsbury and Paul Rhoads get together in Ames, who knows what could happen.
Big 12 Week 13 Game Power Rankings
1. Kansas St (+2) at West Virginia
Thur., 7 p.m., FS1
Still with just one conference loss, Kansas State is very much in the Big 12 championship race. Visiting Morgantown has been extremely difficult this season for everyone but Oklahoma and Bill Snyder’s bunch needs to win to keep pace with Baylor and TCU. Snyder is 2-0 against Dana Holgorsen since joining the Big 12 and his offense posted 55 points and 7.7 yards per play the last time the Wildcats visited Milan Puskar Stadium. Both offenses need to shake off some recent rust, as Kansas State managed just 34 yards rushing against TCU while WVU's Clint Trickett has posted his three worst passing totals in the last three games. Both have had two weeks to prepare and the chess match between Holgo’s offense and Snyder’s defense should be fun to watch.
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2. Oklahoma St (+28) at Baylor
7:30 p.m., FOX
Many believe that Baylor should be ranked ahead of TCU, especially considering the outcome of the head-to-head meeting. But the Bears are still two spots behind the Horned Frogs. Art Briles knows that if his team can win its final three games — and look good doing it — that his Bears are likely to be the Big 12’s representative in the inaugural Playoff. TCU missed a shot to look good last weekend against Kansas and Baylor cannot afford to do the same against Oklahoma State. The Pokes have lost four straight and scored a total of 40 points in those losses and may be without starting quarterback Daxx Garman (concussion). Mason Rudolph would have to burn his redshirt to start in his place. The Bears have scored 108 points in their last two and have had two weeks to prepare for a team that embarrassed them in Stillwater last year in their only loss of the regular season.
3. Texas Tech (+1.5) at Iowa St
3:30 p.m., Fox Sports Net
There is no reason for anyone outside of Ames and Lubbock to pay attention to anything that happens in Jack Trice Stadium this weekend. However, both head coach’s respective futures could hang in the balance. Amidst signal-gate, Kingsbury’s team has lost seven out of eight overall and have been victorious just once in its last 11 Big 12 games. Rhoads has lost six straight in the Big 12 and 14 of the last 16. Both are well-liked within their respective programs and neither is likely to get fired this season but both are in desperate need of a league win.
4. Kansas (+25) at Oklahoma
Bob Stoops has his team back in the Top 25 after a 35-point second half gave the Sooners a road win over Texas Tech. Without Trevor Knight, Samaje Perine reemerged with 213 yards and three touchdowns on the ground in the win. With Cody Thomas likely under center once again, look for Perine and company to exploit a Jayhawks rushing defense that has allowed a Big 12 opponent to rush for more than 200 yards three times this season. The good news for Kansas is Michael Cummings is beginning to blossom. He’s averaged 299.3 yards per game passing with seven total touchdowns and just one interception in his last three games.
Off: TCU, Texas
Big 12 Predictions:
|Braden Gall||Mitch Light||David Fox||Steven Lassan|
|KSU (+2) at WVU||KSU, 34-31||WVU, 34-30||KSU, 31-28||KSU, 30-27|
|OSU (+28) at Baylor||BU, 41-17||BU, 41-17||BU, 42-14||BU, 45-17|
|TT (+1.5) at ISU||ISU, 25-24||ISU, 30-23||TT, 28-17||TT, 34-31|
|Kansas (+25) at Okla.||OU, 45-17||OU, 41-10||OU, 38-10||OU, 38-13|
The Week 13 slate across the country is pretty sad, but the Pac-12 Conference is here to save college football.
Four of the six Pac-12 games feature point spreads that are less than a touchdown and the other two feature teams that need to hold serve at home to keep their respective Pac-12 championship game hopes alive.
