Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 8 Picks

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Each week, Braden Gall offers his top picks of the week as well as every Top 25 game.

Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 8 Picks

Like it or not, Las Vegas rarely gets it wrong, so tracking betting lines should always be a big part of each football weekend — even if there are no bets on the line. Whether you condone gambling or not, think of it as becoming a more informed fan.

After a shocking week of action, most gamblers are probably anxious to get back on the field this weekend. Conference play is in full swing and that means less predictability on the whole. So stay away from sucker lines (Baylor -33.5 against Iowa State), reactionary spreads (Arizona State -3 against Washington) and normally unpredictable rivalries (Wisconsin at Illinois).

2013 Record Against the Spread: 22-16-1 (3-2 last week)

Week 8 Picks of the Week:

Florida State (-3) at Clemson
It's too big of a game to avoid. These are two evenly matched teams with even levels of talent, even coaching and equally impressive stars under center. One has a senior quarterback playing at home while the other has a freshman coming into one of the toughest environments in college football. Look for the crowd and Death Valley to play a big role and the Tigers' defensive line to make just enough plays for the Tigers to win outright. The home team has won the last six games between these two so take the points and run. Prediction: Clemson +3

Iowa (+17) at Ohio State
The Hawkeyes and Buckeyes both had an extra week to prepare for this one. Iowa hasn’t won in the Horseshoe since 1991 and has only won one of the last 13 meetings overall. Ohio State is 4-1-1 against the spread this year and should improve that total against a team that will be dramatically outmatched on both sides of the ball. Prediction: Ohio State -17

Georgia (-7.5) at Vanderbilt
Both defenses have been atrocious this fall and both offenses can score points. The Dores have played well at home against Georgia in recent years and are well rested after the bye week. The Bulldogs are 1-4-1 against the spread this year and James Franklin’s bunch is desperate to get an SEC win and avoid an 0-4 SEC start. Look for a potential outright upset. Prediction: Vanderbilt +7.5

Oregon State (-10.5) at Cal
The Bears are 0-5-1 against the spread and Oregon State is coming off an impressive fourth-quarter showing against Washington State. Sean Mannion is the nation’s top passer and should have no issues with a Cal defense that is allowing more than 500 yards per game. The Beavers are undervalued after winning five straight and should easily make it six here. Prediction: Oregon State -10.5

BYU (-9.5) at Houston
The Cougars are unbeaten and have taken care of the ball all season. But Houston has yet to play a team like BYU. This is a physical, powerful team on both sides of the ball and quarterback Taysom Hill is finding his stride of late. These two teams aren't in the same category of talent, coaching or physicality. Take the Cougs on the road. Prediction: BYU -9.5

Auburn (+13) at Texas A&M
Auburn won't win the game as long as No. 2 is playing quarterback for the Aggies, but Guz Malzahn has this Tigers team pointed in the right direction and is poised to make some noise in the SEC West. Texas A&M can't stop anybody on defense and Nick Marshall is back under center for Auburn. Take the over and the Tigers to keep it close all night long — at least, before Johnny Manziel dances around for some sort of game-winning touchdown. Prediction: Auburn +13

Week 8 Previews and Predictions: ACC | Big 12 Big Ten Pac-12 SEC

Top 25 Picks Against the Spread:

Note: games with FCS opponents won't be included each week

Top 25 GamesMitch LightBraden GallSteven LassanDavid Fox
Arkansas (+28) at No. 1 Alabama
Wazzu (+39) at No. 2 Oregon
No. 5 Florida St (-3) at No. 3 Clemson
Iowa (+17) at No. 4 Ohio St 
No. 6 LSU (-9) at Ole Miss
No. 24 Auburn (+13) at No. 7 Texas A&M
UCF (+12.5) at No. 7 Louisville
No. 9 UCLA (+6) at No. 13 Stanford
No. 11 South Carolina (-7.5) at Tennessee
Iowa St (+33.5) at No. 12 Baylor
No. 22 Florida (-3) at No. 14 Mizzou
No. 15 Georgia (-7.5) at Vanderbilt
No. 16 Texas Tech (-6) at West Virginia
UNLV (+24.5) at No. 17 Fresno St
No. 18 Oklahoma (-23) at Kansas
No. 20 Washington (+3) at Arizona St
TCU (+8) at No. 21 Oklahoma St
No. 23 N. Illinois (-16) at C. Michigan
No. 25 Wisconsin (-13.5) at Illinois
Last Week:3-137-93-136-10
Year-To-Date:57-52-353-56-350-59-362-47-3

 

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