Betting Against the Spread: College Football Championship Weekend Picks

It's the final weekend of the regular season and I'm not going to lie to you. I don't feel good about it. 

I pick all of the championship games every season against the spread and will do the same again. (But am only going to count it towards my record if I do well.)

Listed below is every championship game prediction and the big one in the Big 12 as well. Enjoy!

Last Week: 2-3

Year-to-Date: 50-51-1

Alabama (-14.5) vs. Missouri (Atlanta)

This is a bad matchup for the Tigers, who have struggled with downhill, power-rushing teams. Maty Mauk has also been inconsistent all year. Mizzou is familiar with the situation but doesn't have the horses to compete with the Tide. Prediction: Alabama -14

Oregon (-14) vs. Arizona (Santa Clara)

The Ducks are cruising but this is a huge number against a team that beat them just two months ago. These two teams are a combined 21-3 this year overall but just 9-15 against the spread. It likely means stay away from this mess. But if you must, take Marcus Mariota to exact some revenge and definitely take the over. Prediction: Oregon -14

Florida State (-4.5) vs. Georgia Tech (Charlotte)

If we've learned anything this year, it's never take the 'Noles against the spread. Florida State is 3-9 against the mark this season and is facing a brutal matchup on defense. Tech is 5-1 against the spread away from home and could cover again — even if they lose. Prediction: Georgia Tech +4.5

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Wisconsin (-4) vs. Ohio State (Indianapolis)

Whoever stops the run more effectively is likely to win this game. Ohio State is a better overall team by a wide margin but the one-game situation and no J.T. Barrett makes the Badgers the favorite. Take the team with more talent and more to play for in Ohio State. Prediction: Ohio State +4

Kansas State (+8) at Baylor

Both teams have been solid against the spread this year but Kansas State has been better. Baylor is 6-4-1 while KSU is 8-3. Art Briles has been excellent against Bill Snyder (3-1) but has a banged-up quarterback in Bryce Petty. Both teams are still eyeing a title in the Big 12 so a close game is likely. Prediction: Kansas State +7.5

Fresno State (+22) at Boise State

This is a huge number and Boise will win easily at home. But by how much? In a title game setting, I'd err on the side of caution.

Northern Illinois (-6.5) vs. Bowling Green (Detroit)

The Huskies are the better team and BG has had QB issues. Take NIU to roll.

Louisiana Tech (+11) at Marshall

Rakeem Cato in his final game with a title on the line at home? Yes, please.

Top 25 Picks ATS: