The DFS company Underdog offered an incredible prize pool for their $25 best ball tournament over the summer, giving one lucky drafter a chance to take home an astounding $2 million after Week 17 of the football season. Additionally, daily gamers can get secondary interest in games during the season by playing the pickup contest each week.
The goal is to pick between two and five players in this week’s games. Underdog posts multiple variations of over/under plays for player props. They don’t make the game easy, but 20-to-1 odds on a five-player card create motivation to review their options each week to see if there are some investing opportunities.
Here are my top five plays for Week 2:
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(Under 95.5 combined rushing and receiving yards)
With Tampa playing from the lead in Week 1, Fournette gained 127 rushing yards on 21 carries with two catches for 10 yards. The Bucs had him on the field for 76 percent of their plays. Last year, he struggled in both starts against the Saints (43 combined yards and 67 combined yards). New Orleans had the second-best running back defense in 2021, with backs struggling to make plays in the run game (357/1,305/7 – 3.7 yards per carry). Atlanta ran the ball better than expected in Week 1 (38/201/2), suggesting their stout run defense has more risk this season. Fournette needs touches in heavy volume to reach his over side of his play prop. He missed practice this week with a hamstring injury, but Fournette should play on Sunday. I expect Rachaad White to get a few more chances vs. the Saints.
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
(Over 11.95 fantasy points)
In Week 1, Sutton caught four passes for 72 yards on seven targets while falling short of expectations in the daily market. Russell Wilson should get him rolling this week at home. I expect him to score against Houston, making it easier to reach the over in his projections. Underdog uses half-point PPR scoring, meaning that Sutton needs about six catches for 90 yards to post a winning score if he doesn’t score.
AJ Dillon, Green Bay Packers
(Over 12.45 fantasy points)
The running back position will drive the Packers’ offense early in the season until Green Bay's young wideouts find their way. Dillon was on the field for 51 percent of their running back plays against the Vikings, compared to 61 percent by Aaron Jones. He led the team in rushing production (91 combined yards with one touchdown and five catches). Last season, Dillon didn’t have a touchdown or catch in his two starts against the Bears. The Packers need a win and should pound the ball at the goal line. With a touchdown, he only needs 65 combined yards to reach a winning total in his prop bet.
Allen Robinson, Los Angeles Rams
(Over 10.75 fantasy points)
The bounce-back theory is in effect for Robinson after the Rams failed to get him involved in Week 1 (1/12 on two targets). His role with his new team points to a much higher ceiling, but Robinson most likely can’t post a winning prop bet this week without scoring. Los Angeles will milk the clock with their run game if the Falcons struggle to score. Cooper Kupp commands many targets, but he also gets attention from defenses. With a touchdown, Robinson only needs four catches for 30 yards to print his winning ticket in the over in his prop bet.
Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders
(Over 57.5 rushing yards)
Despite falling behind early against the Chargers, Jacobs was on the field for 60 percent of the running back plays. Las Vegas only gave him 11 touches in Week 1, leading to 73 combined yards with one catch. In 2021, he gained more than 58 rushing yards in his final four starts (27/129, 16/63/1, 26/132/1, and 13/83). Arizona struggled vs. running backs in Week 1 (42.50 fantasy points) with plenty of damage against the run (23/126/1). Jacobs needs about 15 rushes to have a reasonable shot of reaching his winning rushing total.