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Best Player Props and Odds for Week 2 on DraftKings Sportsbook

The oddsmakers on DraftKings gave these NFL stars shockingly low total yards and receptions in the prop bet markets.

With one weekend of NFL action in the books, it’s time to prepare for Week 2 with a deep dive into exploitable player props on DraftKings. Repeating last week’s results rarely happens in the NFL, even if a player has a too-good-to-be-true matchup. Early in the season, snap counts can signal future opportunities.

RB Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos

(Over 85.5 rushing and receiving yards, -115)

Despite finishing with only seven carries in Week 1 (two in the second half), Williams gained 108 combined yards thanks to better-than-expected chances in receptions (11). Denver had him on the field for 58 percent of their plays. Game script led to the Broncos chasing on the scoreboard, creating fewer runs than expected in the second half. DraftKings list Denver as a 10-point favorite, suggesting the Broncos will play from the lead, creating more rushing attempts. Williams is my top-rated rusher this week while on a path to gain 130 combined yards. I expect him to gain more than 85.5 combined yards this week with a considerable margin for error.

RB Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots

(Over 1.5 catches, -200)

Over the summer, Stevenson has been getting praise from the Patriots’ coaching staff for his growth as a receiver. Unfortunately, New England placed Ty Montgomery in front of him on passing downs in Week 1. They only had Stevenson on the field for 25 percent of their plays due to chasing on the scoreboard in the second half. He finished the game with only 27 combined yards and two catches on 10 touches. Montgomery landed on injured reserve this week, pointing to Stevenson receiving more work on passing downs. The flaw in his reception betting line has been easy to identify, meaning it costs $200 to win $100 at DraftKings.

WR Zay Jones, Jacksonville Jaguars

(Over 3.5 catches, -130)

Fantasy drafters and sportsbooks have yet to upgrade Jones' role in the Jaguars' passing game after they traded Laviska Shenault to the Panthers just before the start of the season. Jacksonville had Jones on the field in Week 1 for 83 percent of their snaps (WR2), leading to six catches for 65 yards on nine targets. He brings a possession-type skill set, setting the stage for a 5/50 output in many weeks in 2022. Jones needs four catches to be a winning investment against the Colts. In Week 18 with the Raiders at Indianapolis last year, he caught eight passes for 120 yards on 10 targets.

RB David Montgomery, Chicago Bears

(Over 2.5 catches, -130)

Despite a dull showing in Week 1 (17/26 with three catches for 24 yards) that wasn’t helped by heavy rains, Montgomery was still on the field for 66 percent of the running back snaps for the Bears. He finished with 20 touches, showing high opportunity. In 2021 vs. Green Bay, he rushed for 42 yards on 10 carries while adding six catches for 39 yards. From Week 12 to Week 16 last year, Montgomery caught 29 of his 34 targets for 202 yards (5.8 receptions per week). The Bears have questionable receiving options at WR2 and WR3, so they will look for their top pass-catching back to help move the chains vs. the Packers. If they fall behind early, Montgomery's chances will get even better to post a high total in catches.

WR Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos

(Over 55.5 yards receiving, -115)

The wise guys in the high-stakes fantasy football leagues fought for Sutton in many drafts. I saw him selected multiple times over other talented, proven wideouts in the second round. He needs more than 90 catches for 1,200 yards and eight to 10 touchdowns to pay off. The upgrade to Russell Wilson is his drawing card. In Week 1, Sutton caught four of his seven targets for 72 yards. Denver will get him more involved at home and I expect him to score at least once. Sutton looks overlooked by his projected receiving yards (55.5) at DraftKings in Week 2.