There’s a new quarterback in Denver and expectations are high. Will new head coach Nathaniel Hackett let Russell Wilson cook?
I’d bet on it.
Here are three Broncos player props worth looking at.
Russell Wilson over 31.5 passing touchdowns (-115)
Denver's new head coach, Nathaniel Hackett, was the offensive coordinator in Aaron Rodgers’ recent MVP seasons where Rodgers threw for 37 touchdowns in 2021 and 48 in 2020. Meanwhile, Wilson is coming from a run-heavy offense and still threw for more than 31 TDs in three of his past five seasons. Wilson is going to be unleashed in Denver. In a crowded and talented AFC West there are bound to be plenty of shootouts and Wilson has no lack of weapons with Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy at the ready.
Javonte Williams over 945.5 rushing yards (-115)
Williams and Melvin Gordon split carries in 2021, each having exactly 203, and though they are both expected to be on a “pitch count,” Williams is the younger back and we can assume this will probably end up more like a 60/40 split in 2022. This offense should be taking a big step forward with Russell Wilson under center and with a better passing game, that will also open up opportunities on the ground. Gordon was recently quoted saying they want Williams to “be the guy,” so there’s no reason to think the second-year rusher isn’t 1A. With a 50 percent share in 2021, Williams tallied 903 yards on the ground. He can easily rush for an additional 50 yards this year.
Courtland Sutton over 5.5 receiving touchdowns (-115)
Among active quarterbacks, Russell Wilson has the best deep ball passing rating (111.1). Guess who the next two on the list are? Patrick Mahomes (109.6) and Justin Herbert (106.9). Not only does that scream over for our Wilson touchdown prop, but it also means Sutton should crush. Sutton had the second-best average depth of target (ADOT) in 2021 at 15.8 yards. Tyler Lockett, Wilson’s former teammate in Seattle, had the fourth best (15.4). See where I am going with this? Lockett logged eight touchdowns in 2021 and all of them were in games played with Wilson. Sutton is going to shine in 2022.