We are in the month of June and it's never too early to start working on college football win totals. The Vegas sportsbooks are taking their sweet time releasing the totals on teams outside of the Power 5, but FanDuel Sportsbook which is only available in Jersey provided us with their opinions on everyone.
For those who have not previously read my over/under articles, I basically provide my thoughts and information on every team in college and pro football. I went through every team before the numbers came out so I could not be affected by the market. I base a lot of my college football handicapping on returning starters, non-conference opponents and if there are any spot plays.
With that let's take a look at Conference USA where there are some intriguing teams:
Note: Over/under totals provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.
Conference USA East Division
Over 4.5 wins -108...Under 4.5 wins -108
Non-Conference Games: Gardner-Webb, at Appalachian State, UMass, at Clemson
Will Healy was one of the better hires of the offseason and he'll be put to the test early with the 49ers. Last year they went 5-7 and have just five starters back on offense. Chris Reynolds and Benny LeMay return in the backfield and both of them were pretty solid. Reynolds had just 154 passing attempts as a freshman and has some competition to hold off for the job. The best WR back is Victor Tucker, but Healy brought in a lot of fresh talent. The defense has eight starters back, but is switching to a 4-2-5 scheme. This team was ninth nationally against the run so that's a solid place to start. The problems came when teams took to the air.
Verdict: This number is pretty good. I have them going 4-8.
Florida Atlantic Owls
Over 8 wins EVEN....Under 8 wins -120
Non-Conference Games: at Ohio State, UCF, at Ball State, Wagner
Lane Kiffin's second year was nowhere near as good as his first as the Owls went 5-7. The offense brings six starters back, but it's who is not that is a bit of a surprise. WR Jovon Durante and RB Kerrith Whyte are gone from that side of the ball. Quarterback Chris Robison was just recently reinstated after being suspended for the spring. With him missing practice, Indiana transfer Nick Tronti got some extra reps along with several others. Whoever is under center will be targeting Harrison Bryant and Willie Wright quite a bit. The defense will have its third coordinator in three years. The back end is strong, but up front could be a struggle. FAU has to be better in one-possession games if the Owls want to take the next step.
Verdict: Not a bad number but I have a slight lean to the under. Don't love it though.
Over 7.5 wins +120....Under 7.5 wins -140
Non-Conference Games: at Tulane, New Hampshire, UMass, Miami
The Panthers went 9-4 last year and return a lot of the offense that helped them get there. James Morgan was very good with 26 touchdowns and seven interceptions. His main wide receivers are back in Maurice Alexander and Austin Maloney. Several of the running backs have returned as well. The defense has a ton of talent back in the secondary, but the run defense was really suspect last year. The schedule features a stretch of five home games over six contests and a home game vs. Miami on Nov. 23.
Verdict: I know it's boring, but I think seven wins is what I came up with. Don't love it enough though to spend the -140.
Over 6.5 wins -176....Under 6.5 wins +140
Non-Conference Games: VMI, at Boise State, Ohio, Cincinnati
Doc Holliday's bunch should be the favorites in the C-USA East. The Herd have seven starters back on offense and six on defense. Isaiah Green had a mixed bag 2018 with 15 touchdowns, but also 10 interceptions. He's got to find a new top target with Tyre Brady gone. It could be Obi Obialo or someone else. The defense lost a ton of experience in the front seven and has a new coordinator in former Charlotte head coach Brad Lambert. The secondary could be really strong though.
Verdict: Love the over here as I had nine wins. Look to see if it moves to seven and jump on it with lower juice.