Pac-12 Week 13 Game Power Rankings
1. USC (+3.5) at UCLA
8 p.m., ABC
You gotta love when a plan comes together, right? On what might be the worst weekend for college football nationally, the Pac-12 South Division title could hang in the balance between two powerful SoCal rivals. The Bruins control their own destiny and are two wins away from returning to the conference title game. A USC wins opens the door for a head-spinning number of outcomes. What’s even more exciting is the way both teams are playing currently. Over the last month, both Cody Kessler and Brett Hundley have been unstoppable. Hundley has been dynamic on the ground and has taken care of the football through the air while Kessler has methodically dissected every defense he’s faced with a plethora of talented weaponry. Both against the run and on the scoreboard, the Trojans' defense has been tougher and more consistent but UCLA’s unit is rounding into form after holding Arizona and Washington’s passing games in check. Jim Mora is 2-0 against USC and a third straight win could keep the Bruins' College Football Playoff hopes alive.
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2. Arizona (+4) at Utah
3:30 p.m., ESPN
Both teams were lucky to walk away with wins in Week 12 and both still cling to slim Pac-12 South Division title hopes (yes, a five-way tie is still possible). Utah will use a stingy defense, near-perfect special teams and home-field advantage to attempt to rattle Arizona quarterback Anu Solomon. After a blistering start, the depth and grind of a nine-game Pac-12 schedule is starting to take its toll on the young starter. He posted his worst showing of the season three weeks ago against UCLA and wasn’t much better last week against Washington — both of which bear similarities to Utah defensively. Look for another low-scoring game in which a late mistake by a flustered quarterback makes the difference. And if it goes to overtime, Kyle Whittingham’s bunch would be very comfortable.
3. Stanford (-5.5) at Cal
4 p.m., FS1
As wild as it sounds, The Big Game could decide bowl eligibility for both teams. Stanford visits UCLA next week while Cal hosts BYU, so the only guarantee for either team is the winner of the 117th meeting will go to the postseason. Stanford has won the last four meetings (David Shaw has never been defeated by Cal) but the Bears had their own run of dominance in the series, taking seven out of eight from 2002-09. A loss would punctuate a very disappointing season for Shaw while a win for Cal could earn Sonny Dykes Pac-12 Coach of the Year votes. It’s a classic offense vs. defense matchup between two long-standing rivals. Sit back and enjoy.
4. Colorado (off) at Oregon
4:30 p.m., P12 Net
The Ducks are two wins away from playing for a Playoff berth and possible Heisman Trophy. Which might be just the right amount of time to get the oft-injured offensive line healthy. Center Hroniss Grasu won’t play this weekend but Andre Yruretagoyena could return to action. Marcus Mariota — who has 10 touchdowns in two career games against Colorado — is playing as well as anybody in the nation and should have no issues with the 106th-ranked defense. Unfortunately for Colorado, rising star quarterback Sefo Liufau may be limited after suffering a concussion two weeks ago. Jordan Gehrke is ready if needed.
5. Washington St (+16) at Arizona St
1 p.m., P12 Net
Todd Graham’s team is down but not out of the Pac-12 South race as the Sun Devils will be rooting hard for USC this weekend. The Sun Devils gave up a season-high 247 yards rushing to Oregon State in the upset last weekend and will be facing a totally different offense Saturday. Led by backup QB Luke Falk, the Cougars have had two weeks to prepare since their own, much more successful trip to Corvallis two weeks ago. Falk threw for 471 yards and five touchdowns in his first career start, a win over the aforementioned Beavers.
6. Oregon St (+6.5) at Washington
10:30 p.m., P12 Net
The Beavers played easily their best and most complete game of the year in the win over then-No. 6 Arizona State. Sean Mannion was efficient and the running game posted a season-high 247 yards. Washington continues its downward fall, losing for the fourth time in five games, the latest in painful fashion in Tucson. In the preseason, this game was thought to determine second or third place in the North Division. Now, the loser is likely to finish in last.
