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College Football's Best Over/Under Win Total Bets for 2015

Jarveon Williams

Jarveon Williams

With just days until the FBS college football season begins, it's time to lock in on my favorite win totals. I've given you a lot of previews and things to consider when it comes to putting your hard-earned money down on a team's season. Before you actually make the wager, remember that your money will be tied up all year long and you won't be able to have it for your weekly bankroll. 

Related: College Football’s Week 1 FCS vs. FBS Betting Lines of Note

Once again we head to 5Dimes Sportsbook for the prices to my selections.

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Tennessee Over 8 wins (-120)

There are several places you can find this at 7.5 if you'd like to shop around and feel a little bit better. The Volunteers improved last year picking up seven wins with a rather young team. The good thing about youth is that the players grow older and improve. Joshua Dobbs came in and stabilized the quarterback position, completing 63.3 percent of his passes. Dobbs has weapons around him, including Jalen Hurd at RB and a solid group of WRs. This is a defense that has some talent as well. Curt Maggitt had 11 sacks to go with Derek Barnett’s 10. The non-conference slate features contests with Bowling Green, Oklahoma, Western Carolina and North Texas. They have just four true road games and there's a chance to win at least one (at Kentucky). I think they beat the Sooners at home and sail over the total. This is a squad that will be a threat in the SEC East.

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Navy Over 7.5 wins (-140)

It's year one in the AAC for Navy as the Midshipmen leave the Independent world. Keenan Reynolds is back and he's the NCAA’s all-time leader for rushing touchdowns by a quarterback. There are just three opponents that saw Navy's option last year and none of those teams are in the AAC. The team has Jamir Tillman back on offense as well just in case Reynolds decides to throw the ball. The defense is an issue, no doubt, but teams may be pressed to score if they can't slow down the offense. The non-conference slate features Colgate, Air Force, Notre Dame and Army. Navy also gets East Carolina at home, as well as weaker teams such as SMU, Tulane and South Florida. This squad gets at least eight wins this year and is a factor in the AAC West.

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UTSA Under 2.5 wins (+145)

If you've been following me for a while, you know that I loved the Roadrunners two years ago as they were undersold by Vegas with a veteran team and Larry Coker coaching. Now it's time for them to pay the piper, as they lose 36 seniors including almost all of their offense. UTSA won four games last year, but is almost starting from scratch again. In Conference USA you need to be able to score and I don't think these Roadrunners can. They won't win a non-conference game, as they take on Arizona, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Colorado State. The best chances for wins come at Charlotte and at North Texas with a possibility of beating Old Dominion at home. The question is motivation for this team, which could be winless entering November. I'll take the value of the under.

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Southern Miss Over 4.5 Wins (-135)

It's been a rough few years for Southern Miss as the Golden Eagles have won just four games over the past three seasons. The offense is back almost completely intact with Nick Mullens under center. He's got his weapons in Michael Thomas and Casey Martin out wide. The defense has its issues, but which teams don't in the C-USA? The Golden Eagles play Mississippi State, Austin Peay, Texas State and Nebraska out of conference. They will beat Austin Peay with an outside shot of getting the Bobcats. The good thing for USM is they host UTSA, North Texas and ODU, which are all winnable contests with a road game at FBS upstart Charlotte. We like them to go over the total and start to turn things around.

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Mississippi State Under 7 Wins (EVEN)

Last year I was on the over for the Bulldogs and that came in easily with the 10-3 record. The problem is that there's not a ton returning from that squad. Dak Prescott has De'Runnya Wilson on offense and not a lot else. Both the offensive and defensive lines need to rebuild, as each lost a lot of talent. The schedule features non-conference matchups against Southern Miss, Northwestern State, Troy and Louisiana Tech, which should be all victories. The problem comes that Mississippi State plays at Auburn, Missouri and Arkansas, which should all be losses. The Bulldogs host LSU and Alabama, but I can't pick them to win either of those. If there's any plus value or even then take the under for MSU.

College Football Top 25: Miami

Miami Under 6.5 Wins (+115)

This one is my biggest longshot of all the totals, as you can get the under at a healthy price. There are books in Vegas where you can even get this number at seven wins with a plus money price tag. Brad Kaaya is going to be one of the best QBs in the ACC this season and he's got Stacy Coley out wide with a few solid RBs. The offensive line needs to be rebuilt as well as several pieces of the defense. The non-conference schedule features Bethune-Cookman, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska and Cincinnati. The last two games are both toss-ups and I think the Hurricanes lose at least one of them. The Canes also get Clemson, Virginia Tech, Virginia and Georgia Tech at home with each of those presenting a challenge. Should this team start losing early, more questions will arise surrounding Al Golden and the fan base won't be in the building. The Cavaliers have had their success against Miami and I think this is the final nail in Al Golden's coffin. Take a chance here and go under the total with the Canes.

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Hawaii Over 5.5 wins (+160)

I'm heading out to the islands for my surprise over win total. The Warriors need more success if Norm Chow hopes to keep his job. The offense is going to move the ball a bit better than it did last year if former USC quarterback Max Wittek discovers himself in his senior year. The Rainbow Warriors have multiple options at running back with Steven Lakalaka leading the way. The defense was pretty good last year and will need to replace a few pieces, but they don't take on too many prolific offenses. If Hawaii can survive a start with Colorado, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Boise State then the Warriors will pay off in the end when they play four of five at home. I like the Warriors to beat Colorado in their opener and defend home field. My surprise team in college football in terms of an over is Hawaii.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt. - See more at: http://athlonsports.com/college-football/examining-2015-heisman-trophy-odds#sthash.83v5ZZVC.dpuf

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt. - See more at: http://athlonsports.com/college-football/examining-2015-heisman-trophy-odds#sthash.83v5ZZVC.dpuf