Big 12 Week 2 Preview and Predictions

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Texas, Oklahoma looking to solidify top dog status

Texas, Oklahoma looking to solidify top dog status

The first week of the season revealed that the bottom of the Big 12 has more work ahead of it that perhaps we thought. Kansas State and Iowa State lost to FCS teams. West Virginia looked pedestrian against William & Mary.

And even if the final scores for the top teams in the Big 12 looked impressive Saturday, teams like Texas and Oklahoma aren’t without their questions.

Texas’ offense stalled early against New Mexico State before being unstoppable in the second half. The Longhorns’ second-week opponent may not allow Mack Brown’s team to find its footing.

Oklahoma’s defense was stifling against Louisiana-Monroe, and Trevor Knight showed he’d bring a new element of athleticism to the Sooners quarterback position. Now, OU faces West Virginia in an early conference game.

Those are the marquee games in Week 2 for the Big 12, but there are a handful of storylines worth watching elsewhere.

Other Week 2 Previews and Predictions
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Week 2 Big 12 Game Power Rankings
*All times Eastern, All games Saturday

1. Texas (-7) at BYU (7 p.m., ESPN2/Longhorn Network)
Which Texas offense will we see in Provo? The Longhorns fell behind New Mexico State 7-0, turing the ball over three times in the first five possessions. The Longhorns then went on a hot streak with touchdown passes of 54, 66 and 74 yards and touchdown runs of 24 and 55 yards. The game that started as an offensive disaster ended with a school-record 715 yards. The breakout player was running back Daje Johnson, who could be a big-play threat after averaging 14.3 yards on nine touches from scrimmage. The focus this week, though, will be on David Ash. The quarterback threw two picks against New Mexico State and will face a tough BYU pass rush.

2. West Virginia (+27) at Oklahoma (7 p.m., Fox)
Trevor Knight will be worth watching after few outside of the OU coverage area saw the redshirt freshman dual-threat quarterback against ULM last week. The redshirt freshman wasn’t crisp in the passing game (11 of 28, 86 yards, 3 TD, INT), but he showed a running ability (103 yards, 7.9 yards per carry) the OU quarterback position hasn’t had since a pre-knee surgery Jason White. A key question is how much OU can believe in its defense a dominant performance in the opener. ULM didn’t have a run longer than six yards. West Virginia's offense may be more formidable with Charles Sims, who rushed for 120 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries against William & Mary. West Virginia racked up 778 yards on Oklahoma last season, albeit with drastically different personnel for the Mountaineers.

3. UL-Lafayette (+10) at Kansas State (6:30 p.m., Fox Sports 1)
The Wildcats will be looking for any answers in the run game after rushing for 41 yards on 23 carries against North Dakota State in the opener. North Dakota State is a stout defensive team on the FCS level, but the Wildcats need better production. Kansas State faced five third downs of 10 yards or more in the loss to the Bison. The UL-Lafayette defense, which returned only three starters, looked vulnerable against the run after allowing 292 rushing yards to Arkansas in the opener.

4. Buffalo (+27) at Baylor (3:30 p.m., Fox Sports regional)
Perhaps not much intrigue here, but it may be interesting to see what Baylor does to the same team that just faced Ohio State. The Buckeyes last week defeated Buffalo 40-20, aided by a defensive touchdown. Bulls linebacker Khalil Mack’s reputation will precede him after recording 2.5 sacks and a pick six against the Buckeyes. “If I had to compare him to somebody, if I watched two or three plays, I would say Von Miller,” Baylor coach Art Briles said. “That's who he reminds me of. He's explosive, he's dynamic, he's quick, he's long, he's vicious, and he's a multi-position guy.”

5. Stephen F. Austin (+38) at Texas Tech (7 p.m., Fox Sports regional)
Texas Tech faces another offense that can throw the ball around in Stephen F. Austin. Despite finishing 5-6 last season, the Lumberjacks were among the leaders in the division in passing. The Red Raiders allowed SMU to complete 41-of-62 passes for 388 yards Friday in the opener. A question we may have to wait another game to learn the answer to: Was walk-on freshman Baker Mayfield’s 413 passing yards and four touchdowns against SMU a fluke, or will he give Kliff Kingsbury a decision to make when Michael Brewer returns?

