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Betting Against the Spread: College Football 2014 Week 3 Picks

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

I was feeling pretty good about my picks with about 19 minutes left in the Oregon game and about 19 seconds left in the Stanford game.

Then Marcus Mariota and Stanford’s red zone offense happened and I finished 2-3. Although, I did go 9-5 against the number in Top 25 games (see below), so I got that going for me.

It has not been a strong start for me, but I am feeling confident about rebounding in a very modest Week 3 slate.

Last Week: 2-3

Year-to-Date: 5-6

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UTSA (pk) at Oklahoma St

According to Covers.com, two of their five sports books are offering this game as a pick-em while the other three are listing Oklahoma State as a 13-point favorite. If you can get in on this game as a straight-up pick-em, then this becomes my lock of the week. Prediction: Oklahoma State (pk)

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Pitt (-25.5) at FIU

The Panthers have been one of the more impressive teams in the nation thus far and FIU has been the complete opposite. The Panthers are 2-0 against the number and I expect a huge day from the No. 5-ranked rushing team in the nation (355.5 ypg). Prediction: Pitt -25.5

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Arkansas (+2) at Texas Tech

The Razorbacks are one of the most physical and powerful running games in the nation and Texas Tech is having issues all over the field. The Red Raiders can sling it around and will score points as well but most like the Hogs to win outright so take the points. Prediction: Arkansas +2

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USC (-17) at Boston College

The Eagles allowed 302 yards rushing to Pitt last weekend so USC tailback Buck Allen (143.5 yards per game) should have a field day. And this speaks nothing of the elite passing game Cody Kessler and Coach Sarkisian have on offense as well. Prediction: USC -17

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Indiana (-7) at Bowling Green

This was an upset special in the summer but now that Bowling Green quarterback Matt Johnson is out, the Falcons have looked like a different team. One of the Big Ten’s best offenses should be able to score at will against a BG defense that has allowed 445.0 yards passing per game in two contests. Prediction: Indiana -7

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Kansas (+14.5) at Duke

The Jayhawks needed to hold off Southeast Missouri State for a narrow six-point win last week at home. Duke has scored 86 points in two games and is poised for another big offensive showing at home. The coaching differential is astounding in this one. Take the Blue Devils big. Prediction: Duke -14.5

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Rice (+31.5) at Texas A&M

This pick breaks one of my rules of gambling and that is never to touch a spread of 30 or more points. But Texas A&M is just too good on offense and Rice was torched by Notre Dame in its only game (48-17). If you are okay with the big number, take the Aggies to win BIG in College Station. Prediction: Texas A&M -31.5

Top 25 Picks ATS:

Top 25

Braden Gall

Mitch Light

David Fox

Steven Lassan

Wyoming (+43) at Oregon

S. Miss (+48) at Alabama

Tennessee (+20.5) at Oklahoma

Georgia (-6.5) at S. Carolina

Rice (+31.5) at Texas A&M

Baylor (-35) at Buffalo

USC (-17) at B. College

ULM (+31) at LSU

Purdue (+28.5) at Notre Dame

UCLA (-8) vs. Texas

ULL (+27.5) at Ole Miss

Army (+28.5) at Stanford

Arizona St (-15.5) at Colorado

E. Carolina (+11) at Va Tech

UCF (+10) at Missouri

Louisville (-6.5) at Virginia

Kent St (+32) at Ohio St

Last Week:

9-5

10-4

6-8

8-6

YTD:

16-13

20-9

14-15

14-15