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Michigan is one of the toughest teams to gauge after four weeks of the college football season. The Wolverines have a good win over Notre Dame but barely beat Akron and Connecticut. Turnovers have been an issue for quarterback Devin Gardner, but the defense is allowing just 311 yards per game. Although Michigan hasn’t looked like a Big Ten title contender the last two weeks, the Wolverines still make the BCS projections after Week 4. Michigan’s schedule is manageable until November, and coach Brady Hoke’s team is still Athlon’s pick to win the Big Ten Legends Division. So while things aren’t particularly well in Ann Arbor, finishing 10-2 or even 11-1 in the regular season isn’t out of the question.
The rest of our BCS projections after Week 4 are similar to the first few weeks, as there have been few changes at the top of the rankings. Alabama-Ohio State is remains Athlon’s pick to play for the national title, while Clemson, Louisville, Oklahoma State and Oregon are projected to win their conferences.
College football's bowl season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like. With only four weeks of results in the books, it's hard to make long-term projections about teams, especially with several teams still playing overmatched non-conference games. But with conference play right around the corner, we should be able to get a better grasp on what teams will be able to reach the six-win mark.
With little data to work with, the post-Week 4 bowl projections are a mixture between preseason projections, how things would look if the season ended today, and a small dose of the results so far this year. Expect more changes over the next few weeks, especially as we see how teams perform in conference games.
A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Boston College, Virginia, Mississippi State, Arkansas and Illinois from BCS conferences. And Ohio, Arkansas State and Toledo from the non-BCS ranks.
As the season progresses, it will be easier to project which teams will get to the six-win mark or finish below.
College Football's Post-Week 4 Bowl Projections for 2013
|New Mexico||Dec. 21||Pac-12 vs. MWC||Oregon State vs. Wyoming|
|Famous Idaho Potato||Dec. 21||MAC vs. MWC||Ball State vs. Nevada|
|Las Vegas||Dec. 21||Pac-12 vs. MWC||Arizona vs. Fresno State|
|New Orleans||Dec. 21||Sun Belt vs. CUSA||UL Lafayette vs. Rice|
|Beef 'O' Brady's||Dec. 23||American vs. CUSA||Cincinnati vs. MTSU|
|Hawaii||Dec. 24||MWC vs. CUSA||San Jose State vs. Utah*|
|Little Caesars Pizza||Dec. 26||MAC vs. Big Ten||Northern Illinois vs. Indiana|
|Poinsettia||Dec. 26||Army vs. MWC||Wash. State* vs. Boise State|
|Military||Dec. 27||CUSA vs. ACC||East Carolina vs. Pittsburgh|
|Texas||Dec. 27||Big 12 vs. Big Ten||Kansas State vs. Iowa|
|Kraft Fight Hunger||Dec. 27||BYU vs. Pac-12||BYU vs. USC|
|Pinstripe||Dec. 28||American vs. Big 12||Notre Dame* vs. TCU|
|Belk||Dec. 28||American vs. ACC||Rutgers vs. North Carolina|
|Russell Athletic||Dec. 28||American vs. ACC||UCF vs. Georgia Tech|
|Buffalo Wild Wings||Dec. 28||Big 12 vs. Big Ten||Texas vs. Nebraska|
|Armed Forces||Dec. 30||MWC vs. Navy||Utah State vs. Navy|
|Music City||Dec. 30||ACC vs. SEC||Maryland vs. Auburn|
|Alamo||Dec. 30||Big 12 vs. Pac-12||Oklahoma vs. UCLA|
|Holiday||Dec. 30||Pac-12 vs. Big 12||Washington vs. Texas Tech|
|AdvoCare V100||Dec. 31||ACC vs. SEC||NC State vs. Tennessee|
|Sun||Dec. 31||Pac-12 vs. ACC||Arizona State vs. Va. Tech|
|Liberty||Dec. 31||SEC vs. CUSA||Missouri vs. Marshall|
|Chick-fil-A||Dec. 31||SEC vs. ACC||Texas A&M vs. Miami|
|Gator||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||Ole Miss vs. Michigan State|
|Heart of Dallas||Jan. 1||Big Ten vs. CUSA||Minnesota vs. Tulsa|
|Outback||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||Florida vs. Northwestern|
|Capital One||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||South Carolina vs. Wisconsin|
|Rose||Jan. 1||BCS vs. BCS||Oregon vs. Michigan|
|Fiesta||Jan. 1||BCS vs. BCS||Stanford vs. Oklahoma State|
|Sugar||Jan. 2||BCS vs. BCS||Georgia vs. Florida State|
|Cotton||Jan. 3||SEC vs. Big 12||LSU vs. Baylor|
|Orange||Jan. 3||BCS vs. BCS||Clemson vs. Louisville|
|BBVA Compass||Jan. 4||SEC vs. American||Vanderbilt vs. Houston|
|GoDaddy||Jan. 5||MAC vs. Sun Belt||Bowling Green vs. W. Kentucky|
|National Title||Jan. 6||BCS vs. BCS||Alabama vs. Ohio State|
* Indicates we do not expect a conference to fill its tie-ins. An at-large team will be selected for conferences that do not meet their required teams for bowl eligibility.
Related College Football Content
Week 4 College Football Recap
Stats to Know From Week 4
Week 4 National Awards
Post-Week 4 ACC Power Rankings
Post-Week 4 Big 12 Power Rankings
Post-Week 4 Big Ten Power Rankings
Post-Week 4 Pac-12 Power Rankings
Post-Week 4 SEC Power Rankings