College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections

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Vanderbilt moved one step closer to bowl eligibility.

College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections for 2013

With 11 weeks in the books, college football’s bowl and national title picture is starting to come into focus.

The fourth release of the BCS standings saw another change at the top. With Stanford’s victory over Oregon on Thursday night, Florida State is in the driver’s seat for the No. 2 spot and a shot at Alabama in the national championship. With a schedule that features games against Idaho, Syracuse and Florida in the regular season, it’s hard to find a loss on the Seminoles’ schedule. The ACC Championship should be the toughest remaining game, but Florida State will be favored by at least two touchdowns over every possible opponent.

Losing to Stanford knocked Oregon out of the national title picture, but the Ducks are still in good shape for a BCS bowl – if they win out. Although there’s a lot of football left this year, Clemson and Oregon could meet in the Orange Bowl, which could be one of the more intriguing BCS bowl matchups in recent years.

The SEC continues to be the toughest conference to sort out for bowl bids. Auburn gets a slight edge over South Carolina, Missouri and Texas A&M for the second BCS bowl spot. But this order is likely to change in the next few weeks, especially since Texas A&M still has to play Missouri and LSU, while South Carolina hosts in-state rival Clemson in the regular season finale. With Vanderbilt's win over Florida, the Commodores are one win away from bowl eligibility and still have Kentucky and Wake Forest on the schedule.

The bowl season doesn’t start until December, but with less than one month to go in the season, it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like.

The post-Week 11 bowl projections are a mixture between projections for the next few weeks, how things would look if the season ended today, and the results from the first 11 weeks of action. Expect more changes over the next few weeks. With several teams projected to be right around the six-win mark, more at-large spots in bowls should open in the next month.

A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Maryland and Utah from BCS conferences. And Texas State, UTSA, Ohio, Bowling Green, Troy and Arkansas State from the non-BCS ranks.

College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections for 2013

BowlTie-InDateProjection
New MexicoDec. 21Pac-12 vs. MWCColo. State vs. Oregon State
Famous Idaho PotatoDec. 21MAC vs. MWCUNLV vs. Buffalo
Las VegasDec. 21Pac-12 vs. MWCUtah State vs. Arizona
New OrleansDec. 21Sun Belt vs. CUSAUL Lafayette vs. Tulane
Beef 'O' Brady'sDec. 23American vs. CUSAToledo* vs. MTSU
HawaiiDec. 24MWC vs. CUSASJSU vs. Rice
Little Caesars PizzaDec. 26MAC vs. Big TenNo. Illinois vs. Syracuse*
PoinsettiaDec. 26Army vs. MWCBoise State vs. Notre Dame*
MilitaryDec. 27CUSA vs. ACCE. Carolina vs. Boston College
TexasDec. 27Big 12 vs. Big TenK-State vs. Minnesota
Fight HungerDec. 27BYU vs. Pac-12BYU vs. USC
PinstripeDec. 28American vs. Big 12Rutgers vs. West Virginia
BelkDec. 28American vs. ACCHouston vs. Duke
Russell AthleticDec. 28American vs. ACCLouisville vs. Miami
Buffalo Wild WingsDec. 28Big 12 vs. Big TenTexas vs. Nebraska
Armed ForcesDec. 30MWC vs. NavyNavy vs. SDSU
Music CityDec. 30ACC vs. SECGa. Tech vs. Ole Miss
AlamoDec. 30Big 12 vs. Pac-12Oklahoma vs. UCLA
HolidayDec. 30Pac-12 vs. Big 12Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
AdvoCare V100Dec. 31ACC vs. SECPittsburgh vs. ULM*
SunDec. 31Pac-12 vs. ACCNorth Carolina vs. Washington
LibertyDec. 31SEC vs. CUSATennessee vs. Marshall
Chick-fil-ADec. 31SEC vs. ACCVirginia Tech vs. Missouri
GatorJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenGeorgia vs. Michigan
Heart of DallasJan. 1Big Ten vs. CUSANorth Texas vs. Iowa
OutbackJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenMichigan State vs. South Carolina
Capital OneJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenWisconsin vs. Texas A&M
RoseJan. 1BCS vs. BCSOhio State vs. Stanford
FiestaJan. 1BCS vs. BCSFresno State vs. Baylor
SugarJan. 2BCS vs. BCSAuburn vs. UCF
CottonJan. 3SEC vs. Big 12LSU vs. Oklahoma State
OrangeJan. 3BCS vs. BCSClemson vs. Oregon
BBVA CompassJan. 4SEC vs. AmericanVanderbilt vs. Cincinnati
GoDaddyJan. 5MAC vs. Sun BeltBall State vs. Western Kentucky
National TitleJan. 6BCS vs. BCSAlabama vs. Florida State

* Indicates conference is not expected to fill its alloted bowl slots, leaving an at-large spot available.

Bold indicates team has accepted bid to bowl.


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