Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 12 Picks

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Each week, Braden Gall offers his top picks of the week as well as every Top 25 game.

Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 12 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. The Texas Longhorns made me sweat last week but salvaged a .500 record for me with a tremendous fourth quarter and overtime (thanks). Mizzou I felt the best about and sure enough they crushed Kentucky. The Tigers might still be underrated despite all the big SEC wins thus far. BYU and Arizona State didn't help me much last weekend.

2013 Record Against the Spread: 33-25-1 (2-2 last week)

Week 12 Picks of the Week:

TCU (+10.5) at Kansas State
Few teams in the nation are playing better football than the Wildcats right now. Bill Snyder’s team has won three straight by outscoring its opponents 125-45 and is averaging more than 250 yards rushing over its last four games. TCU has scored more than 21 points only twice in its last six games and one of those (27) came against lowly Kansas. The Wildcats are 6-3 against the spread this year and TCU is a miserable 2-8. At home, this could get ugly. Prediction: Kansas State -10.5

Stanford (-3.5) at USC
Both teams play excellent defense, both teams can pressure the quarterback and both teams have elite-level talent. However, Stanford has eyes on the BCS national title and won’t be napping on a surging USC offense. The lack of depth will play a huge roll for the Trojans this weekend in what should be the most physical game of the season. Stanford's Kevin Hogan, Tyler Gaffney and a powerful offensive line shouldn’t have any issues moving the ball while USC's Cody Kessler will likely be running for his life much of the evening. Prediction: Stanford -3.5

Texas Tech (+27) vs. Baylor
The Red Raiders are reeling and the last thing they want to do is try to stop Baylor — neutral field or not. In AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Baylor will keep its BCS and Big 12 title hopes alive by abusing a team that is lacking in confidence and discipline. The Bears are 7-1 against the spread this year and Tech has given up 139 points in its last three games. There is nothing to indicate this team will be competitive against Art Briles — especially, without a true No. 1 starter at quarterback. Prediction: Baylor -27

Florida (-13.5) at South Carolina
Steve Spurrier’s alma mater is circling the drain right now and he would like nothing more than to bury his SEC East brethren. The Gators are coming off one of the worst home losses in school history, can’t score on offense and are on the road against a team with two weeks to prepare. Carolina has its sights set on Atlanta and posting a 6-2 SEC mark puts them in the lead in the clubhouse. The Gators are 3-6 against the number this season and are down to their third quarterback with Tyler Murphy out. Predictions: South Carolina -13.5

Kentucky (+12.5) at Vanderbilt
The Dores have owned Kentucky under head coach James Franklin, beating the Cats 78-8 over the last two seasons. Vandy is riding high after one of the most dominant defensive performances of the season in Gainesville last weekend. The Commodores have covered the spread in each of its last two games with SEC East opponents and should be able to shut down the Wildcats' offense. If Vanderbilt can get to 24 points, it should cover the spread easily — especially, with bowl eligibility on the line on Saturday. Prediction: Vanderbilt -12.5

Week 12 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 Big Ten Pac-12 SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
No. 1 Alabama (-25.5) at Mississippi St
Syracuse (+38) at No. 2 Florida St
No. 3 Ohio St (-32) at Illinois
No. 4 Stanford (-3.5) at USC
Texas Tech (+27) at No. 5 Baylor
Utah (+26.5) at No. 6 Oregon
No. 25 Georgia (+4.5) at No. 7 Auburn
Florida (+13.5) at No. 10 South Carolina
No. 12 Oklahoma St (-3) at No. 24 Texas
Washington (+2.5) at No. 13 UCLA
No. 16 Michigan St (-6.5) at Nebraska
No. 17 UCF (-16.5) at Temple
Iowa St (+24.5) No. 18 Oklahoma
Oregon St (+13) at No. 19 Arizona St
Houston (+16) at No. 20 Louisville
Indiana (+23) at No. 22 Wisconsin
No. 23 Miami (-3) at Duke
Last Week:7-79-510-48-6
Year-To-Date:91-84-388-87-387-88-391-84-3

 

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