College Football's Post-Week 5 Bowl Projections

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West Virginia’s upset win over Oklahoma State on Saturday shook up the Big 12 power rankings, and also gave the Mountaineers a good chance to get bowl eligible. West Virginia doesn’t have a favorable schedule the rest of the way but still has to play Kansas and Iowa State – two games it should be favored in.

As West Virginia’s win over Oklahoma State illustrates, there’s a small margin of error when it comes to reaching six victories for some programs.

Another result from Week 5 that could have significant bowl implications was Notre Dame’s loss to Oklahoma. The Fighting Irish do not have a bowl tie-in for this season and were projected by most to reach a BCS game in 2013. However, with two losses, Notre Dame is unlikely to reach a BCS bowl. The Fighting Irish will find a spot as an at-large team, but they need some help from other conferences not filling all of their tie-ins.
 

College football's bowl season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like. With only five weeks of results in the books, it's hard to make long-term projections about teams, especially with several teams still playing overmatched non-conference games. But with conference play right around the corner, we should be able to get a better grasp on what teams will be able to reach the six-win mark.

With little data to work with, the post-Week 5 bowl projections are a mixture between preseason projections, how things would look if the season ended today, and a small dose of the results so far this year. Expect more changes over the next few weeks, especially as we see how teams perform in conference games.

A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Boston College, Virginia, Mississippi State, Washington State, Arkansas and Illinois from BCS conferences. And Texas State, Arkansas State and Toledo from the non-BCS ranks.
As the season progresses, it will be easier to project which teams will get to the six-win mark or finish below.

College Football's Post-Week 5 Bowl Projections for 2013

BowlTie-InDateProjection
New MexicoDec. 21Pac-12 vs. MWCUtah vs. Wyoming
Famous Idaho PotatoDec. 21MAC vs. MWCBall State vs. Nevada
Las VegasDec. 21Pac-12 vs. MWCOregon State vs. Fresno St
New OrleansDec. 21Sun Belt vs. CUSAUL Lafayette vs. Tulane
Beef 'O' Brady'sDec. 23American vs. CUSAOhio* vs. MTSU
HawaiiDec. 24MWC vs. CUSASan Jose State vs. Rice
Little Caesars PizzaDec. 26MAC vs. Big TenN Illinois vs. Minnesota
PoinsettiaDec. 26Army vs. MWCNotre Dame* vs. Boise St
MilitaryDec. 27CUSA vs. ACCMarshall vs. N Carolina
TexasDec. 27Big 12 vs. Big TenTCU vs. Iowa
Kraft Fight HungerDec. 27BYU vs. Pac-12BYU vs. Arizona
PinstripeDec. 28American vs. Big 12Cincy vs. West Va.
BelkDec. 28American vs. ACCRutgers vs. Ga Tech
Russell AthleticDec. 28American vs. ACCUCF vs. Va Tech
Buffalo Wild WingsDec. 28Big 12 vs. Big TenTexas vs. Nebraska
Armed ForcesDec. 30MWC vs. NavyUtah State vs. Navy
Music CityDec. 30ACC vs. SECPittsburgh vs. Auburn
AlamoDec. 30Big 12 vs. Pac-12Okla. State vs. UCLA
HolidayDec. 30Pac-12 vs. Big 12Wash vs. Texas Tech
AdvoCare V100Dec. 31ACC vs. SECNC State vs. Tennessee
SunDec. 31Pac-12 vs. ACCArizona St vs. Maryland
LibertyDec. 31SEC vs. CUSAMissouri vs. E Carolina
Chick-fil-ADec. 31SEC vs. ACCMiami vs. Ole Miss
GatorJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenFlorida vs. Michigan St
Heart of DallasJan. 1Big Ten vs. CUSAKansas State vs. Tulsa
OutbackJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenS Carolina vs. Wisconsin
Capital OneJan. 1SEC vs. Big TenN'western vs. A&M
RoseJan. 1BCS vs. BCSOregon vs. Michigan
FiestaJan. 1BCS vs. BCSStanford vs. Oklahoma
SugarJan. 2BCS vs. BCSGeorgia vs. Florida State
CottonJan. 3SEC vs. Big 12LSU vs. Baylor
OrangeJan. 3BCS vs. BCSClemson vs. Louisville
BBVA CompassJan. 4SEC vs. AmericanVanderbilt vs. Houston
GoDaddyJan. 5MAC vs. Sun BeltBGSU vs. Western Ky
National TitleJan. 6BCS vs. BCSAlabama vs. Ohio State


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