2011 Fantasy Ranks: OF

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Athlon presents the first release of its consensus fantasy rankings.

Athlon presents the first release of its consensus fantasy rankings.

While we still have over a month until voluntary report dates (Feb. 14th can’t get here quickly enough), it is never too early for fantasy owners to start digesting mock drafts, big boards and keeper options.

With that in mind, Athlon Sports has perused the World Wide Web for the latest and greatest positional rankings and brought them together for a one-stop shop. Big media names like ESPN, CBS, Athlon Sports and Yahoo! were incorporated as well as a variety of smaller, yet no less insightful, sites like FantasyPhenoms.com, DeepLeagues.com, RotoChamp.com, HardballTimes.com and RotoProfessor.com.

Each site’s rankings — including Athlon’s own rankings, which will be released early in February — were compiled and averaged into one “consensus” ranking. (Age on Opening Day 2011)

1. Carlos Gonzalez, COL (25)
Few players in history have ever posted a line like CarGo put up last summer. Unsurprisingly, the seasons that compare most with Gonzalez 2010 were also posted by Rockies. This is, of course, because home-road splits for most Rocks look off balance – as is the case with CarGo. He has a career home OPS of .985 and career road OPS of .739. Just let your imagination run wild with what this guy could do if he played a whole year in Coors Field?

2010 Stats: 111 R, 34 HR, 117 RBI, 26 SB, .336/.974

2. Ryan Braun, MIL (27)

Braun is entering his fifth major league season at an unprecedented level. His career averages: 99 R, 32 HR, 105 RBI, 16 SB, .307/.918. No player in history has touched Braun’s first four years of production and owners can expect much of the same in 2011.

2010 Stats: 101 R, 25 HR, 103 RBI, 14 SB, .304/.866

3. Carl Crawford, BOS (29)

Crawford has led the league in triples four times and stolen bases four times. Last season, he added two more categories to his roto-friendly game. He set career highs in runs, home runs and ribeyes in 2010. The change to Boston should actually be relatively negligible. The line-up around him is a small step up but the switch in parks (from a hitting standpoint) could actually hurt him. His career .275 BA and .708 OPS in Fenway makes his new home one of his worst hitting parks in the AL. However, playing on a natural surface instead of that terrible turf in Tampa should add some years to his baseball life.

2010 Stats: 110 R, 19 HR, 90 RBI, 47 SB, .307/.851

4. Matt Holliday, STL (31)
Holliday will never relive his 2007, where he led the league in hits, doubles, RBI, batting average and total bases. But his career .317 average makes him as dependable as anyone in baseball. In 831 at-bats as a Cardinal, Holliday has 41 homers, 158 RBI and a percentage line that is a very juicy .324/.386/.552. I guess hitting around King Albert is a good thing, eh? His speed is solid (career 13 SBs per season) but will never revert back to 2008 form (28 SB).

2010 Stats: 95 R, 28 HR, 103 RBI, 9 SB, .312/.922

5. Josh Hamilton, TEX (29)

The issue with Hamilton isn’t his talent or upside. Those make him capable of fantasy magic every year. But his poor history with injuries had led to wildly inconsistent at-bat totals: 298, 624, 336, 518. Moving him from center to left should help him protect his body better. The lack of speed (and the injury concern) is the only thing keeping him from being the leagues best fantasy OF.


2010 Stats: 95 R, 32 HR, 100 RBI, 8 SB, .359/1.044

6. Matt Kemp, LAD (26)

What a wild ride the last few years have been for Kemp. A magical, breakout, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, trip to the NLCS 2009 announced Kemp’s arrival. Yet, every aspect of his game took major steps back last fall – including his electric defensive prowess. It appears that a “lack of focus” may be the culprit (along with one famous pop star), so expect a bounce back year. That won’t happen, however, until he learns how to take a pitch. He struck out 462 times over the last three years.

