Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 6 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. Whether you condone gambling or not, think of it as becoming a more informed fan.

Texas A&M delivered in a big way for me last weekend, although it looked tight as those in Vegas expected. Washington also took care of business in a sloppy slugfest against Arizona — setting up a possible skewed line with Stanford this weekend. But the Tennessee Volunteers totally ruined the weekend after going up 31-7 and having to intercept a pass in its own end zone to beat South Alabama. Give Joey Jones' guys lots of credit for fighting back in the second half.

Looking ahead to Week 6, it seems that there are entirely too many teams favored by 10-ish points. Georgia, Florida, Nebraska and others are in that 9-to-11-point range and that makes me think it could be a big weekend for upsets.

2013 Record Against the Spread: 17-10-1 (2-2 last week)

Week 6 Picks of the Week:

Georgia (-10.5) at Tennessee
There has to be something Vegas knows that we don't. Georgia just defeated South Carolina and LSU by scoring 85 points while Tennessee barely slipped past South Alabama at home last weekend. Traditionally, the Vols play tough against the Dawgs but the talent differential seems far too great for Butch Jones' squad to overcome. As long as the letdown factor isn't too powerful for UGA, Aaron Murray should be able to shred this defense. Prediction: Georgia -10.5

LSU (-9.5) at Mississippi State
This is traditionally a close content but LSU is a significantly better team than the Bulldogs and should be fired up after the near miss against Georgia last weekend. Zach Mettenberger and his elite wide receivers should have no issues moving the ball through the air while Jeremy Hill won't be met with much resistance. And the LSU defense gets to deal with an MSU team starting a quarterback, Tyler Russell, who hasn't played since Week 1. Prediction: LSU -9.5

Washington (+7.5) at Stanford
Revenge will be on the minds of a Stanford team that dominated the Huskies last year but still lost in primetime in heart-breaking fashion. The last time Washington came to Palo Alto, the Cardinal scored 65 points. After the extremely impressive showings (and covers) against Arizona State and Washington State the last two weeks, look for Stanford to make a statement in this critical Pac-12 North showdown. Prediction: Stanford -7.5

Arizona State (-5.5) vs. Notre Dame (Arlington, Texas)
Notre Dame and Tommy Rees, in particular, have really been struggling on offense. Meanwhile, Arizona State has played a very difficult schedule and is clicking on all cylinders on offense. Taylor Kelly has topped 300 yards in every game this year, Marion Grice is leading the world in scoring (12 TDs) and Jaelen Strong might be the newcomer of the year in the Pac-12. On a fast track in AT&T Stadium, the Irish's struggles on both sides of the ball will be amplified. Prediction: Arizona State -5.5

TCU (+10) at Oklahoma
The Sooners defense has been markedly improved by dominating on that side of the ball this season. They are one of the nation's best at 299.5 yards per game while TCU has struggled to score against quality competition, namely LSU and Texas Tech. Blake Bell is one of the nation's top rated passers since taking over the starting job, and at home, the Sooners should roll in a critical must-win situation for the Crimson and Cream. Prediction: Oklahoma -10

Texas Tech (-16.5) at Kansas
Despite being ranked in the Top 25, this Tech squad might be underrated due to its sneaky solid defense. The Jayhawks offense is one of the worst in the league, posting just 352 yards and less than five yards per play. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are trailing only prolific Baylor in total offense at 520 yards per game. This one could get ugly quickly. Prediction: Texas Tech -16.5

Week 6 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten | Pac-12 | SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
Georgia St (+54.5) at No. 1 Alabama
No. 2 Oregon (-39) at Colorado
No. 3 Clemson (-13.5) at Syracuse
No. 4 Ohio St (-7) at No. 16 Northwestern 
No. 15 Washington (+7.5) at No. 5 Stanford
No. 6 Georgia (-11) at Tennessee
No. 7 Louisville (-33) at Temple
No. 25 Maryland (+15) at No. 8 Florida St
No. 10 LSU (-9.5) at Mississippi St
TCU (+10.5) at No. 11 Oklahoma
Kentucky (+21) at No. 13 South Carolina
Georgia Tech (+5.5) at No. 15 Miami
West Virginia (+27) at No. 17 Baylor
Arkansas (+11) at No. 18 Florida
Minnesota (+19) at No. 19 Michigan
No. 20 Texas Tech (-17.5) at Kansas
Kansas St (+14) at No. 21 Oklahoma St
No. 22 Arizona St (-5.5) vs. Notre Dame*
No. 23 Fresno St (-26) at Idaho
No. 24 Ole Miss (-3) at Auburn
Last Week:7-6-28-5-26-7-210-3-2
Year-To-Date:42-31-334-39-340-34-344-29-3

 

Exclude From Games: 
Include In Games

More Stories:

Home Page Infinite Scroll Left