College Football Picks: Predicting Final Scores for Every Game in Week 10

SEC takes center stage on a great weekend of college football

The Week 10 edition of picking every game on the college football schedule is highlighted by a huge day in the SEC. Kentucky and Georgia meet in Lexington with a trip to Atlanta for the SEC title game on the line and Alabama travels to Baton Rouge to face LSU at Tiger Stadium. Here is every game on the Week 10 slate:

 

Thursday, Nov. 1

 

Northern Illinois at Akron

Northern Illinois is 5–3 overall and has won four straight games despite failing to score more than 26 points in a game this season. The Huskies won at BYU, 7–6, last weekend, their third win by three points or fewer. Prediction: Northern Illinois 20, Akron 16

 

Ohio at Western Michigan

These two teams are a combined 7–2 in the MAC and are both in second place in their respective divisions. Western Michigan is coming off a 51–24 loss at home to Toledo. Ohio’s only league loss was by three points at Northern Illinois. Prediction: Western Michigan 34, Ohio 30

 

Temple at UCF

UCF is set to embark on a (relatively) tough four-game stretch to close the season, with home games against Temple, Navy and Cincinnati followed by a road trip to South Florida. Temple has won five of six, with the only loss by 10 points at Boston College. Prediction: UCF 30, Temple 24

 

Friday, Nov. 2

 

Pittsburgh at Virginia

Virginia sits atop the ACC Coastal standings with a 4–1 record in league play. Pittsburgh is not far behind, tied with Virginia Tech at 3–1. Neither team has played in an ACC Championship Game. The winner will take a step toward reaching that goal. Prediction: Virginia 27, Pittsburgh 20

 

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

These regional rivals are separated by just under 100 miles. One program, Western Kentucky, is trending in the wrong direction. The other, Middle Tennessee, is one win away from reaching bowl-eligibility for the seventh straight season. Prediction: Middle Tennessee 31, Western Kentucky 17

 

Colorado at Arizona

Colorado must rebound from an epic collapse against Oregon State. The Buffaloes led 31–3 after Travon McMillian scored on a 75-yard touchdown run on the first play of the third quarter. Game over, right? Wrong. Oregon rallied to force overtime and then won the game on a 1-yard run by quarterback Jack Colletto to give the Beavers their first Pac-12 win of the season. Prediction: Arizona 34, Colorado 24

 

Saturday, Nov. 3

 

Air Force at Army

Army’s final four games feature two games against service academy rivals and two games against FCS opponents. The Black Knights, 7–2, are the clear favorites to hold onto the Commander-in-Chief’s trophy. Prediction: Army 34, Air Force 17

 

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan is going way off script, having played two straight games decided by more than seven points — a 22-point win over Ball State followed by a 15-point loss to Army. It should be another double-digit margin this weekend. Prediction: Eastern Michigan 34, Central Michigan 21

 

Syracuse at Wake Forest

One of the best stories from last weekend’s action: Wake Forest’s Matt Colburn rushing for 243 yards in a 56–35 win over Louisville. Three years earlier, Colburn had been committed to Louisville until Bobby Petrino, just days before signing day, asked Colburn to take a grayshirt and delay his enrollment. The running back from South Carolina said no thanks, signed with Wake Forest and exacted some sweet revenge on Saturday. Prediction: Syracuse 37, Wake Forest 34

 

Iowa State at Kansas

Kansas beat TCU last week, its first Big 12 win since defeating Texas 24–21 in November 2016. The Jayhawks have not won two league games in a season since 2008. Prediction: Iowa State 38, Kansas 10

 

Louisville at Clemson

All you need to know about the state of each program: Clemson is favored by 37.5 points. Prediction: Clemson 51, Louisville 0

 

Memphis at East Carolina

Memphis, at 1–3 in the league, is virtually eliminated from the AAC West race. The goal now: reaching bowl-eligibility for a fifth-straight season. Prediction: Memphis 44, East Carolina 17

 

Michigan State at Maryland

Rocky Lombardi made the start at quarterback for Michigan State last weekend and delivered with a 318-yard, two-TD performance as the Spartans topped Purdue 23–12 in East Lansing. It’s not known if starter Brian Lewerke will be available for the this trip to College Park. The story, however, in College Park this weekend is that DJ Durkin will not be on the sidelines as Maryland's head coach. Prediction: Maryland 27, Michigan State 20

 

Nebraska at Ohio State

Ohio State returns to action for the first time since losing at Purdue two weeks ago. The Buckeyes remain in the hunt for a spot in the College Football Playoff but will clearly need to play better down the stretch. Prediction: Ohio State 37, Nebraska 24

