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College Football's Post-Week 5 Bowl Projections

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West Virginia’s upset win over Oklahoma State on Saturday shook up the Big 12 power rankings, and also gave the Mountaineers a good chance to get bowl eligible. West Virginia doesn’t have a favorable schedule the rest of the way but still has to play Kansas and Iowa State – two games it should be favored in.

As West Virginia’s win over Oklahoma State illustrates, there’s a small margin of error when it comes to reaching six victories for some programs.

Another result from Week 5 that could have significant bowl implications was Notre Dame’s loss to Oklahoma. The Fighting Irish do not have a bowl tie-in for this season and were projected by most to reach a BCS game in 2013. However, with two losses, Notre Dame is unlikely to reach a BCS bowl. The Fighting Irish will find a spot as an at-large team, but they need some help from other conferences not filling all of their tie-ins.

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College football's bowl season is still a few months away, but it's never too early to take a look at what the matchups might look like. With only five weeks of results in the books, it's hard to make long-term projections about teams, especially with several teams still playing overmatched non-conference games. But with conference play right around the corner, we should be able to get a better grasp on what teams will be able to reach the six-win mark.

With little data to work with, the post-Week 5 bowl projections are a mixture between preseason projections, how things would look if the season ended today, and a small dose of the results so far this year. Expect more changes over the next few weeks, especially as we see how teams perform in conference games.

A few teams barely missed the projections this week, including Boston College, Virginia, Mississippi State, Washington State, Arkansas and Illinois from BCS conferences. And Texas State, Arkansas State and Toledo from the non-BCS ranks.
As the season progresses, it will be easier to project which teams will get to the six-win mark or finish below.

College Football's Post-Week 5 Bowl Projections for 2013

Bowl

Tie-In

Date

Projection

New Mexico

Dec. 21

Pac-12 vs. MWC

Utah vs. Wyoming

Famous Idaho Potato

Dec. 21

MAC vs. MWC

Ball State vs. Nevada

Las Vegas

Dec. 21

Pac-12 vs. MWC

Oregon State vs. Fresno St

New Orleans

Dec. 21

Sun Belt vs. CUSA

UL Lafayette vs. Tulane

Beef 'O' Brady's

Dec. 23

American vs. CUSA

Ohio* vs. MTSU

Hawaii

Dec. 24

MWC vs. CUSA

San Jose State vs. Rice

Little Caesars Pizza

Dec. 26

MAC vs. Big Ten

N Illinois vs. Minnesota

Poinsettia

Dec. 26

Army vs. MWC

Notre Dame* vs. Boise St

Military

Dec. 27

CUSA vs. ACC

Marshall vs. N Carolina

Texas

Dec. 27

Big 12 vs. Big Ten

TCU vs. Iowa

Kraft Fight Hunger

Dec. 27

BYU vs. Pac-12

BYU vs. Arizona

Pinstripe

Dec. 28

American vs. Big 12

Cincy vs. West Va.

Belk

Dec. 28

American vs. ACC

Rutgers vs. Ga Tech

Russell Athletic

Dec. 28

American vs. ACC

UCF vs. Va Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings

Dec. 28

Big 12 vs. Big Ten

Texas vs. Nebraska

Armed Forces

Dec. 30

MWC vs. Navy

Utah State vs. Navy

Music City

Dec. 30

ACC vs. SEC

Pittsburgh vs. Auburn

Alamo

Dec. 30

Big 12 vs. Pac-12

Okla. State vs. UCLA

Holiday

Dec. 30

Pac-12 vs. Big 12

Wash vs. Texas Tech

AdvoCare V100

Dec. 31

ACC vs. SEC

NC State vs. Tennessee

Sun

Dec. 31

Pac-12 vs. ACC

Arizona St vs. Maryland

Liberty

Dec. 31

SEC vs. CUSA

Missouri vs. E Carolina

Chick-fil-A

Dec. 31

SEC vs. ACC

Miami vs. Ole Miss

Gator

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

Florida vs. Michigan St

Heart of Dallas

Jan. 1

Big Ten vs. CUSA

Kansas State vs. Tulsa

Outback

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

S Carolina vs. Wisconsin

Capital One

Jan. 1

SEC vs. Big Ten

N'western vs. A&M

Rose

Jan. 1

BCS vs. BCS

Oregon vs. Michigan

Fiesta

Jan. 1

BCS vs. BCS

Stanford vs. Oklahoma

Sugar

Jan. 2

BCS vs. BCS

Georgia vs. Florida State

Cotton

Jan. 3

SEC vs. Big 12

LSU vs. Baylor

Orange

Jan. 3

BCS vs. BCS

Clemson vs. Louisville

BBVA Compass

Jan. 4

SEC vs. American

Vanderbilt vs. Houston

GoDaddy

Jan. 5

MAC vs. Sun Belt

BGSU vs. Western Ky

National Title

Jan. 6

BCS vs. BCS

Alabama vs. Ohio State


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