The Week 7 finale features the Bears and Patriots on "Monday Night Football."
New England is favored by more than a touchdown on its home turf in a game that features one of the lowest over/unders of the week (40.5). Mac Jones returns to the fold for the Patriots against a stout Chicago secondary after Bailey Zappe led the team to back-to-back wins. Meanwhile, the Bears, who are already 0-3 on the road this year, head into the contest riding a three-game losing streak.
Here are four prop bets I like in this game.
Jakobi Meyers Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Meyers has finished with at least 55 receiving yards in every game he’s played this season. That includes the first two games of the year with Mac Jones at quarterback, one of which saw Meyers record a season-high 13 targets, which he turned into nine catches for 95 yards. He’s the top target in the Patriots' offense and his yards per catch numbers are up to 13.4 this season, which means he only needs a handful of catches to clear this total. Meyers is going up against a tough Chicago secondary, which has limited opposing teams’ No. 1 receivers — aside from Justin Jefferson. I expect Jones to target his safety blanket early and often in his first game back from injury and for Meyers to deliver yet again.
Tyquan Thornton Anytime Touchdown (+280)
Thornton has the hot hand after his two-touchdown outing in the second game of his career. He had just seven touches last week as New England got its rookie involved on the ground and through the air and he made the most of his opportunities. A player with his speed is always a threat to score and he can do so on an end around or a deep ball. Maybe lightning doesn’t strike twice for Thornton, but he has the 10th-best odds to score in this game and I like that value.
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 81.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-120)
Once Stevenson’s workload increased in Week 3, he’s cleared this number with ease in each game. Stevenson’s rushing totals alone have hovered around this mark over the last four games and he’s adding in the neighborhood of 15-20 receiving yards on top of that. There’s the threat of Damien Harris’ return limiting Stevenson’s touch total, but Harris was healthy for a game where Stevenson logged 27 touches—and 175 total yards. Up against such a porous rushing defense, this should mark the fifth game in a row where Stevenson surpasses 90 yards from scrimmage.
Justin Fields Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
Fields has taken off at least eight times in all but one game this season. The Patriots have had a knack for getting into the backfield against opposing quarterbacks, which will necessitate a few extra scrambles for Fields, who should already see a handful of designed runs each game. The rushing attack is the strength of the Bears' offense and it all starts with its dual-threat quarterback. He had his best rushing game of the season last week against the Commanders when he amassed 88 yards on 12 carries, both season highs. Fields won’t shy away from using his legs against the Patriots' defense.