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COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2014 PRESEASON TOP 25

#12 Stanford Cardinal

NATIONAL FORECAST

#12

Pac-12 North PREDICTION

#2

HEAD COACH: David Shaw, 34-7 (3 years) | OFF. COORDINATOR: Mike Bloomgren | DEF. COORDINATOR: Lance Anderson

David Shaw has guided Stanford to back-to-back Pac-12 titles and three seasons of at least 11 wins. The Cardinal has a few holes to fill for the 2014 season, but Shaw has this program poised to challenge for the Pac-12 championship once again. Quarterback Kevin Hogan will be throwing to one of the Pac-12’s top receiving corps, and the offensive line is loaded once again. Stanford’s schedule is tough, but there’s also a lot to like about the Cardinal in 2014.

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Previewing Stanford’s Offense for 2014:

After back-to-back seasons in which Stanford’s primary running back had more than 300 carries, coach David Shaw is looking to return to a committee approach. Remound Wright, Kelsey Young, Ricky Seale and Barry Sanders are all in the mix for carries. Each one does one or two things well, but none, per one offensive coach, does everything well enough, at this point, to seize control of the job.

Quarterback Kevin Hogan returns after a steady 2013 in which he tossed 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He didn’t make the developmental leap the coaches had hoped for, but it’s tough to argue with his winning percentage. Since taking over as the starter midway through 2012, he has a 16–3 record, including a 10–1 mark against ranked teams.

The receiving corps is loaded with playmakers. Ty Montgomery, who caught 61 passes for 958 yards and 10 touchdowns, is the top returning target, but Devon Cajuste (22.9 ypc) and Michael Rector (30.8 ypc) are both big-time downfield threats.

The Cardinal have to replace four starters on the offensive line, most notably All-America guard David Yankey. But all five projected starters are from the heralded 2012 recruiting class. Left tackle Andrus Peat should get All-America consideration.
With a talented young crop of tight ends, look for Stanford to return to the multi-tight end formations that made them so potent in the days of Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo.

Athlon's Cover 2 Podcast Previews the Stanford Cardinal for 2014:

 

Previewing Stanford’s Defense for 2014:

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Lance Anderson moves into the defensive coordinator spot to replace Derek Mason, who left to be the head coach at Vanderbilt. The Cardinal have produced one of the top pressure defenses in the country the last few years with their 3-4 scheme. And despite personnel losses like Shayne Skov, Trent Murphy, Ben Gardner and Ed Reynolds, this group should be no exception.

Defensive end Henry Anderson should be in the running for all-conference honors playing alongside returning tackle David Parry. The defensive front has some youth, but it also has a lot of depth.

Inside linebacker A.J. Tarpley has quietly been one of the best run-stoppers in the conference the last couple of seasons. Replacing Murphy’s production at outside linebacker will be tough, but Kevin Anderson and James Vaughters have experience.
Free safety Jordan Richards should receive All-America consideration, but the Cardinal lose Reynolds at strong safety and will look to the duo of Kyle Olugbode and Zach Hoffpauir to fill the void. Alex Carter, who battled a hip injury in the spring, and Wayne Lyons are both back at their starting corner spots.

Previewing Stanford’s Specialists for 2014:

The Cardinal return both of their specialists, kicker Jordan Williamson and punter Ben Rhyne. Only one other team in the conference attempted more field goals than Stanford last season, and Williamson converted 81.1 percent of his kicks (18-of-22). Rhyne was solid with an average of 42.9 yards per punt, ranking second in the league. Montgomery is just as dangerous as a kick returner as he is as a receiver. He took two kicks back for touchdowns last season and averaged a league-best 30.3 yards per return. The punt return spot is up in the air, but it could fall to Sanders, who split time with Kodi Whitfield last season and averaged 10.1 yards per return.

Final Analysis 

Despite the losses of key players on both sides of the ball, Stanford is once again stocked with top talent at almost every position, and the Cardinal should contend for a third straight Pac-12 title. Oregon still figures to be Stanford’s biggest hurdle in the North Division, making the Nov. 1 date in Eugene the game of the year in the conference.

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Five Reasons Why Athlon Sports is Picking Stanford No. 12:

1. Tough schedule
Stanford’s schedule features road games against five teams Athlon Sports has predicted will finish in the top 25 at the end of 2014. Additionally, the Cardinal plays USC in a crossover game in the second week of the season. Needless to say, if Stanford manages to finish 11-2 or 12-1, it will have earned a spot in college football’s new four-team playoff.

2. Four starters gone on the offensive line? No problem
Considering Stanford loses four starters on its offensive line, it seems strange to say the front five will be a strength for this team. However, take a look at the returning talent. Left tackle Andrus Peat should be an All-American in 2014, and he will be joined by experienced and talented players like Joshua Garnett, Kyle Murphy, Graham Shuler and Johnny Caspers. It may take a game or two for this unit to mesh, but expect Stanford to have one of the top offensive lines in the nation.

3. Replacing Derek Mason
Promoting from within has worked well for Stanford in recent years, and Shaw hopes to continue that trend in 2014. Lance Anderson will call the defensive signals with Derek Mason taking over as Vanderbilt’s head coach. Anderson has worked on Stanford’s staff since 2007, so he’s familiar with the program and the returning talent. Mason was one of the best assistant coaches in college football. Is Anderson ready to fill that role and keep Stanford’s defense among the best in the nation?

4. Kevin Hogan’s development
In his first full season as Stanford’s starting quarterback, Hogan threw for 2,635 yards and 20 scores. Considering the departure of Tyler Gaffney and the new faces on defense, the Cardinal needs Hogan to take the next step. Considering Hogan returns one of the top receiving corps in the Pac-12, he should develop into one of the top quarterbacks in the conference.

5. New faces on defense
Along with a new coordinator, one of the biggest concerns for Stanford’s defense is how this unit will replace the production from Shayne Skov and Trent Murphy. Those two players combined for 20.5 sacks last year, which is nearly half of the Cardinal’s season total (44). The defense needs a big year from the new starters at linebacker, which could include Kevin Anderson and James Vaughters. Senior A.J. Tarpley will be asked to pickup some of that production, while getting end Henry Anderson back from injury is also critical for the defense.

The Debate

Stanford or Oregon: Who Wins the Pac-12 North in 2014?

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