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10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

The Week 10 edition of college football picks against the spread is highlighted by the epic SEC West clash between Alabama and LSU in Baton Rouge. Elsewhere, Florida looks to get back on track with Missouri coming to town; Arizona hopes to stay hot against Colorado; and Oklahoma heads to Texas Tech seeking its third straight win. Here are 10 predictions for games against the spread.

Alabama (-14) over LSU

This could end up being the most impactful regular-season game in the 2018 college football season. We have the No. 1 and No. 3 teams in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, and this figures to be by far Alabama’s biggest test of the regular season. But how big of a test will it be? LSU is 7–1 overall and 4–1 in the SEC, highlighted by the 20-point win over Georgia in mid-October. But this is also a team that lost at Florida and had to rally to beat a mediocre Auburn team. Alabama, on the other hand, has barely broken a sweat en route to an 8–0 start. The Tide’s closest game has been a 45–23 win at home against Texas A&M. Alabama is simply too good. Alabama 34, LSU 17

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Alabama

Syracuse (-4.5) over Wake Forest

Wake Forest picked up its first win of the season against a Power 5 opponent last week, rolling past Louisville 56–35. That was a temporary respite in what has otherwise been a disappointing season for the Demon Deacons. They rank last in the league in both total defense and scoring defense and have not allowed fewer than 35 points in five games against P5 foes. Syracuse is 6–2 overall, with a four-point loss at Clemson and an overtime loss at Pittsburgh. There has been some drama at the QB position, but it’s clear Dino Babers has this program on an upward trajectory. Syracuse 41, Wake Forest 34

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Middle Tennessee (-13.5) over Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky’s descent toward the bottom of the FBS food chain has been rapid. The Hilltoppers, who won a combined 21 games in 2015-16 under Jeff Brohm, are 1–7 in Year 2 under Mike Sanford. There have been some close losses — three by three points — but this is a program that has no momentum as we head into the final month of the 2018 season. Middle Tennessee, on the other hand, is one win away from reaching bowl-eligibility for the seventh straight season. The Blue Raiders are 4–1 in Conference USA, with a three-point loss at FIU as the only blemish. Middle Tennessee 31, Western Kentucky 17

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Arizona (-4) over Colorado

Colorado must rebound from an epic collapse against Oregon State. The Buffaloes led 31–3 after Travon McMillian scored on a 75-yard touchdown run on the first play of the third quarter. Game over, right? Wrong. Oregon State rallied to force overtime and then won the game on a 1-yard run by quarterback Jack Colletto to give the Beavers their first Pac-12 win of the season. Arizona beat Oregon in Tucson with surprising ease, rolling past the Ducks 44–15 in Khalil Tate’s return to the lineup. Despite all of the struggles in Year 1 under Kevin Sumlin, the Wildcats are only two wins away from bowl eligibility. Arizona 34, Colorado 24

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Oklahoma (-10) over Texas Tech

Oklahoma slipped off the national radar just a bit with its loss to Texas, but this is still a very good team with an elite offense. The Sooners lead the nation with a staggering 8.9 yards per play — better than any of OU’s Baker Mayfield-led teams. Texas Tech has been a pleasant surprise, but the Red Raiders will have trouble keeping pace with Kyler Murray & Co. Oklahoma 48, Texas Tech 30

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Oklahoma
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Army (-7) over Air Force

Army continues to amaze. The Black Knights improved to 6–2 with a 37–22 win at Eastern Michigan. The two losses have come at Duke and at Oklahoma in overtime, and four of the six wins have been by 15 points or more. Air Force has shown some signs of life in the past month, but the Falcons are 3–5 overall, with wins over Stony Brook, Navy and UNLV. Army is the better team. Army 34, Air Force 17

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Iowa State (-14.5) over Kansas

Kansas won its first Big 12 game in nearly two years last Saturday, defeating TCU 27–26 in Lawrence despite getting outgained by nearly 200 yards. Iowa State is rolling; the Cyclones have won three straight Big 12 games, scoring at least 30 in each game — after failing to score more than 27 in their first four. True freshman QB Brock Purdy has been a sparkplug, throwing for at least 250 yards in each of his three starts. Iowa State 38, Kansas 10

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San Jose State (+14.5) over Wyoming

San Jose State lost its first seven games of the season, but the Spartans were showing some progress in Year 2 under Brent Brennan, notably in three-point losses to Hawaii and at San Diego State. Last week, SJSU broke through with its first win of the season, beating UNLV 50–37. This week, the Spartans should be able to keep things close against a Wyoming team that is 2–6 against FBS opponents and struggles mightily on offense. The Cowboys broke out with 34 points in last week’s win over Colorado State but had not scored more than 19 points in any of their previous seven games. Wyoming 24, San Jose State 17

College Football Rankings: San Jose State

FIU (-3.5) over Florida Atlantic

Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic were the darlings of the offseason after the Owls won 11 games and averaged over 40 points in Kiffin’s first season as head coach. Well, there hasn’t been much talk about FAU of late. The Owls are 3–5 overall and 1–3 in Conference USA after losing at home to Louisiana Tech last weekend. FIU, meanwhile, is 6–2 overall (with losses to Indiana and Miami) and alone in first place in C-USA East with a 4–0 league mark. Butch Davis isn’t getting much pub, but he’s doing a terrific job in his return to coaching. FIU 34, Florida Atlantic 27

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Florida (-6) over Missouri

Missouri has been getting some respect from the boys in Vegas the last few weeks. The Tigers were a 7.5-point favorite over Kentucky last Saturday and are only a six-point dog at Florida this week. Missouri is 4–4 against the spread for the season but only 1–4 in games against Power 5 opponents. Florida is coming off a 36–17 loss to Georgia that snapped a five-game winning streak. The Gators can still win 10 games in the regular season, which would be a great accomplishment in Dan Mullen’s first season. Florida 28, Missouri 20

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Florida

Last week: 5–5

Season: 43–47