Mack Brown enters 2013 squarely on the hot seat.
With uncertainty looming over the top of the Big 12 in 2013, should Texas and Oklahoma still be considered the favorites? Or is it Oklahoma State or TCU? What about Kansas State or Baylor?
All six teams should be in the middle of the Big 12 title picture, but Texas is the biggest wildcard. The Longhorns have the talent to win the league but underachieved last year.
The Sooners lost a handful of key players, including quarterback Landry Jones, receiver Kenny Stills, left tackle Lane Johnson and safety Tony Jefferson. Despite the personnel losses, Oklahoma still remains one of the top teams in the Big 12.
Is Texas ready to reclaim the top spot in the Big 12? Or is Oklahoma still a safer pick to have more wins in 2013?
The 2013 college football season is still over 100 days away, but it’s never too early to start talking predictions and expectations for each team going into 2013.
Athlon Sports’ college football top 25 countdown for 2013 is officially underway. To provide some insight into the selections and rankings for 2013, Athlon’s editors will be debating some of the hottest topics from the preseason throughout May.
Oklahoma or Texas: Which Team Will Have More Wins in 2013?
David Fox (@DavidFox615)
The 2013 season looks like the point where Texas and Oklahoma will trade fortunes. Texas’ defense can’t be as bad as it was a year ago, especially with Jordan Hicks, Dalton Santos and Peter Jinkens stabilizing the linebacker group. That’s going to improve the run defense, and the dearth of experienced quarterbacks in the Big 12 will make it a little bit easier than it was a year ago. No more Landry Jones, Geno Smith, Seth Doege or even Nick Florence. That makes David Ash a grizzled veteran by comparison. Now, he just needs to play with more consistency. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has a tough schedule with Notre Dame in South Bend early (Texas gets a more manageable matchup against BYU on the road). The Sooners also catch Baylor and Kansas State on the road in November, which will be tough matchups at that point in the year, to say nothing of a trip to Stillwater.
Braden Gall (@BradenGall)
Give me the Horns. And, as usual, it will likely come down to the Red River Shootout — as well as one nasty non-conference game. Road trips to Notre Dame, Baylor, Kansas State and Oklahoma State are brutal for the Sooners and will likely provide two losses. Meanwhile, Texas visits BYU, TCU, Iowa State, West Virginia and Baylor. Both are difficult schedules, but I will give Texas a slight edge in this department. They will win their tough non-con road game (BYU) while Oklahoma will lose (Notre Dame). So the question becomes has the Burnt Orange closed the 63-21 gap on the Crimson and Cream from a year ago? With most of the key players returning to Austin and most of the key players departing Norman, I will take the Horns both to finish 9-3 as Texas wins the tie-breaker by winning Shootout at The Texas State fair.
Oklahoma will need to replace some key contributors from recent teams -- most notably quarterback Landry Jones and defensive stalwart Tony Jefferson -- and do so while facing a flat-out nasty schedule. OU's slate includes road trips to Notre Dame, Baylor, Kansas State and a season finale in Stillwater against Oklahoma State, which seems to be emerging as the consensus favorite to win the conference. The Sooners also catch what should be a dangerous TCU team the week after the game in South Bend. Even the supposed cupcakes on the schedule, Louisiana-Monroe and Tulsa, aren't exactly gimmes.
On the other hand, if Mack Brown can't get Texas back on track this year, he never will. The Longhorns return a ton of experience at all the key positions. More importantly, the schedule sets up awfully well for UT. A road game at BYU should provide a decent early test. There are also trips to TCU and Baylor on the docket. All in all, Texas has a pretty friendly road to travel, most of which will be paved through Darrell K. Royal Stadium.
Call the Red River Shootout a toss-up. I think that probably caps OU's possible win total at 10. Texas would actually have a decent shot at winning all 12 regular season games. As such, I'd bet the Longhorns end up with more wins this fall.
Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven)
Can I say a tie? I wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams finish with the same amount of wins (9 or 10), but I have to give Oklahoma a slight edge over Texas.
The Longhorns have a slightly more favorable non-conference schedule, especially since Oklahoma has to play at Notre Dame, while Texas’ toughest game outside of the Big 12 is at BYU.
In conference play, the Longhorns might have a slight edge, as Texas has to play at TCU and Baylor, while Oklahoma has to play at Kansas State, Baylor and Oklahoma State.
While I’m giving Texas a slight edge in the conference and non-conference schedule portions, I still think the Sooners end up with more victories. Oklahoma should go 3-1 in non-conference play, with wins in Big 12 action against TCU, West Virginia, Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech, Iowa State and either Kansas State or Baylor. Although Texas has a favorable path in Big 12 contests, I think the Longhorns could lose at TCU, at Baylor, home against Oklahoma State and the Red River Rivalry matchup against Oklahoma.
Texas' non-conference slate, which is highlighted by a road game at BYU and a visit from Ole Miss, appears to be a little tougher than Oklahoma's. The Sooners go to South Bend, Ind., to play Notre Dame in late September, but they can't afford to overlook Tulsa at home two weeks earlier either. Both teams play the same conference schedule, with OU having road games against Kansas State and in-state rival Oklahoma State to close out the regular season, while the Longhorns will have to go to Forth Worth to play TCU and Morgantown, W.Va., to take on the Mountaineers.
It wouldn't surprise me one bit if this two-team race ends up getting decided by the Red River Rivalry matchup, which will take place on Oct. 12, but don't lose sight that both the Sooners and Longhorns will have to go to Waco, Texas, to play Baylor this season. The Bears should be fairly dangerous once again on offense, and always seem to play at their best at home. In the end, I think Oklahoma finishes one or two wins ahead of Texas, thanks in large part to a fourth straight Red River Rivalry victory.
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