2010 Stats: 82 R, 28 HR, 89 RBI, 19 SB, .249/.760

7. Shin-Soo Choo, CLE (28)

Choo is a model of consistency – which is even more impressive when you consider the team he plays on. Without much help around him, Choo has topped the .300 mark in each of his first three season (min. 300 ABs). His HR and RBI have gone up slightly three straight seasons. His upside is not that of the names above, but when it comes to consistent five (or six) category production, few can match Choo. And he should get Grady Sizemore back around him in the line-up.

2010 Stats: 81 R, 22 HR, 90 RBI, 22 SB, .300/.885

8. Jose Bautista, TOR (30)
This fantasy story is well-documented and might be the single most intriguing in all of fantasy-dom. Which one does not belong: 16, 15, 15, 15, 13, 54? Hmm, that is an easy one. Those are Bautista’s home run totals for the last six seasons. Can he hit 20-25 dingers in 2011? Certainly, but how does a career .238 hitter (prior to 2010) maintain his stellar percentages (.260/.378/.671) from last year?

2010 Stats: 109 R, 54 HR, 124 RBI, 9 SB, .260/.995

9. Andrew McCutchen, PIT (24)

In short order, the hard-working McCutchen has become one of the best players in the game. From a fantasy perspective, even the team around him couldn’t slow him down last fall. Yet, his only roto weakness, RBI, could take a huge step forward IF Clint Hurdle could move him down in the order.

2010 Stats: 94 R, 16 HR, 56 RBI, 33 SB, .286/.814

10. Nelson Cruz, TEX (30)
Cruz is very similar to another Texas Ranger fantasy stud outfielder. If only he could stay healthy. The rightfielder has hit 55 home runs and stolen 37 bases in only 861 at-bats over the last two years. However, Cruz has averaged only 81 games played per year since breaking in Texas back in 2006 – and has never topped 130 games in any one year. He has topped 100 only twice in his career. If he can stay on the field, Cruz could push for a HR title.

2010 Stats: 60 R, 22 HR, 78 RBI, 17 SB, .318/.950

11. Alex Rios, CHW (30)
Rios clearly put his 2009 season in the rearview mirror. He returned to his five-category contributor self last season in his first full year in the Windy City. His four-year averages prior to his shockingly pathetic ’09 campaign were 86 R, 16 HR, 76 RBI, 20 SB, .289/.807. He was even better than that in 2010, so expect Rios to exceed those averages once again in 2011.

2010 Stats: 89 R, 21 HR, 88 RBI, 34 SB, .284/.791

12. Jason Heyward, ATL (21)
One down, 14 more to go. Pitchers, catchers, pitching coaches and fans of other NL East teams have at least a decade of dominance to look forward to from Mr. Heyward. As a rookie who started (and homered) from day one, Heyward only touched the surface of his potential last season. Despite the power, RBI numbers dipping in the second half last fall, the young Bravo improved his percentages dramatically in the second half. His BA went from .251 to .302 and his on-base percentage went from .366 to .419. His walks went up and his strikeouts went down as well.

2010 Stats: 83 R, 18 HR, 72 RBI, 11 SB, .277/.849

13. Ichiro, SEA (37)
Despite being largely a two-catergory contributor, Ichiro continues to produce at the plate at an alarming rate. He has an MLB record 10-straight 200-hit seasons – including leading the majors in that category for five straight. However, until the rest of the Seattle line-up can get Ichiro home, his run totals will be mediocre. He has rarely helped any team’s power numbers. If you need BA or SB help, though, Ichiro is still a fantastic option.

2010 Stats: 74 R, 6 HR, 43 RBI, 42 SB, .315/.753

14. Hunter Pence, HOU (28*)
When it comes to power numbers, few can offer the stability and consistency of Pence. He has knocked exactly 25 dingers in three straight seasons. His stolen base totals have increased every year, his strikeouts have dropped three straight seasons and his average stabilized at exactly .282 over the last two seasons. Now, if he can get some help from the young-ins around him.

