Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 13 Picks

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Each week, Braden Gall offers his top picks of the week as well as every Top 25 game.

Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 13 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. Vanderbilt and Baylor both scored late last week to give me two back door covers and it salvaged my weekend. The games I felt the best about — Kansas State and South Carolina — disappointed in a big way. For the season, however, I am still in the black.

2013 Record Against the Spread: 35-28-1 (2-3 last week)

Week 13 Picks of the Week:

Baylor (-9.5) at Oklahoma State
The Bears are clicking on all cylinders on offense. But so is Oklahoma State. These are the top two scoring offenses in the Big 12 and these two combined for nearly 1,200 yards of offense in last season's meeting. Baylor hasn’t won in Stillwater since 1939 and the Pokes are playing the best football of the season. Oklahoma State may not win outright but nearly 10 points at home for a Mike Gundy offense seems like way too much to me. Prediction: Oklahoma State +9.5

Utah (+1.5) at Washington State
The Utes are without star quarterback and offensive force Travis Wilson this weekend and likely for the rest of the season. Washington State is poised to make a bowl game for the first time in a decade in Mike Leach’s second season. Utah has lost four straight and has been competitive at home but has lost three Pac-12 road games by an average of 16 points. Take the Cougars’ underrated defense to cover this spread fairly easily. Prediction: Washington State -1.5

Michigan State (-7) at Northwestern
Northwestern is on the verge of utter and complete collapse and Michigan State is staring at a Big Ten Legends Division championship. Should the Spartans win, they would clinch the division and nothing about Northwestern’s struggling offense indicates it can score on the nation’s best defense. The tall grasses of Ryan Field actually help Sparty’s physical style of play and it means the Wildcats have no chance to win. Prediction: Michigan State -7

Hawaii (+5.5) at Wyoming
The Warriors haven’t won a game this season and this weekend won’t be the first. Hawaii is scoring 19.6 points per game on the road and giving up 38.4 on the road. The Cowboys have been crushed the last two weeks but that came against the best two teams in the Mountain West (Boise State and Fresno State) and that seems to have skewed the line. It will be cold in Laramie and Norm Chow’s bunch won’t be competitive. Prediction: Wyoming -5.5

Week 13 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 Big Ten Pac-12 SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
Idaho (+57) at No. 2 Florida St
Indiana (+34.5) at No. 3 Ohio St
No. 4 Baylor (-9.5) at No. 10 Oklahoma St
No. 5 Oregon at Arizona
No. 8 Missouri (-3) at No. 24 Ole Miss
Cal (+31.5) at No. 9 Stanford
No. 12 Texas A&M (+4.5) at No. 22 LSU
No. 13 Michigan St (-7.5) at Northwestern
No. 17 Arizona St (-1.5) at No. 14 UCLA
New Mexico (-31.5) at No. 15 Fresno St
No. 19 Wisconsin (-16.5) at No. 25 Minnesota
No. 20 Oklahoma (+4.5) at Kansas St
Memphis (+24.5) at No. 21 Louisville
No. 23 USC (-22.5) at Colorado
Last Week:8-8-17-9-17-9-110-6-1
Year-To-Date:99-92-495-96-494-97-4101-90-4

 

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