ACC Football 2018 Predictions
Clemson is once again the pick to win the ACC title for the 2018 college football season, but the conference has continued to improve its depth in recent years. In Athlon's 2018 ACC predictions, 12 of the league's 14 teams are projected to reach at least six victories. Miami took a step forward under coach Mark Richt last season by winning its first Coastal Division title and are the pick to win the division once again in 2018. Virginia Tech isn't far behind, with Georgia Tech and Pitt next in line as contenders. Clemson should be picked No. 1 or No. 2 nationally by most this preseason and holds a significant edge over the rest of the Atlantic. New coach Willie Taggart should have Florida State in the mix for a New Year's Six bowl and is the top threat to the Tigers in the Atlantic. Behind projected first-team All-ACC quarterback Ryan Finley, NC State ranks just outside of Athlon's projected top 25 and headlines the next tier of teams in the division. It's a close call behind the Wolfpack, as Boston College, Wake Forest and Louisville each finished 4-4 in the league last fall and not much separates this trio once again in 2018.
Will Any Team Challenge Clemson for the ACC Title?
Miami is projected to finish in Athlon's final top 10 for 2018, but we think Clemson is in its own tier this season. The Tigers possess the nation's best defensive line and should be solid in the back seven. Offensively, coach Dabo Swinney's team is loaded with promising playmakers and returns three starters up front. Senior Kelly Bryant will begin fall camp as the starter, but true freshman Trevor Lawrence will challenge for the job. If he wins the job, Lawrence should provide Clemson's offense with more of a downfield passing threat than this unit had in 2017. The Tigers have lost an ACC game in back-to-back years and could stumble once during the regular season. However, Clemson is clearly the pick in the ACC and easily the No. 1 or No. 2 team in college football this year.
How Far Will Florida State Rebound in 2018?
Everything that could go wrong went wrong for Florida State last season. Quarterback Deondre Francois was lost for the year in the opener against Alabama, and coach Jimbo Fisher's name swirled in the rumor mill before leaving for Texas A&M in early December. New coach Willie Taggart is one of the offseason's top hires, and he should have this team in the mix to win nine or 10 games in 2018. The Seminoles aren't short on talent, and rising star running back Cam Akers should thrive in Taggart's attack. The defense returns only three starters, but the cupboard isn't empty for new coordinator Harlon Barnett. With Virginia Tech and Clemson visiting Tallahassee, the Seminoles have a chance to make some noise in the ACC this year. There's too much talent to expect a repeat of last season's seven-win campaign.
Why NC State No. 3 in the Atlantic?
It's no secret NC State has some significant losses to address on defense, especially in the trenches following Bradley Chubb's departure to the NFL. But the Wolfpack should be able to finish third behind an offense that features the league's best quarterback in Ryan Finley. Also, Wake Forest and Boston College play in Raleigh, and coach Dave Doeren's team catches North Carolina and Virginia from the Coastal Division.
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Louisville, Boston College or Wake Forest?
During Athlon's ACC prediction meeting, this trio of teams was the hardest to sort out. Louisville finished 4-4 in the league last year behind quarterback Lamar Jackson and a defense that ranked near the bottom of the ACC. With Jackson off to the NFL, the Cardinals won't have the same margin for error in 2018. New quarterback Jawon Pass is promising, but Louisville has to improve on defense to finish better than .500. Boston College faces one of the league's toughest schedules by catching Miami and Virginia Tech in crossover play. Wake Forest is counting on Kendall Hinton to replace John Wolford at quarterback and for second-year coordinator Jay Sawvel to improve a defense that gave up 28.3 points a game last season. It's a close call, with all three programs likely to be around .500 in league play.
Was Miami the Clear Pick Over Virginia Tech?
It's not a huge gap, but we like Miami to win its second Coastal Division title in a row. The Hurricanes need to settle the quarterback battle and find the right mix up front, but there's plenty to like at the skill positions and on defense. The Hokies host Miami in November, which should allow coach Justin Fuente's team plenty of time to restock a defense that returns only five starters and has major concerns at cornerback. Quarterback Josh Jackson should be better in his second year on campus, provided the offense can find a go-to target to replace receiver Cam Phillips. Virginia Tech's ground game also needs to step up after averaging just 3.9 yards per carry in 2017.
