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10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

10 College Football Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 10

The Week 10 edition of college football picks against the spread is highlighted by the Georgia-Florida game in Jacksonville that very likely will settle the SEC East. Elsewhere, SMU travels to Memphis in a key AAC West game; Indiana seeks its fourth-straight win as Northwestern comes to town; and Notre Dame looks to bounce back from last week’s loss to Michigan against Virginia Tech. Here are 10 predictions for games against the spread.

Florida (+6) over Georgia

When the season started, it would have been difficult to envision the spread in this game being this low. But Georgia, picked by most to be a College Football Playoff participant, hasn’t played as well as expected, and Florida has looked the part of a legitimate top-10 team in Dan Mullen’s second season in Gainesville. The Gators rank a respectable sixth in the SEC in both scoring offense and total offense despite playing most of the season with a backup quarterback (Kyle Trask) and a suspect offensive line. Georgia opened the season with five straight wins, but the Bulldogs started to show some warts in wins (conservative play-calling vs. Notre Dame, sluggish first half at Tennessee) and then suffered their first loss at home (20–17 to South Carolina) since the regular-season finale against Georgia Tech in 2016. That one loss will not prevent Georgia from reaching its goals — SEC title, CFB Playoff — but it’s clear this team will have to play much better down the stretch to be relevant nationally. Georgia 20, Florida 17

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Florida

Indiana (-12) over Northwestern

Northwestern has been the worst offensive team in the nation in 2019. The Wildcats, who entered the season with a former five-star recruit (Hunter Johnson) as their starting quarterback, have scored eight touchdowns in seven games and rank last in the FBS in scoring (10.7 ppg) and second-to-last in total offense (266.4 ypg). The defense has been solid, but it hasn’t really mattered because the offense has been so dreadful. Indiana, on the other hand, is in the midst of a breakthrough season. The Hoosiers are already bowl-eligible and have a chance — with Northwestern and Purdue still on the schedule — to win eight games for the first time since 1993. Indiana 27, Northwestern 13

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Bowling Green (-6) over Akron

Things are not going well in Year 1 of the Tom Arth era at Akron. The Zips are 0–8, “highlighted” by a 37–29 loss at UMass in late September in a battle for the unofficial title as the worst team in the nation. Since that defeat, Akron has lost to Kent State, Buffalo, and Northern Illinois by a combined score of 96–3. Not good. Bowling Green, also under new management (Scot Loeffler), is also struggling, but not nearly to the same degree as Akron. The Falcons are 2–6 overall, with wins over Morgan State (46–3) and Toledo (20–7). They’ve also scored points in three straight games! Bowling Green 27, Akron 10

College Football Rankings: Bowling Green

UCLA (-6) over Colorado

A 3–5 record at UCLA should never be acceptable, but the Bruins haven’t been quite as bad as the record suggests when you dive a little deeper into their resume. They opened the season with three losses to teams currently ranked (Cincinnati, San Diego State, and Oklahoma) and also have lost to Arizona on the road and Oregon State at home. Among those defeats, only the Oregon State game can be considered a bad loss. And perhaps no team in the nation with a losing record has wins as good as UCLA — at Washington State, at Stanford, and vs. Arizona State. So does this mean Chip Kelly is going to turn things around? Who knows, but his team is actually playing decent football of late. Colorado had an opportunity to snap a three-game losing streak last Friday night but lost a 10-point fourth-quarter lead at home and dropped a 35–31 decision to USC. The Buffaloes are now 3–5 overall, and their chances of reaching a bowl game under first-year coach Mel Tucker are in serious jeopardy. UCLA 30, Colorado 20

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Kansas State (-5.5) over Kansas

