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Bank on Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs in Fantasy But Fade These Prop Bets

The Bills' offense will be explosive in 2022 but bettors should be wary of their superstars' player props.

Fans, fantasy football players, and sports bettors have lofty expectations for the Buffalo Bills in 2022. Oddsmakers at DraftKings have the franchise listed as the betting favorites to win Super Bowl LVII.

Bettors and fantasy owners appear convinced that quarterback Josh Allen will thrive in Ken Dorsey’s first season as the Buffalo offensive coordinator after last year’s O.C. Brian Daboll moved on to become head coach of the New York Giants.

Sportsbooks are offering several intriguing player proposition markets involving the Bills' elite quarterback.

Josh Allen Under Rushing 6.5 Touchdowns (-110)

Allen is the most coveted quarterback in fantasy football in 2022 due to his ability to supplement his passing stats with impressive rushing ability. The talented signal-caller amassed the third-most rushing yards (763) amongst all quarterbacks last season behind only Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts (784) and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (767).

However, Allen saw his streak of at least eight rushing touchdowns in three consecutive seasons snapped last year after scoring just six times on the ground. Despite posting the most rushing attempts (122) in his career, bettors should expect regression for a second consecutive season in his rushing touchdown production as the club aims to protect their franchise player from punishing hits near the endzone.

Stefon Diggs Under 1,200.5 Receiving yards

The receiving tandem of Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis combined for 1,774 yards and 16 touchdowns last season. When NFL fans last saw Davis in the AFC title game he was hauling in an eye-popping eight receptions for 201 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

Based upon projections that Davis has earned a larger role in the passing game, it will likely lead to regression in the receiving production for Diggs. The veteran wideout, who has posted two straight 1,200-plus yard seasons, finds his betting projection listed directly at that threshold.

As Dorsey looks to get Davis more involved in his third season, that will lead to fewer targets for Diggs resulting in an overall statistical decline.