 

Oklahoma State at Baylor

Oklahoma State broke out of a midseason slump with a 38–35 win over Texas. Are the Pokes poised for a late-season surge, or was that a one-game blip on an otherwise forgivable season? The guess here it’s the latter — but that doesn’t mean Mike Gundy’s club won’t win in Waco this weekend. Prediction: Oklahoma State 31, Baylor 28

 

Rutgers at Wisconsin

Rutgers is one of four Power 5 teams without a win in league play (Arkansas, Missouri and Louisville are the others). That will still be the case after this trip to Madison. Prediction: Wisconsin 34, Rutgers 10

 

South Carolina at Ole Miss

South Carolina’s last three SEC games have been decided by a total of eight points. The Gamecocks are 2–1 over that stretch, with wins over Missouri and Tennessee and a loss to Texas A&M. Ole Miss, on the other hand, has played only one game on the season decided by 15 points or fewer — a 37–33 comeback win over Arkansas three weeks ago. Prediction: South Carolina 33, Ole Miss 30

 

Texas A&M at Auburn

Texas A&M lost for the first time this season to a team not ranked in the top two in the nation, dropping a 28–13 decision at Mississippi State. The Aggies now face an Auburn team that has already lost two home games (vs. LSU and Tennessee). Prediction: Texas A&M 21, Auburn 20

 

Georgia Tech at North Carolina

Georgia Tech scored 49 points and rolled up 465 yards of offense without completing a pass last Thursday night at Thursday. And the Jackets did that with backup quarterback Tobias Oliver in the lineup. Starter TaQuon Marshall should be back this week. Prediction: Georgia Tech 34, North Carolina 33

 

San Jose State at Wyoming

San Jose State lost its first seven games of the season, but the Spartans were showing some progress in Year 2 under Brent Brennan, notably in three-point losses to Hawaii and at San Diego State. Last week, SJSU broke through with its first win of the season, beating UNLV 50–37. This week, the Spartans should be able to keep things close against a Wyoming team that is 2–6 against FBS opponents and struggles mightily on offense. Prediction: Wyoming 24, San Jose State 17

 

Texas State at Georgia State

Texas State beat an FBS opponent for the first time season, topping New Mexico State 27–20 on Saturday. The Bobcats have not won a Sun Belt game since last October. Prediction: Georgia State 24, Texas State 20

 

Georgia Southern at ULM

This is huge sandwich game for surging Georgia Southern, which knocked off Appalachian State 34–14 last Thursday and hosts Troy next Saturday. The Eagles need to remain focused on ULM. Prediction: Georgia Southern 31, ULM 20

 

Marshall at Southern Miss

Southern Miss has lost three of four games, most notably a 20–17 setback at Charlotte last week. The Golden Eagles must now win three of their final four to become bowl eligible. Marshall, at 3–1 in the league, remains in the hunt for the C-USA East title. The Herd host division-leading FIU in the finale. Prediction: Marshall 30, Southern Miss 20

 

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Arkansas State and South Alabama are both 1–3 in the Sun Belt yet are only a game back in the West. The winner stays alive. The loser is basically eliminated. Prediction: Arkansas State 28, South Alabama 17

 

Florida State at NC State

Here’s another sign of how far Florida State has fallen: The Seminoles are a 7-point underdog to an NC State team that has lost two straight and allowed a total of 92 points in those two games. Prediction: NC State 41, Florida State 33

 

Iowa at Purdue

The question last week was how would Purdue handle prosperity after its emotional win over Ohio State. The answer: not well. The Boilermakers lost at Michigan State, which didn’t have starting quarterback Brian Lewerke. Prediction: Iowa 24, Purdue 20

 

Kansas State at TCU

TCU has lost three straight Big 12 games for the first time since 2013. Kansas State is 1–4 in the league after Saturday’s 51–14 loss at Oklahoma. Things aren’t going well for two programs that have enjoyed a lot of success in recent years. Prediction: TCU 21, Kansas state 20

 

Louisiana at Troy

Troy has stubbed its toe in two non-conference games (losses to Boise State and Liberty) but is 4–0 in the Sun Belt, with all but one of the wins by 17 points or more. Billy Napier has quietly done a nice job in Year 1 at Louisiana. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4–4 overall (4–2 against teams not in the SEC) and beat Sun Belt power Arkansas State last week. Prediction: Troy 38, Louisiana 24

 

