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College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections

Athlon projects the postseason after Week 11.

College football’s 2014 season has reached its final stretch run, and the bowl and national title picture is starting to clear. The playoff committee will release its third set of rankings on Tuesday this week, which should give fans, coaches and players a better idea of what the committee values heading into the last few weeks of the season.

 

The new playoff format has added a new layer of intrigue, as four teams – instead of two – will have a shot at the national championship once the bowl pairings are announced in early December.

 

With 11 weeks in the books, it’s time to take a look at what the bowl picture might hold for each conference and team this year. The post-Week 11 bowl projections are a mixture between picks for the next few weeks, how things would look if the season ended today, and the results from the first 11 weeks of action. Expect several changes over the next few weeks.

 

Teams on the projection bubble: Akron, Texas State, Fresno State, USF, Oregon State, ULM, San Jose State, Northwestern, Michigan, Virginia, North Carolina, Oklahoma State, Kentucky and Arkansas. Remember: It’s only Week 11. Several changes are coming, and it’s impossible to project all of the wins and losses the rest of the way considering how much changes week-to-week in college football.
 

College Football's Post-Week 11 Bowl Projections
Bowl Date Tie-In Projection
New Orleans Dec. 20 Sun Belt vs.
Mountain West
 UL Lafayette vs.
Air Force 
New Mexico Dec. 20 C-USA vs.
Mountain West
 UTEP vs.
Utah State 
Las Vegas Dec. 20 Mountain West vs.
Pac-12
 Boise State vs.
Stanford 
Famous Idaho Potato Dec. 20 MAC vs. 
Mountain West
 Bowling Green vs.
Nevada 
Camellia Dec. 20 MAC vs.
Sun Belt
 Ohio vs.
Arkansas State 
Miami Beach Dec. 22 American vs.
BYU
 East Carolina vs.
BYU 
Boca Raton Dec. 23 C-USA vs.
MAC
 UAB vs.
Western Michigan 
Poinsettia Dec. 23

Mountain West vs.
Navy

 Colorado State vs.
Navy 
Bahamas Dec. 24 C-USA vs.
MAC
 MTSU vs.
Northern Illinois 
Hawaii Dec. 24 C-USA vs.
Mountain West
 Western Kentucky vs.
San Diego State 
Heart of Dallas Dec. 26 Big Ten vs.
C-USA
 Rutgers vs.
Rice 
Quick Lane Dec. 26 ACC vs.
Big Ten
 Boston College vs.
Penn State 
St. Petersburg Dec. 26 ACC vs. 
American
 Virginia Tech vs.
UCF 
Military Dec. 27 ACC vs.
American
 Pittsburgh vs.
Cincinnati 
Sun Dec. 27 ACC vs.
Pac-12
 Louisville vs.
Utah 
Independence Dec. 27 ACC vs.
SEC
 NC State vs.
Louisiana Tech* 
Pinstripe Dec. 27 ACC vs.
Big Ten
 Georgia Tech vs.
Maryland 
Holiday Dec. 27 Big Ten vs.
Pac-12
 Wisconsin vs.
USC 
Liberty Dec. 29 SEC vs. 
Big 12
 Tennessee vs.
West Virginia 
Russell Athletic Dec. 29 ACC vs.
Big 12
 Notre Dame vs.
Oklahoma 
Texas Dec. 29 Big 12 vs. 
SEC
 Texas vs.
Florida 
Music City Dec. 30 ACC/Big Ten vs.
SEC
 Iowa vs.
South Carolina 
Belk Dec. 30 ACC vs.
SEC
 Duke vs.
Missouri 
San Francisco Dec. 30 Big Ten vs.
Pac-12
 Minnesota vs.
Arizona 
Outback Jan. 1 Big Ten vs.
SEC
 Nebraska vs. 
LSU 
Citrus Jan. 1 Big Ten/ACC vs.
SEC
 Michigan State vs.
Georgia 
Armed Forces Jan. 2 American vs. 
Big 12/Army
 Houston vs.
California* 
Taxslayer Jan. 2 ACC/Big Ten vs.
SEC
 Miami vs.
Texas A&M 
Alamo Jan. 2 Big 12 vs. 
Pac-12
 Kansas State vs.
UCLA 
Cactus Jan. 2 Big 12 vs.
Pac-12
 Washington vs.
Temple*  
Birmingham Jan. 3 American vs.
SEC
 Memphis vs.
Central Michigan* 
GoDaddy Jan. 4 MAC vs. 
Sun Belt
 Toledo vs.
South Alabama 
       
New Year's Bowls
Peach Dec. 31 At-large vs.
At-large
 Marshall vs.
Ole Miss 
Fiesta Dec. 31 At-large vs.
At-large

 Baylor vs.

Arizona State 

Orange Dec. 31 ACC vs.
Big Ten/SEC/ND
 Clemson vs.
Auburn 
Cotton Jan. 1 At-large vs.
At-large
 TCU vs. 
Ohio State 
       
Related: Projecting the Playoff Teams After Week 11
Rose Jan. 1 Playoff
Semifinal
 Florida State vs.
Alabama 
Sugar Jan. 1 Playoff
Semifinal
 Mississippi State vs.
Oregon 
National Title Jan. 12 Semifinal Winner vs.
Semifinal Winner
 Mississippi State vs.
Florida State 

* Indicates an at-large selection. Conference not projected to have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill the conference alignment. 

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