Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 14 Picks

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Each week, Braden Gall offers his top picks of the week as well as every Top 25 game.

Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 14 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. Oklahoma State, Michigan State and Washington State helped me out last week in a big way as I went 3-1 in my Picks of the Week. First, Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Second, I didn't find much I liked this week, in fact, I would recommend staying away from rivalry games in general. But if you must, here is what I came up with...

2013 Record Against the Spread: 38-29-1 (3-1 last week)

Week 14 Picks of the Week:

Ohio State (-14.5) at Michigan
Normally, I would suggest staying away from rivalry games, as this weekend is a bad one to make big moves. And the Wolverines are a much better team at home than on the road. However, Ohio State is eying a BCS national title and will not be stopped by a reeling Michigan team that has lost three of the last four. Braxton Miller, Carlos Hyde, Ryan Shazier and Urban Meyer will not be denied and this one could get ugly. Prediction: Ohio State -14.5

Boston College (-2) at Syracuse
I nearly pulled the trigger on BC last week in a pick 'em with Maryland. The win over the Terps gave the Eagles four straight on the back of star ball carrier Andre Williams. Syracuse has lost two straight by a combined 76-19 and has struggled to move the ball over the last month. Boston College knows it has a Heisman candidate in Williams and should feed him the ball enough to cover the two-point spread. Prediction: Boston College -2

Minnesota (-15) at Michigan State
The Gophers struggled in a big way to move the ball against a solid defense at home in Wisconsin last week. They mustered zero offensive points and only 185 yards in the loss and now Minnesota is on the road on Senior Day against the nation's top-rated defense. The Spartans will celebrate an extraordinary class of senior defenders in style with another dominating performance. Prediction: Michigan State -15

Florida State (-27.5) at Florida
Picking the Gators to lose by more than four touchdowns at home seems downright illogical. But there is no way Florida will score points and, since Jameis Winston is going to start, it doesn't appear the once-vaunted Gators defense will be able to slow FSU's offense. The Noles have won by 64, 56 and 56 points in their last three games, so four touchdowns against the worst Florida team in four decades shouldn't be much of a challenge. Prediction: Florida State -27.5

Arkansas (+24.5) at LSU
The Tigers are fresh off of the best performance of their season and are facing a team that has been completely uncompetitive against the SEC. The Hogs have been outgunned by 142.3 yards per game in SEC play and lost by at least 10 points in every game except last week's overtime setback to Mississippi State. LSU should have no issue stopping the Razorbacks' one-dimensional offense and won't have any issue moving the ball. Prediction: LSU -24.5

Week 14 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 Big Ten Pac-12 SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
No. 1 Alabama (-11) at No. 4 Auburn
No. 2 Florida St (-27.5) at Florida
No. 3 Ohio St (-15) at Michigan
No. 21 Texas A&M (+5) at No. 5 Missouri
No. 6 Clemson (+5.5) at No. 10 South Carolina
No. 25 Notre Dame (+14) at No. 8 Stanford
No. 9 Baylor (-13.5) at TCU
Minnesota (+15) at No. 11 Michigan St
Arizona (+12.5) at No. 12 Arizona St
Oregon St (+21) at No. 13 Oregon
Penn St (+24) at No. 15 Wisconsin
No. 16 Fresno St (-7.5) at San Jose St
Arkansas (+24.5) at No. 17 LSU
USF (+27) at No. 19 UCF
No. 22 UCLA (+3.5) at No. 23 USC
No. 24 Duke (+5.5) at North Carolina
Last Week:5-97-78-610-4
Year-To-Date:104-101-4102-103-4102-103-4111-94-4

 

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