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Ravens-Buccaneers Odds, Point Total and Best Bets for Thursday Night

Week 8 kicks off with Tampa Bay hosting Baltimore as a one-point home underdog.

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens (4-3) head to Florida to face Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) for "Thursday Night Football."

Here are the odds for the Ravens and Buccaneers:

  • Moneyline: Ravens (-125) | Buccaneers (+105)
  • Spread: Ravens -1.5 (-110) | Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)
  • Total: 45.5 Over (-110) | Under (-110)

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. After heading into the season as the odds-on favorites to win the NFC (+300), Tom Brady and the Buccaneers are underdogs at home in Week 8. Tampa Bay has a losing record seven games into the season and the Bucs are tied with the Atlanta Falcons for the top spot in the NFC South.

Much of that has been due to their anemic offensive line and poor QB play. After having an MVP-worthy season in 2021 where he threw for a league-leading 5,316 yards, Brady has not looked himself in his un-retirement. Whether it’s the O-line, problems off the field, or Father Time, the fact remains that the Bucs are scoring only 17.7 points per game this season. That’s tied for the fifth-fewest average with the Houston Texans and the Carolina Panthers, who just upset the Bucs last Sunday holding TB12 to zero touchdowns in a 21-3 rout. Brady is now averaging 266 passing yards and 1.14 touchdowns per game.

The Tampa Bay run game is averaging a league-low 64.4 rushing yards per game this season.

The Ravens have been uneven, but they’ve been better offensively than the Bucs. Baltimore is averaging 25.9 points per game, the sixth-highest mark in the league, and Lamar Jackson is putting up 199 passing yards per game along with 73 rushing. He’s logged 15 total touchdowns for an average 2.14 per game – a full score more than Tom Brady on a per-game basis.

The Ravens have been dominant on the ground, averaging 156.6 rushing yards per game with Jackson being a major reason why. Having Gus Edwards back in the fold could give them a boost for TNF.

Ordinarily, you would respect the Tampa Bay run defense, but the Bucs just got torched by the likes of Chubba Hubbard and D’onta Foreman on Sunday, so there certainly seem to be cracks to exploit. Tampa Bay's defense as a whole is allowing only 17.7 points per game (the same amount they are scoring) so it should be able to keep the Ravens somewhat in check.

The Ravens, on the other hand, should be an ideal matchup for Brady. The Ravens have allowed opponents 23 points per game with QBs averaging 280 passing yards and 1.6 passing touchdowns per game. With weapons like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, this should be an ideal matchup to exploit. The Bucs are in a perfect spot to break out of their slump.

But then again, I’ve thought that before.

Brady has only one game with more than a single TD this year. I’m optimistic he can score a couple on Thursday night, but I’m not optimistic that it will be enough to stop the Ravens.

The Bucs have been favored in every game this year and they have covered the spread only twice (28.6 percent) but Thursday is their first time playing as the underdog.

The Ravens have been favored in six games this season and they won four of those contests. Baltimore has only covered in 42.9 percent of its contests this year.

The under has hit in 85.7 percent of the Buccaneers' games while the under has hit in 71.9 percent of the Ravens' contests.

Someone has to cover.

I’ll bet on the Ravens and take the under on a week of short rest.

The Pick:

Ravens -1.5

Under 45.5