Heart of Dallas Bowl Preview and Prediction: Oklahoma State vs. Purdue

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Oklahoma State is a heavy favorite to beat Purdue on Jan. 1.

<p> Heart of Dallas Bowl Preview and Prediction: Oklahoma State vs. Purdue</p>

Purdue won three straight Big Ten games to get bowl eligible for the second season in row. Despite accomplishing at least six wins in back-to-back years for the first time since 2006-2007, the Boilermakers sent their head coach, Danny Hope, packing in favor of former Kent State head man Darrell Hazell. Former wide receivers coach Patrick Higgins will act as the interim leader for the bowl trip.

While the Boilermakers are in a state of transition, Oklahoma State is extremely stable on the sidelines. Despite five losses this year, Mike Gundy has the Cowboys achieving at unprecedented levels. The Pokes are heading to their program record seventh straight bowl game (4-2) and haven’t missed the postseason since Gundy’s first season in Stillwater.

The only meeting in the history of two programs took place in the 1997 Alamo Bowl. Joe Tiller’s Purdue squad handled Bob Simmons’ Oklahoma State team 33-20 in San Antonio behind 325 yards passing from quarterback Billy Dicken.

Heart of Dallas Bowl: Oklahoma State (7-5) vs. Purdue (6-6)

Date and Time: Jan. 1, at Noon ET
Network: ESPNU
Location: Cotton Bowl (Dallas, Texas)           

When the Oklahoma State Cowboys have the ball

Despite losing superstars at quarterback and wide receiver, the 2012 Cowboys featured their typical high-powered offense. Whether J.W. Walsh, Wes Lunt or Clint Chelf is under center, the Pokes are going to move the ball. At 44.7 points per game, Oklahoma State paced the offensive-minded Big 12 again this year. In fact, Gundy had three different players throw for at least 1,000 yards with Chelf getting the majority of the snaps in the final five games. 

Tailback Joseph Randle (1,351 yards, 14 TD) is the go-to talent on offense this year and will likely get his two-dozen touches (23.8) in this game. Josh Stewart is the top target in the passing game, catching nearly 100 passes for 1,154 yards and seven scores. The Boilermakers struggled to get stops all season, finishing 11th in the Big Ten in total defense and 10th in rushing defense, so look for Gundy to put the pedal down early and often.

When the Purdue Boilermakers have the ball

The revolving door at quarterback for Oklahoma State is nothing like what Purdue has dealt with the last few seasons. Caleb TerBush was lost for the year with three games to play and Robert Marve, who missed all of 2010 as well as three games early in both 2011 and 2012, took over the reins of the offense. He struggled in wins over Iowa and Illinois but had arguably the best game of his career in the season finale, throwing for 348 yards and four touchdowns.

Oklahoma State didn’t finish the year on a high note defensively, as it allowed 92 points in losses to Oklahoma and Baylor. But the Cowboys entered the final two weeks ranked fifth in the Big 12 in total defense at 388.2 yards per game and fifth in scoring defense at 26.1 points per game — which is more than acceptable with their offense. So the final numbers got skewed by two of the better offenses in the nation.

That said, this team led the nation in turnovers forced a year ago (44) but is 90th this year with just 17 takeaways. Against a revolving door at quarterback, Gundy has to view this bowl game as an opportunity for his sagging defense to make plays.

Final Analysis

Six different quarterbacks have played for these two programs this season. But one team has three quality options while the other may have none. One program has arguably the most successful coach in school history and a scheme that appears infallible on offense. Purdue has an interim head coach who handled the wide receivers this year. The Boilermakers will find it tough to keep pace with Gundy’s high-flying offense. Which is likely why the 16-point spread is one of the largest of the bowl season.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 42, Purdue 20
 

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