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Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 10 Picks

Arizona Wildcats

Arizona Wildcats

You can blame me, Ole Miss fans. I cost you the game against LSU (not Bo Wallace) by picking the Rebels to cover in Baton Rouge.

Needless to say, I need to make it up to you but I’m hoping you glanced at the Top 25 picks. I went 11-6 against the number and am, happy to say, now tied for the lead among my Athlon peers at 70-65-4 on the year. (I am very proud of this, clearly).

Anyway, back to top picks this week in an effort to get back into the black.

Last Week: 3-4

Year-to-Date: 32-32-1

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Oklahoma St (+14) at Kansas St

The Wildcats are on a mission and are surging after sweeping Oklahoma and Texas. Kansas State defensively is lights out and Jake Waters has been brilliant. The Cats are 5-2 against the number this season and the Cowboys are 2-5-1 and limp into Manhattan. Prediction: Kansas State -14

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Arizona (+6.5) at UCLA

The Bruins' defense doesn’t get pressure on the QB and doesn’t create turnovers and that’s a bad recipe against Anu Solomon and Rich Rodriguez. In fact, the Wildcats might be the better team. Home field gives UCLA a good shot to win but Arizona could easily walk away with the outright upset. The Bruins are 1-7 against the spread this season. Prediction: Arizona +6.5

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Arkansas (+10.5) at Mississippi St

Like when the Hogs faced Georgia, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. They don’t have the weapons to take advantage of issues in State’s secondary. And the Hogs won’t be able to stop Dak Prescott and Josh Robinson. The Bulldogs are 5-2 against the spread this year as well. Prediction: Mississippi State -10.5

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Cal (+4) at Oregon St

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The Bears are 5-3 against the spread and can score points with the best the nation has to offer. Oregon State is 2-5 against the spread and hasn’t mustered any offense whatsoever this season. While the Beavers should be able to score (take the over), Cal should win outright. Prediction: Cal +4

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Wisconsin (-10/pk) at Rutgers

The real spread is likely in the 10-11 range and I like UW to cover that too. The reason some books have removed the game is Gary Nova’s status. But two books on Covers.com have the game as a pick-em, so I am jumping on that easy money. Again, even laying the 10, I’d take the Badgers to roll. Prediction: Wisconsin -10/pk

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Ride the hot(est) hands:

TCU (-5.5) at West Virginia

The Horned Frogs are 7-0 against the spread this season and are clicking on all cylinders on offense. Lay the points and ride it until they lose.

Utah (+6) at Arizona St

The Utes are 6-1 against the spread this year and should be able to pressure the ASU offense into a few mistakes.

Tulsa (+24) at Memphis

The Tigers are 5-1-1 this year against the number and Tulsa has been terrible for much of the season, checking in at 2-5 ATS.

Western Michigan (-6) at Miami-OH

The only team in the nation that has been better against the spread than WMU is TCU. The Broncos are 7-1 against Vegas this year.

Top 25 Picks ATS:

Top 25

Braden Gall

Mitch Light

David Fox

Steven Lassan

Arkansas (+10.5) at Miss. St

Auburn (+2.5) at Ole Miss

Stanford (+8) at Oregon

TCU (-5.5) at W. Virginia

Okla. St (+14) at Kansas St

Notre Dame (-14) at Navy

Florida (+12.5) vs. Georgia

Arizona (+6.5) at UCLA

Kansas (+35.5) at Baylor

Utah (+6) at Arizona St

Purdue (+23.5) at Nebraska

Illinois (+28.5) at Ohio St

Oklahoma (-16.5) at Iowa St

ECU (-7.5) at Temple

Duke (+3.5) at Pitt

Last Week:

11-6

8-9

9-8

10-7

YTD:

70-65-4

68-67-4

64-71-4

70-65-4