College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections

Vanderbilt moved one step closer to bowl eligibility.

With 11 weeks in the books, college football’s bowl and national title picture is starting to come into focus.

The fourth release of the BCS standings saw another change at the top. With Stanford’s victory over Oregon on Thursday night, Florida State is in the driver’s seat for the No. 2 spot and a shot at Alabama in the national championship. With a schedule that features games against Idaho, Syracuse and Florida in the regular season, it’s hard to find a loss on the Seminoles’ schedule. The ACC Championship should be the toughest remaining game, but Florida State will be favored by at least two touchdowns over every possible opponent.

Losing to Stanford knocked Oregon out of the national title picture, but the Ducks are still in good shape for a BCS bowl – if they win out. Although there’s a lot of football left this year, Clemson and Oregon could meet in the Orange Bowl, which could be one of the more intriguing BCS bowl matchups in recent years.

The SEC continues to be the toughest conference to sort out for bowl bids. Auburn gets a slight edge over South Carolina, Missouri and Texas A&M for the second BCS bowl spot. But this order is likely to change in the next few weeks, especially since Texas A&M still has to play Missouri and LSU, while South Carolina hosts in-state rival Clemson in the regular season finale. With Vanderbilt's win over Florida, the Commodores are one win away from bowl eligibility and still have Kentucky and Wake Forest on the schedule.

The bowl season doesn’t start until December, but with less than one month to go in the season, it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like.

The post-Week 11 bowl projections are a mixture between projections for the next few weeks, how things would look if the season ended today, and the results from the first 11 weeks of action. Expect more changes over the next few weeks. With several teams projected to be right around the six-win mark, more at-large spots in bowls should open in the next month.

A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Maryland and Utah from BCS conferences. And Texas State, UTSA, Ohio, Bowling Green, Troy and Arkansas State from the non-BCS ranks.

College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections for 2013

Bowl Tie-In Date Projection
New Mexico Dec. 21 Pac-12 vs. MWC Colo. State vs. Oregon State
Famous Idaho Potato Dec. 21 MAC vs. MWC UNLV vs. Buffalo
Las Vegas Dec. 21 Pac-12 vs. MWC Utah State vs. Arizona
New Orleans Dec. 21 Sun Belt vs. CUSA UL Lafayette vs. Tulane
Beef 'O' Brady's Dec. 23 American vs. CUSA Toledo* vs. MTSU
Hawaii Dec. 24 MWC vs. CUSA SJSU vs. Rice
Little Caesars Pizza Dec. 26 MAC vs. Big Ten No. Illinois vs. Syracuse*
Poinsettia Dec. 26 Army vs. MWC Boise State vs. Notre Dame*
Military Dec. 27 CUSA vs. ACC E. Carolina vs. Boston College
Texas Dec. 27 Big 12 vs. Big Ten K-State vs. Minnesota
Fight Hunger Dec. 27 BYU vs. Pac-12 BYU vs. USC
Pinstripe Dec. 28 American vs. Big 12 Rutgers vs. West Virginia
Belk Dec. 28 American vs. ACC Houston vs. Duke
Russell Athletic Dec. 28 American vs. ACC Louisville vs. Miami
Buffalo Wild Wings Dec. 28 Big 12 vs. Big Ten Texas vs. Nebraska
Armed Forces Dec. 30 MWC vs. Navy Navy vs. SDSU
Music City Dec. 30 ACC vs. SEC Ga. Tech vs. Ole Miss
Alamo Dec. 30 Big 12 vs. Pac-12 Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Holiday Dec. 30 Pac-12 vs. Big 12 Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
AdvoCare V100 Dec. 31 ACC vs. SEC Pittsburgh vs. ULM*
Sun Dec. 31 Pac-12 vs. ACC North Carolina vs. Washington
Liberty Dec. 31 SEC vs. CUSA Tennessee vs. Marshall
Chick-fil-A Dec. 31 SEC vs. ACC Virginia Tech vs. Missouri
Gator Jan. 1 SEC vs. Big Ten Georgia vs. Michigan
Heart of Dallas Jan. 1 Big Ten vs. CUSA North Texas vs. Iowa
Outback Jan. 1 SEC vs. Big Ten Michigan State vs. South Carolina
Capital One Jan. 1 SEC vs. Big Ten Wisconsin vs. Texas A&M
Rose Jan. 1 BCS vs. BCS Ohio State vs. Stanford
Fiesta Jan. 1 BCS vs. BCS Fresno State vs. Baylor
Sugar Jan. 2 BCS vs. BCS Auburn vs. UCF
Cotton Jan. 3 SEC vs. Big 12 LSU vs. Oklahoma State
Orange Jan. 3 BCS vs. BCS Clemson vs. Oregon
BBVA Compass Jan. 4 SEC vs. American Vanderbilt vs. Cincinnati
GoDaddy Jan. 5 MAC vs. Sun Belt Ball State vs. Western Kentucky
National Title Jan. 6 BCS vs. BCS Alabama vs. Florida State

* Indicates conference is not expected to fill its alloted bowl slots, leaving an at-large spot available.

Bold indicates team has accepted bid to bowl.


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