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Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the ACC

Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the ACC

Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the ACC

Clemson has the talent to win the ACC Atlantic once again in 2019 although Syracuse is getting a lot of publicity and attention as a team who could dethrone the Tigers if things break right. Meanwhile, the ACC Coastal is wide open once again with as many as four teams considered contenders for the top spot.

FanDuel Sportsbook in New Jersey has posted all of the win totals, but for the ACC, we'll take a look at Caesar's out of Las Vegas as their numbers are a lot sharper. Case in point, FanDuel opened Syracuse at five wins and that was quickly bet up by everyone who thought it was a crazy number.

ACC Atlantic

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Boston College Eagles

Over 6.5 wins +130...Under 6.5 wins -150

Non-Conference: Richmond, Kansas, at Rutgers, at Notre Dame

Boston College returns nine starters including offensive stalwarts Anthony Brown and AJ Dillon. Mike Bajakian, who was quarterbacks coach for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, replaces Scot Loeffler, now head coach at Bowling Green, at offensive coordinator. Kobay White is one of the few proven options at wide receiver and the offensive line is replacing three starters. This team's identity has been based off its defense and now a lot of the star power is gone. The Eagles stumbled down the stretch, losing their last three before their bowl game was canceled due to weather.

Verdict: I lean to the under, but not at that price.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Clemson

Clemson Tigers

Over 11.5 wins -110...Under 11.5 wins -110
Non-Conference: Texas A&M, Charlotte, Wofford, at South Carolina

The defending national champions figure to be right back into the mix once again with Trevor Lawrence leading the way at quarterback. He has Travis Etienne in the backfield and talented targets in Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross. The offensive line is pretty much intact too so the Tigers should remain explosive on offense. The big questions will come on the defense where the defensive line is reloading after three of the starters went in the first round of the draft. The secondary has some returning talent and linebacker Isaiah Simmons should hold things together. Clemson's toughest games appear to be road dates with Syracuse and NC State. Should be another banner year for the Tigers.

Verdict: I lean to the under as I think Syracuse could knock Clemson off in week three.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: FSU

Florida State Seminoles

Over 7 wins -130...Under 7 wins +110

Non-Conference: vs. Boise State (Jacksonville, Fla.), ULM, Alabama State, at Florida

Year one of Willie Taggart didn't go so well as the team lost four of their final five and missed the bowl season. This year, the Seminoles hope for more success with six starters back on offense and an intriguing battle between James Blackman and Alex Hornibrook at quarterback. The defense has eight starters back with the secondary being a strength. We'll see what FSU has right off the bat when the Noles take on Boise State in Jacksonville. Playing at Clemson and Florida will not be easy and Syracuse comes to Tallahassee in late October.

Verdict: The under might be worth a look here as I think Florida State could end up with six or seven wins.

College Football Top 25: Louisville

Louisville Cardinals

Over 3.5 wins -125...Under 3.5 wins +105

Non-Conference: Notre Dame, Eastern Kentucky, vs. Western Kentucky (Nashville, Tenn.), at Kentucky

Scott Satterfield comes over from Appalachian State to take over for Bobby Petrino. This team was horrendous in all sorts of categories last year averaging 20 points per game while giving up 44. The biggest improvement will come when and if the Cardinals find a quarterback. A downturn was expected considering they were trying to replace Lamar Jackson, but Jawon Pass and Malik Cunningham have not been very productive. The two combined for nine touchdown passes and 13 interceptions. Bryan Brown becomes the fourth defensive coordinator in four years and he's got nine starters back. It's going to be a long season potentially.

Verdict: The under really looks intriguing at that price. This team could be absolutely awful.

