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Betting Against the Spread: College Football Week 7 Picks

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

At 3-3 last weekend, I feel like a winner considering how much bloodshed there was across the Top 25.

In fact, Steven Lassan’s 10-6-1 mark last week in Top 25 games makes him like some sort of Nostradamus to be honest. He’s been on a tear lately against the number, as experts begin to gain a clearer picture of each team.

On to what should be another crazy weekend of college football (which is probably why I am going after heavy favorites in the Big 5):

Last Week: 3-3

Year-to-Date: 21-17-1

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Louisville (+9.5) at Clemson

The Cardinals are a solid team but the Tigers are 4-1 against the spread and are playing at home. Clemson's defense should be able to handle Louisville's underachieving offensive line and true freshman quarterback sensation Deshaun Watson is more than capable of scoring points against pretty much anyone. Prediction: Clemson -9.5

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Michigan State (-21) at Purdue

Purdue played its heart out last week in an upset win over Illinois but it has no shot against Sparty. The Spartans need style points in a race to the Big Ten championship game and College Football Playoff. Look for a big number from MSU. Prediction: Michigan State -21

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Texas (+14.5) at Oklahoma

Texas can’t score points and the Sooners should be angry for two major reasons. First, they were embarrassed by Oklahoma last year and just got beat by TCU. After last year and last week, fans in Dallas should expect some revenge to be exacted by Bob Stoops. Prediction: Oklahoma -14.5

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Oklahoma State (-20.5) at Kansas

Kansas is wildly overmatched and is playing for an interim coach. Oklahoma State has found itself right in the heart of a Big 12 race and can’t avoid any letdowns like a trip to Lawrence. The Pokes have scored at least 37 points in each of their last four games (all wins) and Kansas has scored 17 total points in three games against Big 5 teams. Prediction: Oklahoma State -20.5

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Washington (+3.5) at Cal

The Huskies are rested and facing a Cal team that has allowed 116 points in the last two games — both wins. Look for the physicality and offensive prowess of Chris Petersen’s bunch to show up in a road win outright. Prediction: Washington +3.5

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North Carolina (+16) at Notre Dame

The Tar Heels are 0-5 against the spread this season and Notre Dame just got done playing Stanford’s defense. Facing this defense will be like practicing against air. Just don’t look ahead Notre Dame. Prediction: Notre Dame -16

If you must, take the home dogs:

USC (-3) at Arizona

Always a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair. Whichever has the ball last wins. I like the Cats at home.

Auburn (-3) at Mississippi State

This isn’t a normal Hail State squad and getting this game at home should help the Bulldogs avoid a letdown. A defensive battle where Dak Prescott makes a play.

Georgia (-3) at Missouri

Maty Mauk is rested and will get to attack the Bulldogs' secondary. Mizzou’s defensive front should be able to “slow” down Todd Gurley and shut down Hutson Mason.

Oregon (-2.5) at UCLA

Both O-lines are atrocious and while Marcus Mariota has more weapons than Brett Hundley, it’s tough to trust the Ducks' coaching staff.

Top 25 Picks ATS:

Top 25

Braden Gall

Mitch Light

David Fox

Steven Lassan

Florida St (-23.5) at Syracuse

Auburn (-3) at Miss. State

Ole Miss (+2) at Texas A&M

TCU (+7.5) at Baylor

N. Carolina (+16) at N. Dame

Alabama (-10) at Arkansas

Mich. St (-21) at Purdue

USC (-3) at Arizona

Texas (+14.5) vs Oklahoma

Oregon (-2.5) at UCLA

Georgia (-3) at Mizzou

Okla. St (-20.5) at Kansas

E. Carolina (-15) USF

Duke (+3) at Georgia Tech

Wash. St (+17) at Stanford

Last Week:

7-9-1

6-10-1

7-9-1

10-6-1

YTD:

48-41-3

49-40-3

41-48-3

48-41-3