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Can Iowa State win its second bowl game under coach Paul Rhoads?
-by Braden Gall (follow at @BradenGall)
Rutgers (8-4) vs. Iowa State (6-6)
Date: Dec. 30 at 3:20 p.m. ET
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York City, N.Y.
The second annual Pinstripe Bowl will feature two teams that have never met on the college gridiron. Both Iowa State and Rutgers missed out on a postseason experience in 2010 but have returned to the bowl scene in 2011. Iowa State, who is 3-7 all-time in bowl games, beat Minnesota 14-13 in the 2009 Insight Bowl its last trip to a bowl while Rutgers topped UCF 45-23 in the 2009 St. Petersburg Bowl the last time the Knights went to the postseason. The Knights have won four straight bowl appearances and are 4-2 all-time — with five of those showing coming under current head coach Greg Schiano.
However, both teams enter the bowl season on the skids. The Cyclones lost its final two games of the regular season to Oklahoma and Kansas State after the monumental home upset of Oklahoma State. Rutgers, who will play its second game at Yankee Stadium this year, got inexplicably blown out by UConn 40-22 in the final regular season contest.
In the inaugural Pinstripe Bowl, Syracuse topped Kansas State 36-34 in one of the most exciting (and unfortunate) games of the bowl season last winter. With two of the worst offenses in the postseason, last year’s offensive fireworks are highly unlikely.
WHEN IOWA STATE HAS THE BALL:
Quarterback Steele Jantz began the season as a cult hero in Ames after a triple-overtime thriller over Iowa in which he threw four touchdowns. But in the process of another stellar win over UConn, Jantz sprained his foot and was never the same — turning the ball over five times in the next three games. With Jantz struggling, coach Paul Rhoads turned to redshirt freshman Jared Barnett. The dual-threat won his first three starts including the miracle upset of Oklahoma State in which he accounted for 376 yards passing, 84 yards rushing and three total touchdowns.
Barnett rushed for 348 yards in his five starts and brings the ability to move the ball on the ground as well as through the air. He is responsible for leading the two best offensive performances of the season for Iowa State (568 yards against Oklahoma State and 512 against Texas Tech). Combined with the team's leading rusher, James White (701 yards, 8 TD), the Cyclones will undoubtedly look to take advantage of the Big East’s worst rush defense. At over 180 yards per game on the ground, this is easily the strength of the Iowa State attack.
That said, Iowa State finished last in the Big 12 in passing efficiency and will have to complete passes against the Knights’ conference leading pass defense if it expects to win. Rutgers has allowed a stingy, Big East-best 18.8 points per game in 2011.
WHEN RUTGERS HAS THE BALL:
To say that running the football was a struggle for the Knights in 2011 would be an understatement. As a team, Rutgers rushed for five total yards or less on four different occasions this season and miraculously won two of those games. Schiano will turn to a number of players to attempt to improve on the -9 total yards rushing Rutgers posted in the season finale loss to UConn. The good news? Iowa State is ranked 100th nationally at over 195 yards allowed per game. Look for a heavy dose of Jawan Jamison, who rushed for 200 yards and two touchdowns on 34 attempts in the 20-3 win over Cincinnati on November 19.
While Rutgers has struggled on offense all season (and Iowa State the same on defense), one player who has proven his talent is Knights’ wide receiver Mohamed Sanu. The physically superior star athlete finished sixth in the nation at over nine catches per game (109 for the season) and will be a nightmare match-up for any Cyclone. Look for whoever is under center, be it sophomore Chas Dodd or freshman Gary Nova, to get the ball to No. 6 early and often.
Neither team will have much of an advantage in the third phase of the game. Both struggle to return or cover punts while both teams are solid in the kickoff return game. Although, Iowa State may have a slight advantage when it lines up for field goals. Cyclone kicker Zach Guyer only missed 25% of his attempts (9 of 12 FGM) this season where Rutgers’ San San Te missed 10 field goal kicks (18 of 28 FGM).
Don’t expect a bunch of beautifully executed big plays on offense in this one. At least three quarterbacks figure to see the field and points should be a premium. This feels like a sloppy affair with Rutgers winning behind one big play from the best player on either team: Mohamed Sanu.
Rutgers 17, Iowa State 14