|Braden Gall||Mitch Light||David Fox||Steven Lassan|
|USC (+3.5) at UCLA||USC, 34-31||USC, 38-35||UCLA, 28-24||UCLA, 31-27|
|Zona (+4) at Utah||Utah, 30-25||Utah, 30-27||Utah, 27-21||AZ, 27-24|
|Stan. (-5.5) at Cal||Stan., 30-28||Cal, 34-20||Cal, 28-14||Stan., 31-30|
|Colo. at Ore.||Ore., 49-17||Ore., 47-17||Ore., 49-21||Ore., 50-17|
|WSU (+16) at ASU||ASU, 34-27||ASU, 37-27||ASU, 35-17||ASU, 41-27|
|OSU (+6.5) at Wash.||UW, 24-23||UW, 23-20||OSU, 28-21||UW, 31-24|
We’ve all heard about the friend of the friend who deep fries a turkey each Thanksgiving, and everyone raves about it. Well, this is your year to be that guy. Here’s our quick guide, along with some great tips from chef Darrell Breaux of Bro’s Cajun Cuisine in Nashville, Tenn., who’s been frying turkeys for 25 years. “Once you’ve had a fried turkey,” he says, “you won’t want it any other way.”
• Wash turkey thoroughly both inside and out and drain. “Your best frying size is between 12 and 14 pounds. That will feed four to six people.”
• Season turkey to taste. “I like to sprinkle seasoning, rub it in, and let it set for a couple of days.”
• Make sure it’s room temperature before putting it into your fryer. “Every year it seems like somebody tries to fry a frozen turkey. Don’t! It’ll explode.”
• Heat the oil in a large outdoor pot to 350 degrees. “I prefer peanut oil.”
• Carefully lower turkey until it’s fully submerged. (Tip: To predetermine the correct oil level, put the turkey in the empty fryer, add water, remove turkey and mark the proper level.)
• Fry for around 3 minutes per pound. “Take into account the weather. The wind can be blowing, or it could be snowing. Use a thermometer to make sure it’s cooked properly. (Remove the turkey and) stick the thermometer into the thigh. It needs to be around 185 degrees.”
• Remove from oil, drain on paper towel and carve. “If you’re planning on using the same pan you had the raw turkey in, make sure you wash the pan. You don’t want any cross contamination.”
• Breaux’s final safety tip? “Stay sober, and use common sense.”
Paul Pierce is a surefire Hall of Famer. The eighteen-year forward, who played sixteen of those years with the Boston Celtics and won a title in Beantown, has been one of the game’s most devastating scorers for well over a decade. Even in his advanced age of 37, The Truth boasts a deceptive, hypnotic form of isolation basketball that’s a death knell to the opposition in crunch time. That's why the Washington Wizards signed him for two years and about $10 million this past summer.
But in Pierce’s estimation of the league in 2014, none of what he does would particularly matter to NBA executives if he were a rookie. In fact, he thinks he’d have a hard time getting drafted. "I probably wouldn't have got drafted [this year]“ Pierce recently said on Dan Patrick’s radio show.
"A lot of stuff is based on potential, or I probably would've went later in the first round or something. I think a lot of these young talented kids are just rated on their pure length and athleticism, but really no basketball IQ, really no footwork, really can't shoot the ball. When they look at [a] guy and they say he has potential, he's fast, he has long arms, he can jump. And then he gets out there and can't throw a rock in the ocean, or he can't run a play. Or his basketball IQ is low. I think those things sometimes get overrated. A lot of kids get drafted just on that.”
Even though Pierce sounds like a grumpy old man here, he may be right to an extent. Measuring his worth has always been difficult, though — teams have always passed over those whose skills are more metaphysical than quantifiable, and it’s always created many a draft day rabbit hole. Pierce has adaptability, edge, and ethos … none of which are easily projectable qualities. Bodily dimensions and statistics often feel like a safer bet in the draft.
The ten-time All-Star even sunk to No. 10 overall in his own 1998 draft, behind inferior players (but more imposing bodies) Robert Traylor, Raef LaFrentz, Larry Hughes, and forgotten center Michael Olowokandi, who went first overall ahead of not only Pierce, but also Dirk Nowitzki, who was available to the Dallas Mavericks one slot ahead of Paul at No. 9. Yikes. NBA gems are elusive, and drafting is hard.
— John Wilmes