2010 Stats: 93 R, 25 HR, 91 RBI, 18 SB, .282/.786

* - turns 28 on April 13


15. Jayson Werth, WAS (31)
Werth set career highs in runs, doubles, OPS and slugging percent. And that was with names like Utley, Howard, Rollins, Victorino, Polanco and Ibanez hitting around him. Now its Desmond, LaRoche, Morgan, Bernadina, Espinosa and (at least one stud) Ryan Zimmerman. Werth will need to shoulder more of the load in a bigger park, with worse players around him and more pressure.

2010 Stats: 106 R, 27 HR, 85 RBI, 13 SB, .296/.920

16. Justin Upton, ARI (23)
Is still very young with a good amount of experience, but how do we explain the 100-point drop in OPS?

2010 Stats: 73 R, 17 HR, 69 RBI, 18 SB, .273/.798

17. Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS (27)
If he stays healthy, he is rated entirely too low here. Is a .300, 120 R, 50 SB threat atop the best line-up in baseball.

2010 Stats: 10 R, 0 HR, 5 RBI, 7 SB, .192/.485

18. Andre Ethier, LAD (29*)
He has yet to top 600 ABs in any season. Health has been the only thing keeping him from an MVP season.

2010 Stats: 71 R, 23 HR, 82 RBI, 2 SB, .292/.857

* - turns 29 on April 10.


19. Shane Victorino, PHI (30)
Has 31 triples, 95 SB, 288 R and hit at a .281 clip over the last three years. The Flyin Hawaiian is a dependable speed merchant who offers some pop too. He is always a good value.

2010 Stats: 84 R, 18 HR, 69 RBI, 34 SB, .259/.756

20. Jay Bruce, CIN (24*)
This could be the last year to snag Bruce at a good price. But he could also revert back to his .240 form (career BA prior to 2010).

2010 Stats: 80 R, 25 HR, 70 RBI, 5 SB, .281/.846

* - turns 24 on April 3.

21. Chris Young, ARI (27)
A career .241, it is virtually impossible to project much of anything accurately for Young. Seriously, your guess is as good as mine.

2010 Stats: 94 R, 27 HR, 91 RBI, 28 SB, .257/.793

22. Nick Markakis, BAL (27)
Last season was tough, but the talent is so obvious for Markakis. With additions Derrek Lee and Mark Reynolds, expect his numbers to bounce back.

2010 Stats: 79 R, 12 HR, 60 RBI, 7 SB, .297/.806

23. B.J. Upton, TB (26)
Bossman Junior has topped 40 stolen bases in three straight seasons. But he hit well below .250 the last two seasons, has never scored 90 runs in a single season and his power fluctuates from 24 HR (2007) to 9 (2008).

2010 Stats: 89 R, 18 HR, 62 RBI, 42 SB, .237/.746

24. Corey Hart, MIL (29)
Career highs in runs, homers and ribeyes are highly unlikely to be repeated. And his speed is all but gone. A very risky pick in ’11.

2010 Stats: 91 R, 31 HR, 102 RBI, 7 SB, .283/.865

25. Colby Rasmus, STL (24)
His work ethic and attitude might be the only thing that could slow this rising star.

2010 Stats: 85 R, 23 HR, 66 RBI, 12 SB, .276/.859
 

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<p> Athlon scours the web to compile its first consensus fantasy MLB rankings for 2011. Today, we focus on outfield.</p>

