Welcome to Week 10 of the college football "upset watch" here at Athlon Sports!
Last week – for the first time all season – all five of our upset picks did not come to fruition. It happens, but the percentages remain in our favor. The bottom line is this: If your team makes this weekly list, you're probably uncomfortable leading up to and during the game.
Which team could be in danger this week? Let's take a look at the five teams on "upset watch" for Week 10.
Arkansas (vs. Liberty)
4 p.m. ET on SEC Network, live stream on fuboTV (Start your free trial)
Liberty continues to be underrated by the people who matter. Despite finally breaking into both the AP and Coaches polls at No. 23, they were not included in the first edition of this season's College Football Playoff Rankings. Now they'll travel to Fayetteville, Arkansas as a nearly two-touchdown underdog. The Razorbacks are riding a two-game winning streak over a pair of teams that are reeling for various reasons (BYU, Auburn). Liberty has had two weeks to prepare for this trip, and its last game was a blowout win over a common opponent – BYU. Things could get dicey for the Hog faithful Saturday night.
No. 17 North Carolina (at Virginia)
12 p.m. ET on ACC Network, live stream on fuboTV (Start your free trial)
The Tar Heels are in the driver's seat for a spot in the ACC Championship Game, currently on a collision course with Clemson. That said, they haven't been overly dominant or impressive in any of their wins outside of Virginia Tech – and looked downright bad in their loss to Notre Dame. Now they'll need to get themselves hyped up and not look past a Virginia team that has played a lot tougher than its record would indicate. The Cavaliers have nothing but bowl eligibility to play for and this is the South's Oldest Rivalry. North Carolina better be ready for a fight.
No. 16 Illinois (vs. Michigan State)
3:30 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network, live stream on fuboTV (Start your free trial)
Illinois keeps hearing people talk about how good they are. On the other side of the field, there will be a Michigan State team that keeps hearing about how bad they are. This game will be about talent and desire. The Spartans have the talent to a man to hang with and beat the Illini. The question will be whether or not they have the desire to do something about all of the naysayers. If Mel Tucker's bunch plays angry, this will get interesting.
No. 9 USC (vs. Cal)
10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, live stream on fuboTV (Start your free trial)
The Trojans are currently three-touchdown favorites heading into this Saturday night matchup in the LA Coliseum. The problem with that spread is that USC has two wins on the year by 21 points or more – and neither was to a Power 5 opponent. Lincoln Riley's team has looked good-not-great in its conference wins so far. Now they'll host a pesky Cal team that has been proven to be ready for a fight every week and fairly tough to put away. Don't think the Golden Bears wouldn't love to completely derail the Trojan football season under the Hollywood lights.
No. 4 Clemson (at Notre Dame)
7 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock
The spread in this one only favors Clemson by four points, but very few people expect this one to be close. When you peel back the layers, you'll find that Clemson has struggled in games where the talent in the trenches was close on both sides of the ball. Notre Dame has arguably more talent on its offensive and defensive lines than any team the Tigers have faced all season. They also have some skill players who will collect NFL checks someday. You don't really know which Notre Dame team will show up from week to week. Clemson better hope it's not the one that plays to its full potential.
— Written by J.P. Scott, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. His work has appeared on SI.com, FoxSports.com, Yahoo! SBNation and Bleacher Report. He is a three-time FWAA writing contest award winner. Follow him on Twitter @TheJPScott.