College Fantasy Football: Using Vegas Odds to Determine Best Week 2 Plays

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Oregon's Kenjon Barner should be a strong fantasy play for Week 2.

<p> College Fantasy Football: Using Vegas Odds to Determine Best Week 2 Plays</p>

In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition.  Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary.  Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than an old-fashioned gut feeling.  However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”

Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis.  In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.

Week 2

Best Fantasy Matchups(Games with the most fantasy potential)

Fresno State at Oregon

Line:  Oregon -34(O/U-73.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Oregon 54-20

Best plays:

Fresno State (QB-Derek Carr, RB-Robbie Rouse, WRs-Davante Adams, Isaiah Burse)

Oregon (QB-Marcus Mariota, RBs-Kenjon Barner, DeAnthony Thomas)

Also consider:

Fresno St (WR-Rashad Evans)

Oregon (WR-Josh Huff, TE-Colt Lyerla)

theCFFsite projects:  Oregon 52-28

 

Oklahoma State at Arizona

Line:  Oklahoma St -13.5(O/U-70)

Projected score based on point spread:  Oklahoma St 42-28

Best plays:

Oklahoma St (QB-Wes Lunt, RB-Joseph Randle, WRs-Tracy Moore, Charlie Moore, K-Quinn Sharp)

Arizona (QB-Matt Scott, RB-KaDeem Carey, WRs-Dan Buckner, Austin Hill)

Also consider:

Oklahoma St (RB-Jeremy Smith, WRs-Isaiah Anderson, Josh Stewart)

Arizona (WRs-Terrence Miller, Richard Morrison)

theCFFsite projects:  Oklahoma St 48-24

 

Louisiana at Troy

Line:  Troy -3(O/U-64.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Troy 34-31

Best plays:

Louisiana (QB-Blaine Gautier, RB-Alonzo Harris, WR-Javone Lawson)

Troy (QB-Corey Robinson, RB-Shawn Southward, WR-Chip Reeves)

Also consider:

Louisiana (WR-Harry Peoples, TE-Jacob Maxwell, K-Brett Baer)

Troy (WR-Eric Thomas)

theCFFsite projects:  Louisiana 31-30
 

Toledo at Wyoming

Line:  Toledo -3.5(O/U-55.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Toledo 30-26

Best plays:

Toledo (RB-David Fluellen, WR-Bernard Reedy)

Wyoming (QB-Brett Smith, RB-Brandon Miller, WR-Robert Herron)

Also consider:

Toledo (RB-Cassius McDowell, WR-Alonzo Russell)

Wyoming (WR-Dominic Rufran)

theCFFsite projects:  Toledo 31-28


One-Sided Matchups(Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)

Western Kentucky at Alabama

Line:  Alabama -40(O/U-53.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Alabama 47-7

Stay away from:

Western Kentucky (RB-Antonio Andrews)

theCFFsite projects:  Alabama 48-10
 

LA-Monroe at Arkansas

Line:  Arkansas -30.5(O/U-57)

Projected score based on point spread:  Arkansas 44-14

Stay away from:

LA-Monroe (RB-Jyruss Edwards)

theCFFsite projects:  Arkansas 52-17

 

New Mexico at Texas

Line:  Texas -37.5(O/U-53.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Texas 46-8

Stay away from:

New Mexico (RB-Demarcus Rogers)

theCFFsite projects:  Texas 45-7

 

Michigan State at Central Michigan

Line:  Michigan State -23.5(O/U-48)

Projected score based on point spread:  Michigan State 36-12

Stay away from:

Central Michigan (QB-Ryan Radcliff, RB-Zurlon Tipton, WR-Cody Wilson)

theCFFsite projects:  Michigan State 30-10

 

Must Watch Games(The games with the biggest headlines)

Georgia at Missouri

Line:  Georgia -3.5(O/U-55)

Projected score based on point spread:  Georgia 29-26

Outlook:  After last week’s performance against Buffalo, we’re not sure that the Bulldogs are ready to visit a team looking to prove they belong in the SEC.     

theCFFsite projects:  Missouri 30-27

 

Florida at Texas A&M

Line:  Texas A&M -2.5(O/U-53)

Projected score based on point spread:  Texas A&M 28-25

Outlook:  Florida’s advantage is that they have a game under their belt, but the fact that Bowling Green gave the Gators all they could handle makes this decision easy.

theCFFsite projects:  Texas A&M 37-24

 

theCFFsite in Must Watch games:

2012 Season:  Straight Up (4-0)  ATS: (3-1)

2011 Season:  Straight Up (40-9) ATS: (35-14)

 

 

The College Fantasy Football Site

By:  Joe DiSalvo

Follow Joe on twitter (@theCFFsite)

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