6. Oklahoma State (-26.5) at UTSA (noon, Fox Sports 1)
Mike Gundy may have a quarterback dilemma on his hands after handing the reins to J.W. Walsh against Mississippi State. Gundy benched Clint Chelf after two possessions against the Bulldogs, going with Walsh and his running ability. Not that Gundy needs any advice, but he could ask the coach on the opposing sideline: Larry Coker was the offensive coordinator at Oklahoma State when Gundy was the Cowboys’ quarterback.

7. South Dakota (-23.5) at Kansas (7 p.m., local TV only)
In theory, this should be Kansas’ best bet to end an 11-game losing streak with a 1-10 FCS team coming to town. The Jayhawks have an influx of junior college transfers Charlie Weis hopes revives the program. Kansas starts with South Dakota and then faces Rice and rebuilding Louisiana Tech. If KU can't compete in those games...

8. Southeastern Louisiana (+44) at TCU (noon, Fox Sports regional)
TCU will regroup after its loss to LSU with one of the keys being improved play at the receiver position, no matter who is at quarterback. The Horned Frogs dropped a handful of passes in the loss as the passing game combined to complete 15-of-28 passes. Casey Pachall will remain the starter, but Trevone Boykin will be a change-of-pace QB.

Off: Iowa State

Big 12 Week 2 Pivotal Players

Jordan Hicks, LB, Texas
The return of Jordan Hicks was supposed to be the big boost the Texas run defense needed this season. The BYU matchup will be a chance to prove that. Running back Jamaal Williams and quarterback Taysom Hill combined for 186 yards on 44 carries in the opener against Virginia. They’re both 200 pounds or heavier and tough to bring down, perhaps a problem for a Texas D that struggled with missed tackles last season.

Texas’ pass protection
BYU had seven tackles for a loss in the Virginia defeat to open the season, but the Cougars didn’t have a sack. The Longhorns’ line struggled in big games last season, and this game will put the five up front in the spotlight. Linebacker Kyle Van Noy is one of the nation’s top pass rushers after recording 13 sacks last season, and sophomore end Bronson Kaufusi is a load at 6-7, 282 pounds.

Isaiah Bruce and Brandon Golson, OLBs, West Virginia
The linebackers will be key in containing Oklahoma’s new mobile quarterback Trevor Knight, who topped 100 rushing yards in the opener last week against ULM. Bruce was the star of last season’s lackluster defense, and West Virginia is looking for him to be the face of the D. Golson is a junior college transfer the Mountaineers signed to improve their problematic outside linebacker position.

Jake Heaps, QB, Kansas
Charlie Weis hopes the second of his two high-profile quarterback transfers pans out. Notre Dame transfer Dayne Crist didn't even finish his lone season at KU as the starter, and now here comes Heaps from BYU. Heaps lost his starting job with the Cougars and is looking to reinvent himself in Lawrence. Heaps is also one of the last quarterbacks standing in a 2010 QB class filled with busts.

Lache Seastrunk, RB, Baylor
With 11 carries for 111 yards and two touchdowns against Wofford, Seastrunk has topped the 100-yard mark in five consecutive games, all Baylor wins. A remarkable part of this streak: Seastrunk has not hit 20 carries in any game during this streak. Another 100-yard game is possible against Buffalo, but the matchup against Mack will be an interesting one to watch.

Big 12 Week 2 Predictions

GameDavid FoxBraden GallSteven LassanMitch Light
Oklahoma St (-26.5) at UTSAOSU 35-3OSU 38-10OSU 48-17OSU 51-14
SE Louisiana (+44) at TCUTCU 38-10TCU 38-7TCU 50-13TCU 40-13
Buffalo (+27) at BaylorBaylor 42-10Baylor 41-17Baylor 48-20Baylor 41-20
ULL (+10) at Kansas StKState 21-14KState 24-10KState 31-24KState 28-14
West Va. (+27) at OklahomaOU 41-17OU 37-17OU 41-27OU 33-10
Texas (-7) at BYUBYU 24-14 Texas 31-10Texas 31-20Texas 24-7
SFA (+38) at Texas TechTech 35-14Tech 45-14Tech 55-10Tech 51-17
S. Dakota (-23.5) at KansasKU 28-10KU 31-17KU 45-7KU 17-10
Last week:7-27-27-27-2

 

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