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Bengals at Browns Odds, Over/Under, Best Bets, for Monday Night Football

The NFL action in Week 8 comes to an end with this AFC North rivalry that features the Bengals as a 3-point road favorite in Cleveland.

Joe Burrow has never beaten the Browns in his career. He’s winless in three tries against the AFC North foe and has a chance to score his first victory against Cleveland on Monday night.

This is a crucial game for the division standings and playoff race on both fronts. On one hand, the Bengals (4-2) can tie the Ravens for the best record in the division with a win. And the Browns (2-5) can end their four-game freefall and stay afloat if they are victorious.

The Bengals are 3-point favorites and have been one of the best teams to bet on all year long with a 5-2 mark against the spread. The Browns are 3-4 ATS and this is their second time getting points at home this season.

Bengals vs. Browns Odds

  • Moneyline: Bengals (-188) | Browns (+155)
  • Spread: Bengals -3 (-105) | Browns +3 (-115)
  • Total: 46.5 Over (-106) | Under (-114)

Cincinnati has a top-10 offense on the back of its top-five passing attack. With Burrow dropping back to throw at one of the highest rates in the NFL, the Bengals rely heavily on their talented trio of receivers. That group will be reduced to the duo of Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd against the Browns with leading receiver Ja’Marr Chase (hip) ruled out and expected to miss multiple weeks. Joe Mixon gets plenty of opportunities and had the third-most touches in the NFL entering the week, but he’s been largely ineffective as a rusher so far.

It should be relatively easy for Cincinnati to move the ball against Cleveland. The Browns have one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL, which could mean more success for Mixon on the ground, and a middle-of-the-pack defense against the pass. The Bengals have set new season-highs in points in back-to-back weeks with 30 against the Saints and 35 against the Falcons. Cleveland’s defense allows 26.6 points per game, the fifth-most in football.

The strength of the Browns' offense lies in its backfield: Nick Chubb leads the league in rushing yards (740) and touchdowns (eight) entering the week. And behind him is Kareem Hunt, who’s been lightly used this season but is still effective when called upon. Cleveland’s passing offense takes a backseat to the rushing attack and quarterback Jacoby Brissett will be without tight end David Njoku (ankle) this week, one of his favorite targets. Harrison Bryant will have to step up with Njoku out as will top receivers Amari Cooper and Donovan Peoples-Jones.

The Bengals are a tough team to throw on and they hold up well enough against the run. Cincinnati allows a little more than 200 yards through the air to opponents and about 120 on the ground. And as far as scoring defense goes, only a few teams limit opposing offenses better than the Bengals do. They allow 18.9 points per game, tied for the sixth-best mark in the league.

The Browns (5-2) and Bengals (2-5) have opposite over/under records, but the way Cincinnati has been scoring at will, it won’t take many points from Cleveland for this contest to hit the over. And given the way these teams have been playing lately, it’s hard to see Cleveland ending its skid with Cincinnati coming to town even though Chase is sidelined. Still, three of the Browns’ losses on their current losing streak have come by just three points with the lone outlier a 38-15 blowout at the hands of the Patriots. So they’ve been in games—they just haven’t been able to finish well.

Even if Chubb runs all over the Cincinnati defense, I expect Burrow to more than make up for that with the damage he does through the air against Cleveland’s secondary. Make it three wins in a row for the Bengals and Burrow’s first win against the Browns.

The Pick:

Bengals -3

Over 46