Liberty at Massachusetts

It was hardly a blip on the national radar, but UMass knocked off regional rival UConn 22–17 on the road last Saturday. It was the first time the teams had played since 2012, when UConn won 37–0. Liberty, which is coming off a bye, has won three of its last four games, including a 22–16 win at Troy. Prediction: Liberty 33, UMass 20

 

Minnesota at Illinois

Minnesota’s offense is improving as the 2018 season progresses. The Golden Gophers have averaged 7.1, 6.6 and 7.5 yards per play in its last three games (one win, two losses) after averaging no more than 4.8 in their previous four games. Prediction: Minnesota 34, Illinois 13

 

Navy at Cincinnati

Cincinnati returns home after splitting a pair of overtime games, a loss at Temple and a win at SMU. Navy is 0–3 on the road (0–4 if you include neutral-site games) and has lost five straight overall. Prediction: Cincinnati 31, Navy 16

 

Tulane at South Florida

South Florida lost for the first time last week, giving up 57 points and 682 yards in a 21-point loss at Houston. The Bulls have a tough closing stretch after this visit from Tulane; they play at Cincinnati and Temple before returning home to face UCF. Prediction: South Florida 33, Tulane 27

 

Georgia at Kentucky

Kentucky’s dream season continued 15–14 win at Missouri on Saturday. The Cats now host Georgia in a winner-take-all battle for the SEC East title. Kroger Field should be rocking, but the home fans will not be pleased with the outcome. Prediction: Georgia 27, Kentucky 17

 

UTEP at Rice

There are some huge college football games on Saturday. This is not one of them. Prediction: Rice 20, UTEP 17

 

West Virginia at Texas

This is a pivotal game in the Big 12. Texas and West Virginia, along with Oklahoma, are tied atop the league standings with a 4–1 record. The winner remains in solid shape to play in the Big 12 Championship Game. The loser will be on the outside looking in (for now). Prediction: Texas 27, West Virginia 20

 

Boston College at Virginia Tech

Here’s some evidence that Boston College has taken a step forward as a program: The Eagles are a road favorite against a Power 5 opponent for the third time this season. Prediction: Boston College 27, Virginia Tech 23

 

Penn State at Michigan

The gap between Michigan and the No. 2 defense in the nation (Miami) is as big as the gap between Miami and the No. 12 defense (Washington). The Wolverines are the only team in the nation that has yet to give up at least 1,000 passing yards on the season. Prediction: Michigan 24, Penn State 13

 

Alcorn State at New Mexico State

It’s already the home finale for New Mexico State, which closes the season at BYU and at Liberty. Prediction: New Mexico State 37, Alcon State 17

 

Charlotte at Tennessee

Tennessee steps out of SEC play this week to face a Charlotte team that has not won a road game since November 2016. Prediction: Tennessee 38, Charlotte 0

 

Missouri at Florida

Missouri has been getting some respect from the boys in Vegas the last few weeks. The Tigers were a 7.5-point favorite over Kentucky last Saturday and are only a six-point dog at Florida this week. Missouri is 4–4 against the spread for the season but only 1–4 in games against Power 5 opponents. Florida is coming off a 36–17 loss to Georgia that snapped a five-game winning streak. The Gators can still win 10 games in the regular season, which would be a great accomplishment in Dan Mullen’s first season. Prediction: Florida 28, Missouri 20

 

Utah at Arizona State

Utah is alone in first place in the Pac-12 South. Arizona State is tied for last place. Only one game separates the two teams in the loss column. The final month of the season should be wild. Prediction: Utah 28, Arizona State 17

 

Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina

Appalachian State must rebound from a surprising loss at Georgia Southern last Thursday night. The Mountaineers are one game behind Georgia Southern and Troy in the Sun Belt East race. They close the season with Troy at home. Prediction: Appalachian State 30, Coastal Carolina 17

 

Duke at Miami (Fla.)

Lost in Miami’s recent struggles is the fact that the Canes are doing a great job on defense. They rank second nationally in total defense, allowing only 261.5 yards per game. Duke was in an offensive rut until last week’s trip to Pittsburgh; the Blue Devils erupted for 619 yards in a 54–45 loss. Prediction: Miami 21, Duke 17

 

Houston at SMU

Houston ranks second nationally in scoring, averaging 49.8 points per game, and has scored at least five touchdowns in each of its eight games. SMU, on the other hand, is struggling to put points on the board. The Mustangs are averaging only 21.9 points in seven games against FBS foes. It’s hard to envision them keeping pace with the Cougars. Prediction: Houston 44, SMU 24

 

Connecticut at Tulsa

Tulsa is 1–7 overall and 0–4 in the AAC. Tulsa is an 18-point favorite over UConn. What in the name of Dan Orlovsky is going on in Storrs? Prediction: Tulsa 34, UConn 20

