Bronco Mendenhall enters his 10th season as the BYU head coach and his fourth as the head coach of an independent program. Scheduling has been more difficult for the Cougars since leaving the Mountain West both in terms of ironing out opponents and the play on the field.
It has led to 10 losses in the last two seasons after five years with at least 10 wins between 2006-11. The 2014 slate isn’t nearly as daunting as the last few seasons for BYU and, with a star returning under center, there are lots of reasons for optimism in Provo.
This offense went from 60th nationally in 2012 to 14th a year ago with Taysom Hill running the show. He gradually improved his efficiency as a passer over the course of the season and enters his junior season with Heisman potential and a schedule that should allow for big numbers offensively.
A return to double-digit wins isn’t unreasonable should things fall right for Mendenhall, Hill and the Cougars.
2014 BYU Schedule Analysis
Revenge on the mind
Opening the season with UConn should be a celebration but the following two weeks could feature games rich with revenge. First, BYU heads down to Austin to battle new head coach Charlie Strong and the Longhorns. Mendenhall’s team can bet that the Horns remember the 550 yards rushing and 40 points it allowed in a loss in Provo a year ago. Two weeks later, BYU returns home to take on a scuffling Virginia team that somehow beat the Cougars a year ago in Charlottesville in the season-opener. A reverse of last year’s outcome might be the safest bet.
In the first nine weeks of the season, BYU will play just three games on Saturday. Games at UConn (Week 1), at home against Utah State (Week 6) and at Boise State (Week 9) will take place on Friday evening in primetime while games against Houston at home (Week 3) and at UCF (Week 7) are scheduled for Thursday evening. The schedule normalizes later in the year with four straight games on Saturday but the first two months of the season will be an unusual run of primetime, weeknight games for BYU.
The month of October
After playing two of the three “Big 5” teams on their schedule in the first month, BYU will spend most of October battling all of the best “mid-major” programs from West of the Mississippi. Boise State has long been a powerhouse out West and is breaking in a new coach. Nevada and Utah State have experienced excellent success over the last decade and, they too, are under relatively new leadership on the sidelines. Mix in a long trip to Orlando to face the defending Fiesta Bowl champions and the Cougars have a very testy month of action despite not facing any teams from power leagues.
The first bye falls in Week 4 and comes at a good time before the aforementioned long run of quality mid-major opponents. After facing UConn, Texas, Houston and Virginia, the rest should be a welcomed sight. The second off weekend (Week 11) also comes at an opportune time after the tough five-game stretch in the heart of October. It gives the Cougars plenty of time to prepare for the final leg of the season — one that shouldn’t be too daunting.
The Final Leg
Should BYU be (gasp) undefeated by its second off weekend, there is a good chance it will finish that way as the final month features three extremely winnable games to end the year. The final three weeks of the season are made up of home dates with UNLV and Savannah State as well as a trip to Berkeley to face Cal in the season finale. All three should feature large point spreads in favor of the Cougars, although, the Golden Bears should be vastly improved from a year ago when they went 1-11 overall and 0-9 in the Pac-12.
The schedule isn’t all that daunting for BYU. Will Texas be clicking on all cylinders with a chance at revenge at home? Likely. But other than the trip to Austin, every other game is extremely winnable. Should Hill continue to develop as a passer, his dual-threat ability could be virtually impossible to stop by most of the Cougars' opponents. Mendenhall’s squad should be in every game it plays this year and may have an outside shot at earning a College Football Playoff berth.