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College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections

James Franklin

James Franklin

With 11 weeks in the books, college football’s bowl and national title picture is starting to come into focus.

The fourth release of the BCS standings saw another change at the top. With Stanford’s victory over Oregon on Thursday night, Florida State is in the driver’s seat for the No. 2 spot and a shot at Alabama in the national championship. With a schedule that features games against Idaho, Syracuse and Florida in the regular season, it’s hard to find a loss on the Seminoles’ schedule. The ACC Championship should be the toughest remaining game, but Florida State will be favored by at least two touchdowns over every possible opponent.

Losing to Stanford knocked Oregon out of the national title picture, but the Ducks are still in good shape for a BCS bowl – if they win out. Although there’s a lot of football left this year, Clemson and Oregon could meet in the Orange Bowl, which could be one of the more intriguing BCS bowl matchups in recent years.

The SEC continues to be the toughest conference to sort out for bowl bids. Auburn gets a slight edge over South Carolina, Missouri and Texas A&M for the second BCS bowl spot. But this order is likely to change in the next few weeks, especially since Texas A&M still has to play Missouri and LSU, while South Carolina hosts in-state rival Clemson in the regular season finale. With Vanderbilt's win over Florida, the Commodores are one win away from bowl eligibility and still have Kentucky and Wake Forest on the schedule.

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The bowl season doesn’t start until December, but with less than one month to go in the season, it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like.

The post-Week 11 bowl projections are a mixture between projections for the next few weeks, how things would look if the season ended today, and the results from the first 11 weeks of action. Expect more changes over the next few weeks. With several teams projected to be right around the six-win mark, more at-large spots in bowls should open in the next month.

A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Maryland and Utah from BCS conferences. And Texas State, UTSA, Ohio, Bowling Green, Troy and Arkansas State from the non-BCS ranks.

College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections for 2013

Bowl

Tie-In

Date

Projection

New Mexico

Dec. 21

Pac-12 vs. MWC

Colo. State vs. Oregon State

Famous Idaho Potato

Dec. 21

MAC vs. MWC

UNLV vs. Buffalo

Las Vegas

Dec. 21

Pac-12 vs. MWC

Utah State vs. Arizona

New Orleans

Dec. 21

Sun Belt vs. CUSA

UL Lafayette vs. Tulane

Beef 'O' Brady's

Dec. 23

American vs. CUSA

Toledo* vs. MTSU

Hawaii

Dec. 24

MWC vs. CUSA

SJSU vs. Rice

Little Caesars Pizza

Dec. 26

MAC vs. Big Ten

No. Illinois vs. Syracuse*

Poinsettia

Dec. 26

Army vs. MWC

Boise State vs. Notre Dame*

Military

Dec. 27

CUSA vs. ACC

E. Carolina vs. Boston College

Texas

Dec. 27

Big 12 vs. Big Ten

K-State vs. Minnesota

Fight Hunger

Dec. 27

BYU vs. Pac-12

BYU vs. USC

Pinstripe

Dec. 28

American vs. Big 12

Rutgers vs. West Virginia

Belk

Dec. 28

American vs. ACC

Houston vs. Duke

Russell Athletic

Dec. 28

American vs. ACC

Louisville vs. Miami

Buffalo Wild Wings

Dec. 28

Big 12 vs. Big Ten

Texas vs. Nebraska

Armed Forces

Dec. 30

MWC vs. Navy

Navy vs. SDSU

Music City

Dec. 30

ACC vs. SEC

Ga. Tech vs. Ole Miss

Alamo

Dec. 30

Big 12 vs. Pac-12

Oklahoma vs. UCLA

Holiday

Dec. 30

Pac-12 vs. Big 12

Arizona State vs. Texas Tech

AdvoCare V100

Dec. 31

ACC vs. SEC

Pittsburgh vs. ULM*

Sun

Dec. 31

Pac-12 vs. ACC

North Carolina vs. Washington

Liberty

Dec. 31

SEC vs. CUSA

Tennessee vs. Marshall

Chick-fil-A

Dec. 31

SEC vs. ACC

Virginia Tech vs. Missouri

Gator

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

Georgia vs. Michigan

Heart of Dallas

Jan. 1

Big Ten vs. CUSA

North Texas vs. Iowa

Outback

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

Michigan State vs. South Carolina

Capital One

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

Wisconsin vs. Texas A&M

Rose

Jan. 1

BCS vs. BCS

Ohio State vs. Stanford

Fiesta

Jan. 1

BCS vs. BCS

Fresno State vs. Baylor

Sugar

Jan. 2

BCS vs. BCS

Auburn vs. UCF

Cotton

Jan. 3

SEC vs. Big 12

LSU vs. Oklahoma State

Orange

Jan. 3

BCS vs. BCS

Clemson vs. Oregon

BBVA Compass

Jan. 4

SEC vs. American

Vanderbilt vs. Cincinnati

GoDaddy

Jan. 5

MAC vs. Sun Belt

Ball State vs. Western Kentucky

National Title

Jan. 6

BCS vs. BCS

Alabama vs. Florida State

* Indicates conference is not expected to fill its alloted bowl slots, leaving an at-large spot available.

Bold indicates team has accepted bid to bowl.


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