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NC State Wolfpack

Over 7.5 wins +120...Under 7.5 wins -140

Non-Conference: East Carolina, Western Carolina, at West Virginia, Ball State

The Wolfpack scheduled this year to get off to a fast start as evidenced by getting three winnable home games right out of the gate. They have to move on from quarterback Ryan Finley, as well as a pair of 1,000-yard receivers in Kelvin Harmon and Jakobi Meyers, and 1,000-yard rusher Reggie Gallaspy. There are some interesting options at quarterback with Matthew McKay and Devin Leary as well as Bailey Hockman all in the mix. The defense may have to carry the load early with eight starters back. Dave Doeren's bunch could be a handful late in the season with a stretch of three at four at home, starting with a visit from Clemson on Nov. 9.

Verdict: I came up with seven or eight wins so no play here.

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Syracuse Orange

Over 7.5 wins -140...Under 7.5 wins +120

Non-Conference: at Liberty, at Maryland, Western Michigan, Holy Cross

The Orange are widely considered to be the biggest threat to Clemson in the Atlantic. They beat them two years ago in the Dome and lost a close battle last year. Syracuse will have to move on without quarterback Eric Dungey, but Tommy DeVito is a good place to start. He got his feet wet last year but the reviews were mixed. Two big transfers should help on offense in RB Abdul Adams and WR Trishton Jackson. The defense lost some key pieces, but also have a stout front line with Alton Robinson and Kendall Coleman along with McKinley Williams. The Clemson game is huge but Syracuse can't take for granted the two matchups (at Maryland, vs. Western Michigan) that sandwich the showdown with the Tigers.

Verdict: I think the over is a real nice play here. I came up with eight or nine wins.

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Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Over 5.5 wins -135...Under 5.5 wins +115

Non-Conference: Utah State, at Rice, North Carolina, Elon

Wake Forest is actually hosting North Carolina for a non-conference game, so the Demon Deacons will play nine ACC opponents this fall. Dave Clawson has just nine starters returning so there will be new faces in quite a few key places. Cade Carney is as solid as they come at running back and he will have to carry the load until the quarterback position becomes more settled. Sam Hartman or Jamie Newman are vying to be the starter after both enjoyed some success running the offense last season. The defense is short on experience and has much room to improve after giving up 33 points per game in 2018. Wake has three straight at home in October before playing three tough road games (at Virginia Tech, Clemson and Syracuse) to close out the slate.

Verdict: The money move is a good one as I think going 7-5 is a reasonable expectation.

ACC Coastal

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Duke Blue Devils

Over 5.5 wins -150...Under 5.5 wins +135

Non-Conference: vs. Alabama (Atlanta), North Carolina A&T, at Middle Tennessee, Notre Dame

Quite the start to the 2019 campaign for the Daniel Jones-less Duke Blue Devils, who have to play an Alabama team in Atlanta that got crushed in the national title game. Quentin Harris got time last year so it's not a complete resetting under center for David Cutcliffe's team. Deon Jackson and Brittain Brown are a solid duo in the backfield with an offensive line that's pretty much back intact. The defense could be very good if everyone stays healthy. Mark Gilbert is one of the best corners in the conference, but he suffered a season-ending injury early last year. The defense will miss linebacker Joe Giles-Harris though as he seemingly made every tackle.

Verdict: Slight lean to the under because Duke has some tough road games sprinkled throughout the schedule.

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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Over 4 wins +140...Under 4 wins -160

Non-Conference: South Florida, The Citadel, at Temple, Georgia

It's going to be really weird not to see this team run the triple option because Paul Johnson is out and Temple's Geoff Collins is in. He's planning to run a more pro-style attack with a lot of Johnson's recruits. Quarterback, in particular, appears to be an issue because of the system change. Collins also has a lot of work to do on defense where only three starters return including a pair in the secondary. Should be interesting to see how the game at Temple to close out September goes for the former Owls head coach.

Verdict: I came up with four wins so no play here.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Miami

Miami Hurricanes

Over 8.5 wins EVEN...Under 8.5 wins -120

Non-Conference: vs. Florida (Orlando, Fla.), Bethune-Cookman, Central Michigan, at FIU

Manny Diaz is a very interesting hire as he's made this defense outstanding, but what will his influence be on the offense? The Hurricanes have one of the best linebacking groups in the country in Michael Pinckney, Shaquille Quarterman and Zach McCloud. One key for Miami is stabilizing the quarterback position with Ohio State transfer Tate Martell, N'Kosi Perry and Jarren Williams all vying for the job. Jeff Thomas and Buffalo transfer K.J. Osborn should help ease the QB transition. The rest of the offense could be a big question mark. After five straight at home, the Canes close out with four of their final five on the road.

