The Indianapolis Colts have a win total of 10, with the over being slightly juiced (-105). It seems oddsmakers believe that new quarterback Matt Ryan will be successful alongside stud running back Jonathan Taylor and emerging star wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr.
If you agree, why not bet on it?
Here are three player props that are worth considering.
Ryan over 25.5 Passing TDs (+100)
Ryan had only 20 passing touchdowns last year with Atlanta, so perhaps that’s why this number looks so low, but last year he was without a true No. 1 wide receiver. Meanwhile, Carson Wentz had 27 touchdowns in this same Frank Reich offensive system. Compared to Wentz last year, Ryan is the superior passer, with a 67 percent completion rate in 2021, and a 65.5 percent completion rate for his career. He's thrown for 4,000 or more yards in 10 of his 14 seasons in the league and he passed for more than 25 TDs in nine of them. Now he gets an upgraded offensive line and a true No. 1 in Michael Pittman Jr. Take the over at even money.
Pittman over 1025.5 receiving yards (-115)
Pittman logged a 24 percent target share in 2021 – tied for the eighth-highest in the league – and he finished with 1,082 yards. With Matt Ryan under center, Pittman has a chance to truly break out. Ryan has a knack for fueling big seasons for his favorite target (think Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones). The Colts' receiving options outside of Pittman are Parris Campbell (long injury history) and Alec Pierce (unproven rookie). Pittman should easily eclipse this mark.
Pittman is ranked in Tier 3 on Athlon's Wide Receiver Rankings.
Pittman over 6.5 receiving TDs (-120)
Going along with my Pittman take above, I also expect Pittman to be a red zone target. Pittman saw 16 red zone targets (25.4 percent) and logged six touchdowns last season. Yes, Jonathan Taylor will certainly be snagging a lot of the goal line carries, but Pittman should be able to find the end zone at least seven times. Calvin Ridley finished with seven or more TDs in three seasons with Ryan and I expect Pittman can do the same.