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Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 6 Picks

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes

Break out the band, because two straight winning weeks has me surging into the black.

I was 4-0-1 in top picks digging deep into C-USA and the Sun Belt for winners. And in the big games, the road dogs went 3-2.

Overall, Mitch Light is still leading the way in Top 25 picks with a very sturdy 43-30-2 season mark. That said, both myself (41-32-2) and Steven Lassan (38-35-2) are above the break-even line for Top 25 picks as well. So if the three of us agree on something, it might be time to make a phone call.

My advice this weekend would be to stay away from the huge games in the SEC. If you are desperate to jump on the big games in the Big 12, Big Ten or Pac-12, I’d take the favorites.

Last Week: 7-2-1

Year-to-Date: 18-14-1

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Ohio State (-8.5) at Maryland

Ohio State is a significantly better and more talented team than Maryland. While the Terps bounced back nicely on both sides of the ball last weekend, Randy Edsall's bunch won't be able to keep up with a Buckeyes team that is rounding into form on offense. Prediction: Ohio State -8.5

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Purdue (+8.5) at Illinois

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The Illini are at home and Purdue is simply awful. Wes Lunt is back under center for Illinois and that should be enough to roll through what is statistically one of the worst Big 5 teams in the nation. Tim Beckman won one Big Ten game last year and, you guessed it, it came against the Boilermakers. Prediction: Illinois -8.5

If you have to go after the big games…

Oklahoma (-5) at TCU

TCU scored late in last year's game to make it look closer than it was in Norman but this Sooners team is much better. Trevone Boykin has been great this fall but hasn't faced anything like this OU team. Take the Sooners.

Baylor (-14.5) at Texas

Texas will likely have to score 35-40 points to win this game and I'm not sure Tyrone Swoopes has led Texas to 40 points in his three starts combined (okay, it's 47). Baylor rolls big and should cover easily.

Nebraska (+7) at Michigan St

Nebraska has one elite player. Michigan State has an elite team. I'll take Sparty to win what is normally a very feisty game in the Big Ten. Mark Dantonio knows he needs style points to reach the playoffs and this is one of the few chances he has left.

Arizona State (+11.5) at USC
The Sun Devils defense is still a long way from being rebuilt and the offense is still without star quarterback Taylor Kelly. USC proved last week they are legit on defense (when at home) and Cody Kessler has been brilliant at QB.

LSU (+7.5) at Auburn
I don't like the hook but I like this LSU team even less. Auburn lost only once in the regular season last fall and that was in Baton Rouge. Auburn might be better on both sides of the ball and LSU is significantly worse. This is the only SEC game I feel good about. War Eagle.

Top 25 Picks ATS:

Top 25

Braden Gall

 

Mitch Light

David Fox

Steven Lassan

Wake Forest (+38) at Florida St

 

Alabama (-6.5) at Ole Miss

 

Oklahoma (-5) at TCU

 

LSU (+7.5) at Auburn

 

Texas A&M (+2) at Miss. St

 

Baylor (-14.5) at Texas

 

Utah (+13) at UCLA

 

Stanford (-1.5) at N. Dame

 

Nebraska (+7) at Mich. St

 

Vanderbilt (+33.5) at Georgia

 

Arizona St (+11.5) at USC

 

Wisconsin (-8) at Northwestern

 

Utah St (+20.5) at BYU

 

Ohio St (-8.5) at Maryland

 

Iowa St (+17) at Oklahoma St

 

SMU (+40.5) at E. Carolina

 

T. Tech (+12.5) at Kansas St

 

Last Week:

9-6-1

 

7-8-1

8-7-1

10-5-1

YTD:

41-32-2

 

43-30-2

34-39-2

38-35-2