26. Mike Stanton, FLA (21)
2010 Stats: 45 R, 22 HR, 59 RBI, 5 SB, .259/.833

27. Curtis Granderson, DET (30)
2010 Stats: 76 R, 24 HR, 67 RBI, 12 SB, .247/.792

28. Delmon Young, MIN (25)
2010 Stats: 77 R, 21 HR, 112 RBI, 5 SB, .298/.826

29. Juan Pierre, CHW (33)
2010 Stats: 96 R, 1 HR, 47 RBI, 68 SB, .275/.657

30. Drew Stubbs, CIN (26)

2010 Stats: 91 R, 22 HR, 77 RBI, 30 SB, .255/.773

31. Torii Hunter, LAA (35)
2010 Stats: 76 R, 23 HR, 90 RBI, 9 SB, .281/.818

32. Grady Sizemore, CLE (28)
2010 Stats: 15 R, 0 HR, 13 RBI, 4 SB, .211/.560


33. Adam Jones, BAL (25)
2010 Stats: 76 R, 19 HR, 69 RBI, 7 SB, .284/.767

34. Vernon Wells, LAA (32)
2010 Stats: 79 R, 31 HR, 88 RBI, 6 SB, .273/.846

35. Carlos Quentin, CHW (28)
2010 Stats: 73 R, 26 HR, 87 RBI, 2 SB, .243/.821

36. Brett Gardner, NYY (27)
2010 Stats: 97 R, 5 HR, 47 RBI, 47 SB, .277/.762

37. Ben Zobrist, TB (29)
2010 Stats: 77 R, 10 HR, 75 RBI, 24 SB, .238/.699

38. Bobby Abreu, LAA (37)
2010 Stats: 88 R, 20 HR, 78 RBI, 24 SB, .255/.787

39. Jason Bay, NYM (32)
2010 Stats: 48 R, 6 HR, 47 RBI, 10 SB, .259/.749

40. Nick Swisher, NYY (30)
2010 Stats: 91 R, 29 HR, 89 RBI, 1 SB, .288/.870

41. Carlos Beltran, NYM (33)
2010 Stats: 21 R, 7 HR, 27 RBI, 3 SB, .255/.768

42. Denard Span, MIN (27)
2010 Stats: 85 R, 3 HR, 58 RBI, 26 SB, .264/.679

43. Carlos Lee, HOU (34)
2010 Stats: 67 R, 24 HR, 89 RBI, 3 SB, .246/.708

44. Michael Bourn, HOU (28)
2010 Stats: 84 R, 2 HR, 38 RBI, 52 SB, .265/.687

45. Aubrey Huff, SF (34)

2010 Stats: 100 R, 26 HR, 86 RBI, 7 SB, .290/.891

46. Michael Cuddyer, MIN (32)

2010 Stats: 93 R, 14 HR, 81 RBI, 7 SB, .271/.753

47. Austin Jackson, DET (24)
2010 Stats: 103 R, 4 HR, 41 RBI, 27 SB .293/.745

48. Angel Pagan, NYM (29)
2010 Stats: 80 R, 11 HR, 69 RBI, 37 SB, .290/.765

49. Andres Torres, SF (33)
2010 Stats: 84 R, 16 HR, 63 RBI, 26 SB, .268/.822

50. Jose Tabata, PIT (22)
2010 Stats: 61 R, 4 HR, 35 RBI, 19 SB, .299/.746

51. Magglio Ordonez, DET (37)
2010 Stats: 56 R, 12 HR, 59 RBI, 1 SB, .303/.852

52. Adam Lind, TOR (27)
2010 Stats: 57 R, 23 HR, 72 RBI, 0 SB, .237/.712

53. Desmond Jennings, TB (24)

2010 Stats: 5 R, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 2 SB, .190/.625

54. Travis Snider, TOR (23)
2010 Stats: 36 R, 14 HR, 32 RBI, 6 SB, .255/.767

55. Coco Crisp, OAK (31)
2010 Stats: 51 R, 8 HR, 38 RBI, 32 SB, .279/.780

56. Logan Morrison, FLA (23)

2010 Stats: 43 R, 2 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB, .283/.837

57. Raul Ibanez, PHI (38)
2010 Stats: 75 R, 16 HR, 83 RBI, 4 SB, .275/.793

58. Marlon Byrd, CHC (33)
2010 Stats: 84 R, 12 HR, 66 RBI, 5 SB, .293/.775

59. Rajai Davis, TOR (30)

2010 Stats: 66 R, 5 HR, 52 RBI, 50 SB, .284/.697


60. Josh Willingham, OAK (31)

2010 Stats: 54 R, 16 HR, 56 RBI, 8 SB, .268/.848