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West Virginia’s upset win over Oklahoma State on Saturday shook up the Big 12 power rankings, and also gave the Mountaineers a good chance to get bowl eligible. West Virginia doesn’t have a favorable schedule the rest of the way but still has to play Kansas and Iowa State – two games it should be favored in.
As West Virginia’s win over Oklahoma State illustrates, there’s a small margin of error when it comes to reaching six victories for some programs.
Another result from Week 5 that could have significant bowl implications was Notre Dame’s loss to Oklahoma. The Fighting Irish do not have a bowl tie-in for this season and were projected by most to reach a BCS game in 2013. However, with two losses, Notre Dame is unlikely to reach a BCS bowl. The Fighting Irish will find a spot as an at-large team, but they need some help from other conferences not filling all of their tie-ins.
College football's bowl season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like. With only five weeks of results in the books, it's hard to make long-term projections about teams, especially with several teams still playing overmatched non-conference games. But with conference play right around the corner, we should be able to get a better grasp on what teams will be able to reach the six-win mark.
With little data to work with, the post-Week 5 bowl projections are a mixture between preseason projections, how things would look if the season ended today, and a small dose of the results so far this year. Expect more changes over the next few weeks, especially as we see how teams perform in conference games.
A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Boston College, Virginia, Mississippi State, Washington State, Arkansas and Illinois from BCS conferences. And Texas State, Arkansas State and Toledo from the non-BCS ranks.
As the season progresses, it will be easier to project which teams will get to the six-win mark or finish below.
College Football's Post-Week 5 Bowl Projections for 2013
|New Mexico||Dec. 21||Pac-12 vs. MWC||Utah vs. Wyoming|
|Famous Idaho Potato||Dec. 21||MAC vs. MWC||Ball State vs. Nevada|
|Las Vegas||Dec. 21||Pac-12 vs. MWC||Oregon State vs. Fresno St|
|New Orleans||Dec. 21||Sun Belt vs. CUSA||UL Lafayette vs. Tulane|
|Beef 'O' Brady's||Dec. 23||American vs. CUSA||Ohio* vs. MTSU|
|Hawaii||Dec. 24||MWC vs. CUSA||San Jose State vs. Rice|
|Little Caesars Pizza||Dec. 26||MAC vs. Big Ten||N Illinois vs. Minnesota|
|Poinsettia||Dec. 26||Army vs. MWC||Notre Dame* vs. Boise St|
|Military||Dec. 27||CUSA vs. ACC||Marshall vs. N Carolina|
|Texas||Dec. 27||Big 12 vs. Big Ten||TCU vs. Iowa|
|Kraft Fight Hunger||Dec. 27||BYU vs. Pac-12||BYU vs. Arizona|
|Pinstripe||Dec. 28||American vs. Big 12||Cincy vs. West Va.|
|Belk||Dec. 28||American vs. ACC||Rutgers vs. Ga Tech|
|Russell Athletic||Dec. 28||American vs. ACC||UCF vs. Va Tech|
|Buffalo Wild Wings||Dec. 28||Big 12 vs. Big Ten||Texas vs. Nebraska|
|Armed Forces||Dec. 30||MWC vs. Navy||Utah State vs. Navy|
|Music City||Dec. 30||ACC vs. SEC||Pittsburgh vs. Auburn|
|Alamo||Dec. 30||Big 12 vs. Pac-12||Okla. State vs. UCLA|
|Holiday||Dec. 30||Pac-12 vs. Big 12||Wash vs. Texas Tech|
|AdvoCare V100||Dec. 31||ACC vs. SEC||NC State vs. Tennessee|
|Sun||Dec. 31||Pac-12 vs. ACC||Arizona St vs. Maryland|
|Liberty||Dec. 31||SEC vs. CUSA||Missouri vs. E Carolina|
|Chick-fil-A||Dec. 31||SEC vs. ACC||Miami vs. Ole Miss|
|Gator||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||Florida vs. Michigan St|
|Heart of Dallas||Jan. 1||Big Ten vs. CUSA||Kansas State vs. Tulsa|
|Outback||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||S Carolina vs. Wisconsin|
|Capital One||Jan. 1||SEC vs. Big Ten||N'western vs. A&M|
|Rose||Jan. 1||BCS vs. BCS||Oregon vs. Michigan|
|Fiesta||Jan. 1||BCS vs. BCS||Stanford vs. Oklahoma|
|Sugar||Jan. 2||BCS vs. BCS||Georgia vs. Florida State|
|Cotton||Jan. 3||SEC vs. Big 12||LSU vs. Baylor|
|Orange||Jan. 3||BCS vs. BCS||Clemson vs. Louisville|
|BBVA Compass||Jan. 4||SEC vs. American||Vanderbilt vs. Houston|
|GoDaddy||Jan. 5||MAC vs. Sun Belt||BGSU vs. Western Ky|
|National Title||Jan. 6||BCS vs. BCS||Alabama vs. Ohio State|
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