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Best Bets and Odds for Browns, Steelers on Thursday Night Football

Our professional bettor reveals their best bets for this AFC North battle that kicks off Week 3.

The Steelers head to Cleveland for in what is expected to be a low-scoring affair for "Thursday Night Football." Here is the odds breakdown for the AFC North battle:

  • Moneyline: Steelers (+188) | Browns (-225)
  • Spread: Steelers +5.5(-110) | Browns -5.5(-110)
  • Total: 38.5 Over (-110) | Under (-110)

The Browns host the Steelers at FirstEnergy Stadium and they will look to bounce back after a devastating loss to the Jets on Sunday. In their first game of the season, the Browns won and covered the spread as favorites vs. the Panthers.

The Steelers will also be looking to get back into the win column after losing to the Patriots on Sunday and also failing to cover the spread. In their first game of the season, the Steelers won SU vs. the Bengals despite being the home underdogs.

Steelers games have gone under the points total in both matchups, while the Browns have gone over in both of their matchups.

So, what should we expect on Thursday night?

One thing is for sure: lots of Nick Chubb.

The Browns are a run-first offense and they should find success vs. the Steelers who have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards and the fourth-most receiving yards to opposing running backs through the first two contests. Kareem Hunt will also get in on the action.

Meanwhile, Jacoby Brissett has proven to be a competent QB, completing 65.6 percent of his passes (12th in league) on his 61 passing attempts while only throwing one interception. The Browns should be able to manage this game, even if it isn’t a high-scoring one. Amari Cooper will likely be the main target for Brissett, as he saw a 37 percent target share (sixth in the NFL) in Week 2 and logged a 101-yard game. The Steelers have allowed the second-most receiving yards (426) to opposing wide receivers this year.

The Browns' defense has been stout vs. the run, allowing only 114 rushing yards to opposing running backs in two games. That doesn’t bode well for Najee Harris, who has only averaged 2.8 yards per attempt. Harris coming off an injury and runs behind a struggling O-line. However, the Browns' secondary has allowed the sixth-most passing yards this season, so Mitch Trubisky and his weapons would do well to try to attack through the air.

Diontae Johnson will likely be featured in this game. Johnson has been Trubisky’s favorite target, commanding a 31.4 percent target share for the Steelers which is the seventh-highest number in the league. Trubisky should be able to hit Johnson and his other preferred target, TE Pat Freirmuth for a score or two. Harris could also be a target in the receiving game. Trubisky has only 362 passing yards and a 59.2 percent completion rate, so it’s hard to see a lot of points coming from the Steelers.

Ultimately, the Browns have the edge both offensively and defensively and they will be looking to avenge their embarrassing loss on Sunday in front of the home crowd. Location means a lot in this case as the favorites should be able to win by a TD.

THE PICK: Browns -5.5