 

Notre Dame at Northwestern

It’s been a strange season at Northwestern. The Wildcats are 3–0 on the road but have lost at home to Duke and Akron. They are also in the driver’s seat in the Big Ten West race. Notre Dame has flirted with disaster several times but has remained unscathed in 2018. Expect another close call. Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Northwestern 20

 

FAU at FIU

Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic were the darlings of the offseason after the Owls won 11 games and averaged over 40 points in Kiffin’s first season as head coach. Well, there hasn’t been much talk about FAU of late. The Owls are 3–5 overall and 1–3 in Conference USA after losing at home to Louisiana Tech last weekend. FIU, meanwhile, is 6–2 overall (with losses to Indiana and Miami) and alone in first place in C-USA East with a 4–0 league mark. Prediction: FIU 34, Florida Atlantic 27

 

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State

Mississippi State is fresh of a breakthrough offensive performance against Texas A&M. The Bulldogs threw for 241 yards — a season-high in SEC play — and added 143 yards on the ground in a 28–13 win. They will need to maintain that type of balance to have success down the stretch of the season. Prediction: Mississippi State 47, Louisiana Tech 10

 

UTSA at UAB

UAB is on the verge of wrapping up a trip to the Conference USA Championship Game, an amazing achievement for a program that did not play a game two years ago. Prediction: UAB 37, UTSA 17

 

UCLA at Oregon

Chip Kelly makes his return to Oregon, where he compiled a 46–7 record in four years on the job from 2009-12. He already has lost six times in eight games in his first season at UCLA. Prediction: Oregon 33, UCLA 24

 

Alabama at LSU

This figures to be by far Alabama’s biggest test of the regular season. But how big of a test will it be? LSU is 7–1 overall and 4–1 in the SEC, highlighted by the 20-point win over Georgia in mid-October. But this is also a team that lost at Florida and had to rally to beat a mediocre Auburn team. Alabama, on the other hand, has barely broken a sweat en route to an 8–0 start. The Tide’s closest game has been a 45–23 win at home against Texas A&M. Alabama is simply too good. Prediction: Alabama 34, LSU 17

 

Oklahoma at Texas Tech

Oklahoma slipped off the national radar just a bit with its loss to Texas, but this is still a very good team with an elite offense. The Sooners lead the nation with a staggering 8.9 yards per play — better than any of OU’s Baker Mayfield-led teams. Texas Tech has been a pleasant surprise, but the Red Raiders will have trouble keeping pace with Kyler Murray & Co. Prediction: Oklahoma 48, Texas Tech 30

 

Stanford at Washington

Few would have guessed that this game would have so little national relevance, but that’s what happens when each team has three losses by the end of October. The game means more to Washington, which is in better shape in the Pac-12 North standings since it has yet to play Washington State. Prediction: Stanford 24, Washington 20

 

USC at Oregon State

You think it’s a coincidence that Clay Helton has seized control of the play-calling duties the week his team faces Oregon State — a team allowing 7.4 yards per play and 540.4 yards per game? Good timing, coach. Prediction: USC 31, Oregon State 17

 

BYU at Boise State

BYU has made some strides on offense in 2018, but the Cougars failed to score a touchdown last week in a 7–6 loss at home to Northern Illinois. It is the third time in the last two years they have not scored a touchdown and the eighth time in that span they’ve scored one TD or fewer. Prediction: Boise State 24, BYU 10

 

San Diego State at New Mexico

The Bob Davie era could be coming to an end at New Mexico. The Lobos gave up 61 points last week in a loss at Utah State and have lost three straight games to drop to 3–5. UNM might need to get to a bowl game to save Davie’s job. Prediction: San Diego State 28, New Mexico 13

 

Fresno State at UNLV

Tony Sanchez’s fourth season at UNLV has not gone well. The Rebels improved from two Mountain West wins in 2015 to three in ’16 to four in ’17 but have regressed this fall. They are 0–4 in the league and last week dropped a 50–37 decision to a previously winless San Jose State team. Prediction: Fresno State 38, UNLV 20

 

California at Washington State

California won a game without scoring an offensive touchdown. It’s fair to say the Bears offense will have to cross the goal line several times to hang with Wazzu this weekend. Prediction: Washington State 30, California 20

 

Utah State at Hawaii

Utah State entered the national rankings this week after a 61–19 win over UNLV improved the Aggies to 7–1 overall. Their only loss came by seven points at Michigan State in Week 1. Their best win? At BYU by 25 points. Prediction: Utah State 48, Hawaii 30

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