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Big 12 Football: Over/Under Predictions on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma Sooners Football

Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma Sooners Football

College football’s 2021 season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to start placing wagers and bets on the DraftKings over/under totals for the Big 12. Oklahoma is once again the front-runner to win, followed by Iowa State. The middle of the conference will be a tight battle between TCU, Oklahoma State, West Virginia and Texas.

Earlier this week, DraftKings Sportsbook released over/under win totals for all 10 teams in the Big 12. While some of these predictions will evolve, below are Athlon's early calls on whether to take the over, under or hold on a wager on the DraftKings odds.

Big 12 Football: Over/Under on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Baylor

DraftKings O/U: 5.5

Due to the unsettled offseason and limited time to implement schemes and culture, new coaches - including Baylor's Dave Aranda - had a tough season in 2020. The Bears should be better in ’21 with a full offseason, and it's notable this team played better in the last few weeks of the '20 campaign. Also, the arrival of new play-caller Jeff Grimes is a boost to an offense that managed only 23.3 points a game last fall.

Early Call: Pass

5-7 or 6-6 seems like the play here. We definitely like Baylor to improve, but there's uncertainty at quarterback and the offensive line needs to take a big step forward. With a healthy Terrel Bernard at linebacker and the arrival of LSU transfer Siaki Ika up front, the Bears will be tough on defense. Hitting the over and getting to six wins is within reach, but for now, we would pass or play the under.

Iowa State

DraftKings O/U: 9.5

Preseason expectations are high for Iowa State after last year's 9-3 season and trip to the Big 12 title game. Coach Matt Campbell's team returns 19 starters, including quarterback Brock Purdy, running back Breece Hall and several key pieces from one of the league's top defenses.

Early Call: Over

Iowa State has never won more than nine games in a single season in its program history. However, this team is capable of breaking that ceiling. Road treks to Kansas State, West Virginia, Texas Tech and Oklahoma dot the schedule, but Iowa, Texas and TCU come to Ames. A 10-2 or 11-1 regular-season mark is very possible.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

Kansas

DraftKings O/U: 1

The Jayhawks made one of the offseason's best hires by picking former Buffalo coach Lance Leipold to replace Les Miles. Leipold has the right approach and long-term vision to build this program, but the 2021 season will be challenging. Kansas enters the offseason with uncertainty at quarterback, while key defensive players Marcus Harris and DaJon Terry entered the transfer portal.

Early Call: Pass

Kansas has only won nine games since '15 and went 0-9 last year. Leipold will win here, but it's going to take some time to rebuild the roster and overall program.

Kansas State

DraftKings O/U: 5.5

The return of quarterback Skylar Thompson from injury should be a boost to a Kansas State offense that averaged only 5.6 yards per play last fall. Thompson is working behind an experienced line, and running back Deuce Vaughn is one of the top all-around playmakers in the nation. The Wildcats will be a work in progress with five starters back on defense.

Early Call: Over

Thompson's return is huge. While the defense has room to improve after allowing 32.2 points a contest, an improved offense should put K-State in position to get to a bowl. K-State won four games and lost three others by four points or less in '20. Nevada and Stanford are tough in non-conference play, but coach Chris Klieman should find a way to get this team to six victories.

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Oklahoma

DraftKings O/U: 11

Lincoln Riley's team is poised for a run at the national title in 2021. Oklahoma's offense is loaded with firepower behind quarterback Spencer Rattler, and an improving defense gives this program a chance to win its first CFB Playoff contest.

Early Call: Over

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Let's take the over for now, but also keep in mind Oklahoma has lost at least one game in the regular season every year under Riley. While history says under, the Sooners have the talent and schedule to go 12-0 in the regular season.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

Oklahoma State

DraftKings O/U: 7.5

The Cowboys had hopes of contending for a spot in the Big 12 championship last year, but injuries to the offensive line and close losses to Texas and TCU derailed coach Mike Gundy's team. Quarterback Spencer Sanders is back for his third season as the starter, and while new playmakers must be found on the outside, Oklahoma State has a solid track record at finding weapons at receiver. Also, the defense has improved since the arrival of coordinator Jim Knowles and eight starters return for 2021.

Early Call: Over

History says to take the over here. Since 2008, the Cowboys have only two seasons of fewer than eight victories. The middle of the Big 12 will be congested, but the pieces are here to be a top-25 team again and push for eight wins.

TCU

DraftKings O/U: 7.5

The Horned Frogs are Athlon's sleeper team to watch in the Big 12. TCU finished 2020 by winning five out of its last six games and return 13 starters for '21. Included among the returning starters is rising star quarterback Max Duggan, receiver Quentin Johnston and running back Zach Evans. Seven starters form the foundation for what should be a solid defense once again.

Early Call: Over

TCU should go 3-0 in non-conference play and catches winnable games versus West Virginia, Texas, Baylor and Kansas at home. As mentioned with Oklahoma State, the middle of the Big 12 is tough. But we think TCU is trending up and the over is where we would place our money right now.

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

Texas

DraftKings O/U: 8


Texas doesn't lack for talent under new coach Steve Sarkisian. Running back Bijan Robinson is a Heisman contender, four starters return along the offensive line, and the defense has a couple of difference makers in lineman Alfred Collins, linebacker DeMarvion Overshown and cornerback D’Shawn Jamison.

Early Call: Pass

There's certainly potential here if you want to play the over. But Texas is transitioning in schemes on both sides of the ball and has a quarterback battle that will extend into the fall with Casey Thompson and Hudson Card. Under former coach Tom Herman, the Longhorns exceeded eight victories just once in four years.

Texas Tech

DraftKings O/U: 4.5

The 2021 season is an important one for coach Matt Wells after an 8-14 start to his tenure in Lubbock. While the Red Raiders have yet to record a winning mark under Wells, 15 returning starters, plus the arrival of Oregon transfer Tyler Shough at quarterback provide some optimism for this fall.

Early Call: Over

The three non-conference matchups – Houston, Stephen F. Austin and FIU – are winnable. Add in a projected victory against Kansas and the Red Raiders need just one more victory to hit the over. Texas Tech's defense cut its per-play mark allowed from 6.6 to 5.7 last fall. If the defense improves, and Shough steps up at quarterback, Wells has a chance to hit six wins in a crucial year.

West Virginia

DraftKings O/U: 6.5

Neal Brown has West Virginia trending in the right direction. After a 5-7 mark in 2019, the Mountaineers finished 6-4 and capped the 2020 season with a bowl win over Army. West Virginia's defense led the Big 12 in fewest yards per play allowed (4.65), while the offense averaged 26.5 points a contest – up from 20.6 in ’19.

Early Call: Over

This one is close, but let's go with 7-5 for now. West Virginia's non-conference schedule features toss-ups against Maryland (road) and Virginia Tech (home), and road trips are on tap for Baylor, Oklahoma, Kansas State and TCU. If the Mountaineers get better quarterback play from Jarret Doege, and the defense doesn't regress too much with Darius Stills, Tony Fields and a couple of key defenders in the secondary moving on, hitting seven wins should be a reasonable goal.

Podcast: Big 12 Predictions, Rankings and Preview + Sleeper Teams to Watch