How Much Improvement Will North Carolina Show in 2018?
The Tar Heels will be better by default. After all, this is a team that won 19 games from 2015-16 that slipped to 3-9 last fall. However, getting back to a bowl will require marked improvement on both sides of the ball. Will Nathan Elliott or Chazz Surratt secure the No. 1 quarterback job? Also, North Carolina must reload up front and improve a defense that gave up 31.3 points a game last season.
Georgia Tech and Pitt: Sleepers in the Coastal Division
Miami and Virginia Tech were the clear picks at the top of the Coastal during Athlon's ACC prediction meeting. Pitt and Georgia Tech led the next tier and both teams should improve after posting losing records in 2017. The Panthers feature rising star quarterback Kenny Pickett, and the defense should take a big step forward with seven starters back. However, coach Pat Narduzzi's team faces a brutal schedule. Pitt catches UCF, Penn State and Notre Dame in non-conference action and catches swing games against Wake Forest, Virginia and North Carolina on the road. The Yellow Jackets fell just short of bowl eligibility last fall by losing three games by four points or less. Quarterback TaQuon Marshall had a solid first year as the team's starter and is the anchor for the flexbone option attack. Coach Paul Johnson needs Marshall to be a little more consistent as a passer, but the biggest concern for this staff is on defense. New coordinator Nate Woody is a standout hire and inherits a unit with five returning starters. After finishing eighth in scoring defense in the ACC last year, along with a minus-five turnover margin, small improvement in both areas could help Georgia Tech pull off an upset or two and reach a bowl in 2018.
ACC 2018 Unit Rankings
Best RB Units | Best WR Units | Best OL | Best DL Units | Best LB Units | Best DB Units |
1. | 1. | 1. | 1. | 1. | 1. |
2. | 2. | 2. | 2. | 2. | 2. |
3. | 3. | 3. | 3. | 3. | 3. |
4. | 4. | 4. | 4. | 4. | 4. |
5. | 5. | 5. | 5. | 5. | 5. |
ACC Football 2018 Predictions
ACC 2018 Superlatives and Season Predictions
| Steven Lassan | Mitch Light | Mark Ross | Braden Gall |
| ||||
Offensive POY | AJ Dillon RB, BC | Cam Akers RB, FSU | AJ Dillon RB, BC | AJ Dillon RB, BC |
Defensive POY | Christian Wilkins DL, Clemson | Dexter Lawrence DL, Clemson | Christian Wilkins DL, Clemson | Clelin Ferrell DL, Clemson |
Coach of the Year | Dabo Swinney Clemson | Dabo Swinney Clemson | Steve Addazio BC | Justin Fuente Va. Tech |
Coach on Hot Seat | Larry Fedora North Carolina | Larry Fedora North Carolina | Pat Narduzzi Pitt | Larry Fedora North Carolina |
Top Freshman | Trevor Lawrence QB, Clemson | Trevor Lawrence QB, Clemson | Dax Hollifield LB, VT | Trevor Lawrence QB, Clemson |
Top Newcomer | Bryce Perkins QB, Virginia | Bryce Perkins QB, Virginia | Bryce Perkins QB, Virginia | N'Kosi Perry QB, Miami |
Sleeper Team | Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | Boston College |
Key Position to Watch | Miami OL | Miami QBs | FSU OL | Miami/Clemson QBs |
Best Coordinator Hire | Nate Woody DC, GT | Walt Bell OC, FSU | Walt Bell OC, FSU | Harlon Barnett DC, FSU |
Hardest Team to Evaluate | Louisville | NC State | Louisville | Florida State |
Coach on the Rise | Walt Bell OC, FSU | Walt Bell OC, FSU | Brent Venables DC, Clemson | Justin Fuente HC, VT |
Must-See Game | Clemson at Florida State | Clemson at Florida State | Florida State at Miami | Miami vs. LSU |
Breakout Player | Cam Akers RB, FSU | Trevor Lawrence QB, Clemson | Cam Akers RB, FSU | Travis Homer RB, Miami |
Comeback Player | Deondre Francois QB, FSU | Deondre Francois QB, FSU | Deondre Francois QB, FSU | Deondre Francois QB, FSU |