There is a buzz around the Sunflower Showdown for the first time in recent memory. That’s what happens when both teams are coming off of big wins — Kansas State’s shocking win over Oklahoma and Kansas’ last-second victory over Texas Tech — and you inject Les Miles into the equation. Miles has the Jayhawks, now 3–5 overall, on the verge of relevancy for the first time since the tail end of the Mark Mangino era. Chris Klieman is also doing excellent work as a first-year coach in the Sunflower State. Kansas State improved to 5–2 with the win over Oklahoma and has a decent chance to win nine games in the regular season. Not bad in what was considered a rebuilding year. Kansas State 34, Kansas 24

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Memphis (-5.5) over SMU

College GameDay will be on Beale Street in Memphis to celebrate these two programs that are a combined 15–1 and nationally ranked. SMU is 8–0 overall and has played well on the road, with wins at Arkansas State, TCU, South Florida and Houston. The Mustangs’ offense, led by Texas grad transfer Shane Buechele at QB, is averaging 43.0 points per game and has scored at least 34 points every week. Memphis flirted with disaster last week, losing a double-digit lead at Tulsa and holding on for the win after the Golden Hurricane missed a 26-yard field goal at the buzzer. Unlike SMU, the Tigers have lost a game (by two points at Temple), but they also have wins over Ole Miss, Navy and Tulane (by 30 points) on their resume. Memphis looks like the better team. Memphis 37, SMU 30

College Football Rankings: Memphis Football

Middle Tennessee (-3.5) over Charlotte

Charlotte snapped a four-game losing streak last weekend with a thrilling 39–38 win at home over North Texas. Three of the losses during that skid came against Conference USA opponents, by 18 points to FAU, 25 to FIU and 16 to Western Kentucky. The 49ers failed to cover the spread in each game as well. Now, Middle Tennessee comes to town fresh off of a 50–17 win over FIU that featured 496 rushing yards by the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee is 2–2 in the league, with wins over FIU and Marshall. Middle Tennessee 37, Charlotte 33

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Utah (-3.5) over Washington

Few teams are playing as well as Utah of late. The Utes have rebounded from the loss at USC by defeating Washington State, Oregon State, Arizona State, and California by an average score of 37–5. The defense has been dominant, and the offense has been efficient. The key going forward is to keep the key players on that offense — most notably quarterback Tyler Huntley and running back Zack Moss — healthy. Washington played its way out of the North Division race two weeks ago by losing at home to Oregon. The Huskies also have a loss at Stanford and loss at home to Cal on their resume. This is a talented team that has not played with the type of consistency needed to contend. Utah 24, Washington 20

NCAAF Top 25 Rankings: Utah

Virginia Tech (+17.5) over Notre Dame

Notre Dame was humbled on a national stage on Saturday night, losing 45–14 to Michigan in Ann Arbor. All of the goodwill the Fighting Irish earned by losing in a “respectable” fashion at Georgia in September was lost against a desperate Michigan team that was hungry for a big win. Notre Dame is the better team in this matchup, but 17.5 points seem to be too much. Virginia Tech has had its issues this season, but the Hokies are 5–2 and have scored 42 and 31 (in regulation) in their last two games against Power 5 opponents. Notre Dame, on the other hand, has not scored more than 35 points in any of its five games against P5 foes. The Irish should win, but it might be a struggle. Notre Dame 33, Virginia Tech 24

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Virginia Tech

Tulane (-10.5) over Tulsa

Tulsa is 0–4 in the AAC — but it’s been an eventful 0–4. Among the defeats are a 43–37 loss in overtime at SMU in a game in which Tulsa led by 21 points in the second half, and a 42–41 loss to Memphis last Saturday that ended with Tulsa missing a 26-yard field goal. This team could realistically be 2–2 in league play, with two quality wins. Tulane is also playing the what-if game after rallying from a 24–0 deficit at Navy last week only to lose 41-38 on a field goal as time expired. The Green Wave have now lost two straight after opening the season with a 5–1 mark. Look for Willie Fritz and Co. to bounce back in a big way this week. Tulane 47, Tulsa 30

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Last week: 4-6

Season: 42-47-1