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ACC Football: Over/Under Predictions on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Sam Howell, North Carolina Tar Heels Football

Sam Howell, North Carolina Tar Heels Football

College football’s 2021 season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to start placing wagers and bets on the DraftKings over/under totals for the ACC. Clemson is the heavy favorite to win the conference once again, while North Carolina and Miami rank as top 25 teams. The middle of the ACC is crowded but should produce a handful of bowl teams this fall.

DraftKings Sportsbook recently released over/under win totals for all 14 teams in the ACC. While some of these predictions will evolve, below are Athlon's early calls on whether to take the over, under or hold on a wager on the DraftKings odds.

ACC Football: Over/Under on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Boston College

DraftKings O/U: 7

Jeff Hafley was one of the top first-year coaches last season, and the Eagles have a favorable schedule to make a run at second place in the Atlantic in 2021. The offense should be strong behind quarterback Phil Jurkovec and one of the top lines in the nation.

Early Call: Over

Boston College isn’t without flaws, but the middle of the ACC is wide open. The Eagles should start 3-0 with Colgate, UMass and Temple up first, while swing games against Missouri, NC State, Virginia Tech, Florida State, and Wake Forest are in Chestnut Hill. The schedule, along with one of the ACC's top quarterbacks, would make us play the over.

Clemson

DraftKings O/U: 11.5

The Tigers are primed to win their seventh ACC title in a row. New quarterback DJ Uiagalelei should seamlessly replace Trevor Lawrence, and receiver Justyn Ross is on track to return after missing 2020 due to a neck injury. And as usual, Clemson will be strong on defense, which includes the best line in college football.

Early Call: Pass

The margin for error here is small. Clemson is a slight favorite for the opener against Georgia in Charlotte but will be a heavy favorite in its remaining 11 games. We give the Tigers a small edge over Georgia, which would push this to the over. But with that matchup being a toss-up, combined with the small margin for error, we would hold off on a play.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

Florida State

DraftKings O/U: 5.5

Florida State is 21-26 over the last four years and struggled under new coach Mike Norvell last fall. The unusual nature of the 2020 season and limited offseason certainly had something to do with the 3-6 mark, however. The Seminoles still have talent, but this team will only record a winning season if Jordan Travis or McKenzie Milton plays well under center, and the offensive line takes a big step forward.

Early Call: Over

The margin for error is really small. Florida State gets Notre Dame and Florida in non-conference play and still has to meet Clemson, Miami and North Carolina in the ACC. The guess here is a full offseason helps Norvell generate improvement on both sides of the ball, and the Seminoles find a way to get to six wins – but this isn’t going to be easy.

Louisville

DraftKings O/U: 7

Bad luck hindered Louisville last season, as coach Scott Satterfield’s team lost four games by seven points or less and ranked 14th in the ACC with a minus-12 turnover margin. Quarterback Malik Cunningham needs to get back on track but won’t have key skill players Javian Hawkins, Tutu Atwell and Dez Fitzpatrick as all three moved on to the NFL.

Early Call: Pass

Seven wins are about right. The advanced metrics and turnover margin suggest Louisville was better than its 4-7 record suggested last year. An improving defense and Cunningham give the Cardinals a shot to get to 8-4, but we would either hold or take a chance on the under.

NC State

DraftKings O/U: 6

The Wolfpack rebounded in a big way last season. After going 4-8 in 2019, coach Dave Doeren’s team finished 8-4 in ’20. On paper, this is probably the second-best team in the Atlantic Division. Both lines of scrimmage look solid, and quarterback Devin Leary returns from injury.

Early Call: Over

NC State ranked 11th in the ACC in yards per play on offense and ranked seventh in the conference in points allowed (29.2), so there’s room to improve on both sides of the ball. The schedule is not easy with a non-conference game at Mississippi State, along with crossover matchups versus Miami and North Carolina. While the slate is tough, the roster talent suggests to take the over here.

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

Syracuse

DraftKings O/U: 3

Take out the 10-3 mark in 2018 under coach Dino Babers and Syracuse is just 14-33 in his other four years. After a 1-10 record last season, Babers needs to show progress to avoid the hot seat chatter. A healthy Tommy DeVito or Mississippi State transfer Garrett Shrader at quarterback will help an offense that averaged only 17.8 points a game. The defense gave up 463.9 yards a game last fall but returns 10 starters.

Early Call: Pass

Syracuse had bad luck with injuries and a couple of opt outs last season, so this team is probably better than its 1-10 record. However, both sides of the ball are a question mark once again. Additionally, non-conference games at Ohio, Rutgers and Liberty are toss-ups. There’s just too much uncertainty to feel good about the over or the under here.

Wake Forest

DraftKings O/U: 6.5

Wake Forest is probably undervalued this preseason. Coach Dave Clawson returns quarterback Sam Hartman and one of the deepest receiving corps in the conference. The Demon Deacons need to improve a defense that allowed 32.8 points a game last year, but eight starters are back for 2021.

Early Call: Over

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As we’ve mentioned a couple of times, the middle of the ACC Atlantic is difficult to sort out. However, keep in mind Wake Forest has won at least seven games in each of the last four full years. Old Dominion, Norfolk State, Syracuse, Army and Duke provide a path to five victories, with Clawson’s team needing to pick off two games – Florida State, Louisville, NC State or at Virginia – to get to seven. There’s a lot of toss-ups, but the upside is at seven.

Coastal Division

Duke

DraftKings O/U: 3.5

The Blue Devils lost nine games by double digits and ranked near the bottom of the ACC in scoring (24.8 ppg) and last in points allowed (38.1). Coach David Cutcliffe has a big rebuilding job ahead of him this offseason.

Early Call: Under

Non-conference games against Charlotte, North Carolina A&T and Kansas provide a path to three victories. However, finding an ACC win might be tough with quarterback and defensive concerns.

Georgia Tech 5

DraftKings O/U: 5

Geoff Collins inherited a rebuilding project in Atlanta, and while his overall record is only 6-16 through two years, there are signs this program is headed in the right direction. The promising quarterback-running back duo of Jeff Sims and Jahmyr Gibbs should start to pay dividends in 2021.

Early Call: Pass

Assuming losses to Georgia, Notre Dame, Clemson, North Carolina and Miami, the Yellow Jackets need to win six out of their other seven games to hit the over. That seems tough. The under isn’t a bad play here.

Miami

DraftKings O/U: 9.5

The Hurricanes took a big step forward in coach Manny Diaz’s second year, and the pieces are in place to challenge North Carolina for the top spot in the Coastal. Quarterback D’Eriq King is on track to return by the season opener from a torn ACL, and Diaz is taking over the defensive signal-calling duties in an effort to get that unit back on track.

Early Call: Over

Outside of games versus Alabama and North Carolina, Miami should be favored in its remaining 10 contests. We can’t rule out an upset in the unpredictable ACC, but assuming King is healthy, 10-2 is within reach.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

North Carolina

DraftKings O/U: 10

The Tar Heels are Athlon’s pick to win the Coastal Division in 2021. Quarterback Sam Howell is a Heisman contender and is supported by five returning starters up front. The skill talent needs to be reloaded, but there are options at both running back and receiver. North Carolina’s defense is also poised to take a step forward.

Early Call: Pass

The Tar Heels have won more than 10 games just four times in program history. Opening at Virginia Tech and catching Notre Dame on the road isn’t easy. And as displayed last season, the unpredictable nature of the ACC led to upset losses at Florida State and Virginia. A 11-1 showing is within reach, but we would pass for the limited upside.

Pitt

DraftKings O/U: 7

Quarterback Kenny Pickett is a rare fifth-year starter, and Pitt still has a good foundation returning from a defense that limited teams to 24.5 points a game last fall.

Early Call: Pass

Seven seems correct for a team that enters 2021 with question marks up front and at running back. Pitt has won more than seven games just once in the last four years.

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

Virginia

DraftKings O/U: 6

The Cavaliers are just a year removed from winning the Coastal Division, but injuries on defense and the loss of quarterback Bryce Perkins pushed this team to 5-5 in 2020. Quarterback Brennan Armstrong showed signs of promise last year, and Virginia’s defense should rebound some in ’21.

Early Call: Pass

Virginia should win its first two games – William & Mary and Illinois – but the rest of the non-conference schedule isn’t easy (at BYU and Notre Dame). In conference play, the Cavaliers travel to North Carolina, Miami, Louisville and Pitt. There are several toss-ups on this schedule.

Virginia Tech

DraftKings O/U: 7

After winning 19 games in his first two years at Virginia Tech, the Hokies are just 19-18 in the last three seasons under coach Justin Fuente. Also, last year’s 5-6 mark was the second time Virginia Tech recorded a losing season under Fuente.

Early Call: Pass

Similar to the other teams in the Coastal, there are several toss-ups on the schedule. However, Virginia Tech gets Notre Dame and West Virginia in non-conference play and catches swing games versus Boston College and Virginia away from Blacksburg. If the defense improves and Braxton Burmeister settles in at quarterback, eight wins are within reach. But for now, we would pass on that bet.

Podcast: Previewing and Predicting the ACC for 2021