Verdict: Slight lean to the under. I'm not as big of a buyer on the Canes.

North Carolina Football Schedule 2019

North Carolina Tar Heels

Over 5 wins -125...Under 5 wins +105

Non-Conference: vs. South Carolina (Charlotte), at Wake Forest, Appalachian State, Mercer

Many are curious to see how Mack Brown will fare in his return to the sidelines and growing pains for the Tar Heels should be expected. Ten starters return but this is a team that needs to improve quite a bit on both sides of the ball. Sam Howell, Cade Fortin and Jace Ruder are competing for the starting quarterback job. Howell is a highly touted true freshman who could get the nod with North Carolina in rebuilding mode. Whoever is at quarterback will have a strong RB duo (Michael Carter and Antonio Williams) to lean on. The defense has to get better against the run. Drawing Clemson and NC State in conference ACC crossover games, as well as South Carolina and Appalachian State in non-conference matchups, only adds to the degree of difficulty. This could be a tough homecoming for Brown.

Verdict: I come up with four or five wins so lean to the under especially at a plus price.

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Pittsburgh Panthers

Over 5.5 wins -150...Under 5.5 wins +130

Non-Conference: Ohio, at Penn State, UCF, Delaware

Pitt won the ACC Coastal last year but will have some work to do to pull off the repeat. Kenny Pickett threw for nearly 2,000 yards and 12 touchdowns for the Panthers last season. He's got a solid group of wide receivers back, but there are holes in other places. Only one offensive line starter returns and Pitt also must replace a pair of 1,000-yard rushers. The defense has five starters back led by Damar Hamlin and Dane Jackson in the secondary. That side of the ball closed with a flurry to help claim the division. There's a chance for a fast start with four of the first five at home, including a pivotal season opener against Virginia and a visit from UCF.

Verdict: Slight lean to the over, but not at this price.

Virginia: college football picks against the spread

Virginia Cavaliers

Over 7.5 wins -110...Under 7.5 wins -110

Non-Conference: William & Mary, ODU, at Notre Dame, Liberty

The Cavaliers have a very good chance at winning the Coastal as they have the one piece a lot of their competition doesn't and that's a stable quarterback. Bryce Perkins accounted for more than 3,500 yards of offense to go along with 25 touchdown passes and just nine interceptions. He loses some key skill position guys, but I like receivers Hasise Dubois and Joe Reed as well as a couple of graduate transfers. The defense is going to be strong with Bryce Hall, the best corner in the ACC. Linebackers Charles Snowden and Jordan Mack and nose tackle Eli Hanback are the key returnees in the front seven. UVA closes out with three straight at home, including the annual rivalry game with Virginia Tech.

Verdict: The over here is probably my favorite play in the Coastal.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech Hokies

Over 8 wins -115...Under 8 wins -105

Non-Conference: ODU, Furman, Rhode Island, at Notre Dame

The Hokies limped down the stretch but were able to extend their bowl streak. The key for Justin Fuente is to show some signs of progress after a couple of uneven seasons. Ryan Willis is back at quarterback following Josh Jackson's transfer to Maryland but Quincy Patterson is believed to be the future at the position. Damon Hazelton is a very good wide receiver while there are several options in the backfield. The offensive line could be pretty strong if Coastal Carolina transfer Brock Hoffman wins his appeal about his eligibility. On defense, there are building blocks with on all three levels with DT Jarrod Hewitt, LB Dax Hollifield and SS Reggie Floyd. The schedule lines up nicely for another bowl bid but Virginia Tech is hoping for more.

Verdict: The Hokies should go undefeated rather easily at home so the over is worth a look.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.