If you’re looking to get in on the action, here are some player props worth considering.
Matt Ryan Under 234.5 passing yards (-125)
Ryan had his best outing of the season last week, passing for 352 yards and two TDs against a suspect Titans secondary. The Colts were playing catch-up the entire game on Sunday, but this Broncos defense is much tougher, allowing an average of only 193 passing yards per game. The game total is only listed at 43.5, so no one is expecting a shootout and the Broncos are only favored by -2.5 at home. I don’t see a lot of lead changes or a lot of scoring in this game. Let’s lean on the under.
Russell Wilson's longest pass completion Over 35.5 (-120)
Wilson has exceeded this prop in two of four contests this year, and I’m betting he does it again on Thursday. The Indianapolis defense has only allowed 218.5 passing yards per game this year including only 262 yards to Patrick Mahomes in a Colts victory, but Mahomes did have a 53-yard completion in that game. Wilson remains one of the best deep ball passers in the league and is currently tied with Jalen Hurts for the most pass attempts totaling 30-plus yards (8). Either Courtland Sutton or Jerry Jeudy could easily catch a deep ball Thursday at home.
Alec Pierce Over 34.5 receiving yards (-118)
It’s not a great matchup for Colts wide receivers as the Broncos have allowed an average of only 119 yards per game to opposing wideouts, but this receiving yards prop is very low for Pierce. Across the past two games, Pierce has been targeted 11 times for 141 yards.
Courtland Sutton Over 63.5 receiving yards (-120)
Sutton has exceeded this prop in three of four games this season, including against a strong San Francisco 49ers defense. He’s clearly Wilson’s favorite target, averaging nearly nine targets and 86 yards per game, and his 68.6 percent catch rate is superior to Jerry Jeudy’s. Take the over.