The Broncos’ early-season struggles have happened in full view of a national audience. Denver has a 1-2 record across three prime-time games this season and will play its fourth standalone game Monday night on the road against the Chargers.
Los Angeles is a 4.5-point favorite at home against the Broncos in a meeting between one of the best teams to bet on and one of the worst. L.A. is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) on the year while Denver is 1-4. These teams split the series each of the last two seasons and this contest matters a great deal for the battle for second place in the AFC West behind the first-place Chiefs.
- Moneyline: Broncos (+188) | Chargers (-225)
- Spread: Broncos +4.5 (-110) | Chargers -4.5 (-110)
- Total: 45.5 Over (-110) | Under (-110)
Point Spread Analysis
The Chargers return home after scoring road wins in back-to-back weeks. Los Angeles eked out a 30-28 win over the Browns last time out and dominated the Texans, 38-24, the week prior. The emergence of Austin Ekeler was vital for L.A.’s turnaround after a 1-2 start to the year. Ekeler amassed more than 300 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns in the last two games.
The Broncos head into Monday following consecutive losses and their last one was the low point of what’s already been a trying campaign. Denver did not score a touchdown in a 12-9 overtime loss to the Colts at home in Week 5. That loss came last Thursday night, following a 32-23 defeat at the hands of the Raiders, which was the first win of the season for Las Vegas.
Denver has the unique combination of a top-five defense and a bottom-five offense. Only four defenses allow fewer points than the Broncos and only one offense scores less. Russell Wilson leads a middling passing attack, though he’s established quite a connection with Courtland Sutton already. Sutton is tied for sixth in the league in receiving yards. Without Javonte Williams, the Broncos' run game ranks in the bottom half of the league. Nathaniel Hackett is relying on a committee led by Melvin Gordon that also includes Mike Boone and Latavius Murray.
On the other side of the ball, Denver has been on lockdown. It allows the fewest passing yards in the NFL (176.6) and only one opponent (Las Vegas) has managed more than 17 points.
That’s what Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert will have to contend with, likely without Keenan Allen (hamstring, listed as doubtful) for the fourth game in a row. Herbert is tied for the fifth-most passing touchdowns in the league (10) and has taken exceptional care of the ball, having only tossed two interceptions on 200 passing attempts. Los Angeles averages the second-most passing yards per game in the league (291.2) while its rushing attack gains just under 100 yards per game.