The brackets are out, and the NCAA Tournament begins in just days. The editors at Athlon Sports are debating some of the hot topics regarding the Field of 68.
Which team do you believe was the most over-seeded?
Mark Ross: Alabama at No. 9 seems a little high to me. The Crimson Tide went 9–7 in the SEC, but only one of those wins came against a team that finished better than .500 in the league and that was against Tennessee, which didn’t even make the NCAA Tournament. Alabama has also been a team in turmoil, as several key players have been suspended at different points this season, including Tony Mitchell, the team’s second-leading scorer and rebounder, who won’t be back at all. Alabama had some quality non-conference wins against teams in the field, including Wichita State, Purdue and VCU, but the last of those came in November. Since then, Bama is just 1–6 against tournament teams, and that lone win was against Detroit, who’s a No. 15 seed. Put it all together and I see a team that should be at the least a double-digit seed.
Mitch Light: I thought Virginia was in danger of not making the field of 68, but the Cavs received a No. 10 seed in the West. Virginia limped to the finish line, losing three of its last four games and five of its last eight. The Cavs only had two top-50 RPI wins — vs. Michigan in November and NC State in January — and lost three games vs. teams ranked 100 or lower. It will be nice to see senior Mike Scott, one of the more underrated players in the nation, end his career in the NCAA Tournament, but Virginia is fortunate not to have been seeded in the No. 12 or 13 range.
Nathan Rush: Baylor was gifted a No. 3 seed despite finishing the season on a 10–7 run, following a 17–0 start to the year. The Bears’ roster looks good on paper, when matched up against recruiting rankings, but the sum of the team is less than its parts. The star of the show, Perry Jones III, is overrated and unable to take over when it matters most. Coach Scott Drew lacks the Tournament resume to instill confidence, earning just his third NCAA Tournament berth since taking over BU in 2004. Several teams seeded No. 4 or 5 are better suited for March Madness than is Baylor, a team I expect to be exposed once the ball is in the air.
Patrick Snow: I’ll go with the Cincinnati Bearcats, who spiked up the bracket big time with a couple of wins in the Big East Tournament. Mick Cronin’s crew entered the conference tourney with the resume of a 9 or 10 seed, with an RPI outside of the top 40. The Bearcats did well in league play but had a very weak non-conference schedule, including early losses to Presbyterian and Marshall. The NCAA committee usually does not factor league tourney results very heavily, but that was not the case here. Cincinnati had a nice showing in the Big Apple, defeating Georgetown and Syracuse before losing in the final to Louisville. That late boost should have maybe earned Cincy an 8-seed at best, but to jump all the way to the 6-line was very surprising.
Braden Gall: It is tough to pick on the little guy here, but I will go with Colorado State. As the No. 41 overall seed, the Rams were ranked ahead of seven other at-large teams, and I am not sure they even belonged in the tournament at all. Their best non-conference win was over Colorado (which had to win its way into the tourney) by one point. They lost six games in a strong Mountain West, including a loss to three-win Boise State. Wins in the league at home against New Mexico and UNLV are nice, but teams like Drexel, Miami (Fla.), Washington, Tennessee and Northwestern strike me as more deserving. Honorable Mention in this category goes to UConn as the No. 34 overall seed.