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This regular season has been unusually unpredictable, especially when it comes to the top teams from back in November.
Athlon Sports isn’t above changing it’s opinions based on more games and more of the season. For better or worse, three teams have caused us to recalibrate what we think of each program this season.
We asked our editorial staff which teams, for better or worse, have caused them to change their opinions the most in the last few weeks.
Weekly Tipoff: Name a team that you have changed your opinion of (either good or bad) in the past few weeks.
David Fox: Oklahoma State
I’m going to steal the thunder of my colleagues and pick Oklahoma State. This stretch has been coming long before the Marcus Smart suspension. Even before the fateful shove in Lubbock, the Cowboys already were on the way to their fourth consecutive loss and fifth in six games. The Michael Cobbins injury set Oklahoma State back just as the Cowboys entered Big 12 play. The dismissal of backup point guard Stevie Clark essentially gave the Pokes as six-man rotation. In Big 12 play, Oklahoma State is middle of the pack in almost every way, but especially on the glass — the Cowboys are sixth in defensive rebound rate and eighth in offensive rebound rate. And now this team won’t have Smart for two more games. Oklahoma State caught a break in Smart’s first game out, facing Texas without its star forward Jonathan Holmes. Texas still won by 19. If Oklahoma State can’t beat Oklahoma or Baylor without Smart, this team will be 4-9 in the Big 12 and 16-10 overall when Smart returns. That’s a bubble team. A far cry from a team we thought could win the Big 12 title back in November.
Mitch Light: St. John's
St. John’s, left for dead after an 0–5 start in the Big East, is now looking like a team capable of winning a few games in the NCAA Tournament. Led by guard De’Angelo Harrison, the Red Storm have won five of their last six league games, with the only loss coming by three points at Creighton on Jan. 28. On Sunday, Harrison scored 19 points and hit some key free throws late to secure a 70–65 win in the rematch with Creighton. With an RPI of 63 and only one win against a top-50 opponent, St. John’s still has some work to do, but this team clearly has the talent to play its way into the NCAAs.
Braden Gall: SMU
This is a team that was picked in the middle of the pack in the American Athletic Conference. The Mustangs showed some progress early in the season but didn’t exactly warrant much national attention. That, however, has changed. After beating both Memphis and Cincinnati at home in convincing fashion over the last two weeks, Larry Brown’s team is now in the national rankings and appears headed to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1993. The only five losses for SMU? At Louisville, at Cincinnati, at Arkansas, Virginia on a neutral court and at, gulp, South Florida. The loss to the Bulls is the only real head-scratcher, and the Mustangs are perfect at home at renovated Moody Coliseum. Rematches with UConn, Louisville and Memphis in the final two weeks could be for more than just seeding in the conference tourney.