Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 10 Picks

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Each week, Braden Gall offers his top picks of the week as well as every Top 25 game.

Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 10 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. If you follow me on Twitter (of course you do), you'll know that I added Notre Dame to my locks last week early on Saturday morning. That saved my day and I broke even for the third straight week. Not winning is getting old, but not losing is always fun. Let's try to get back into the black this weekend.

2013 Record Against the Spread: 28-22-1 (3-3 last week)

Week 10 Picks of the Week:

Minnesota (+10) at Indiana
This is one of the odder lines of the weekend, so there must be something that Vegas knows that we don’t. Behind a power rushing attack, Minnesota is surging after back-to-back upsets over Nebraska and Northwestern. As a double-digit underdog in both cases. Look for the power running game to play another huge factor against a team like Indiana that struggles to stop the run. Prediction: Minnesota +10

Auburn (-8) at Arkansas

The Tigers are 6-2 against the spread this season and the Razorbacks are 2-6 against the number. The Hogs have been downright atrocious throughout their current five-game losing streak. Arkansas has scored 17 total points in the last three games combined and have been under 300 yards of offense in four of the last five. Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall is a game-time decision and should he play, the Tigers will cover easily. Prediction: Auburn -8

Georgia (-2.5) at Florida
Running back Todd Gurley returns to the field, giving quarterback Aaron Murray a complementary piece for the first time in weeks. And the once-dominant Florida run defense has completely fallen apart after Dominique Easley tore his ACL. The Gators have allowed 163.7 yards rushing per game and 4.7 yards per carry since they lost their star defensive tackle. Both teams still have an outside chance to win the SEC East and both are coming off a bye week, so expect a good game. Prediction: Georgia -2.5

USC (+3.5) at Oregon State
The Trojans don’t have a permanent head coach and are under 50 scholarship players for the third straight week. Oregon State is at home and should be angry after the poor offensive showing against Stanford last weekend. The Beavers have consistently been a thorn in the Trojans' side, winning three straight at in Corvallis and four of the last five. Those wins include victories over powerhouse USC teams in 2000, ‘06, ’08 and ’10. Prediction: Oregon State -3.5 

Week 10 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 Big Ten Pac-12 SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
No. 7 Miami (+21.5) at No. 3 Florida St
No. 8 Ohio St (-31.5) at Purdue
No. 8 Clemson (-16.5) at Virginia
Tennessee (+10.5) at No. 9 Missouri
No. 11 Auburn (-8) at Arkansas
UTEP (+45.5) at No. 12 Texas A&M
Miss. St (+12) at No. 14 South Carolina
No. 18 Okla. St (+2.5) at No. 15 Texas Tech
Nevada (+20.5) at No. 16 Fresno St
No. 17 N. Illinois (-23.5) at UMass
Colorado (+27) at No. 20 UCLA
No. 21 Michigan (+5.5) at No. 22 Michigan St
No. 24 Wisconsin (-9.5) at Iowa
Navy (+16.5) at No. 25 Notre Dame
Last Week:9-1010-99-106-13
Year-To-Date:73-74-371-76-368-79-374-73-3

 

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