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Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the SEC

Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the SEC

Examining the Over/Under 2019 Win Totals for the SEC

The SEC figures to be ruled once again by Alabama and Georgia as both return really strong teams in 2019. The next tier of teams will try to close the gap, but I don't know if any of them have enough. Some of the teams have good offenses while others have good defenses. As Gus Malzahn says "It just means more" in the SEC.

Let's take a look at each team's win total courtesy of Caesars Entertainment out of Las Vegas.

SEC East

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Florida

Florida Gators

Over 9 wins +160...Under 9 wins -180
Non-Conference Games: vs. Miami (Orlando, Fla.), UT Martin, Florida State, Towson

The Gators are one of the few teams in this conference that challenge themselves outside of the SEC with two games against ACC rivals. Last year Dan Mullen led Florida to 10 wins with the help of an offense that averaged 35 points per game and a defense that gave up only 20. Feleipe Franks is back under center and his best threats are Lamical Perine at running back and Van Jefferson at wide receiver. The offensive line has just one starter back so that's a concern. Todd Grantham is back as defensive coordinator and he's got a really good secondary at his disposal. The Gators get a road game at Tennessee and two neutral contests against Miami and Georgia.

Verdict: I came up with nine or 10 wins and at that price, I'm looking at the over.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Georgia

Georgia Bulldogs

Over 11 wins +140...Under 11 wins -160
Non-Conference Games: Murray State, Arkansas State, Notre Dame, at Georgia Tech

Jake Fromm was magnificent for the Bulldogs with 30 touchdown passes to just six interceptions. Because of his success, Jacob Eason (Washington) and Justin Fields (Ohio State) have transferred. D'Andre Swift is back with Elijah Holyfield gone at running back. The questions on this side of the ball come at WR with the team's top three leading receivers (Riley Ridley, Mecole Hardman, Isaac Nauta) all gone and Jeremiah Holloman dismissed earlier this offseason. This means five-star Cal transfer Demetris Robertson has to step up and play to his potential. The defense has seven starters back and six 5-star recruits eager to get on the field. Rodrigo Blankenship is back kicking and that makes a difference.

Verdict: I came up with 11 wins so no play.

Kentucky football schedule

Kentucky Wildcats

Over 6.5 wins -125...Under 6.5 wins +105
Non-Conference Games: Toledo, Eastern Michigan, UT Martin, Louisville

Poor UT Martin from the FCS ranks has to play two SEC schools, but at least the Skyhawks get those paychecks. Kentucky won't match what it did last year going 10-3, but this team should see another bowl game and could be a threat for a potential upset or two along the way. Losing Benny Snell Jr. is huge, but QB Terry Wilson is back to lead the offense. Wilson accounted for more than 2,000 yards and 15 touchdowns. Lynn Bowden Jr. is the leading returning receiver with not a lot behind him. On defense, there will definitely be a decline with just four starters returning. The Wildcats held opponents to just 16.8 points per game. The secondary could be the biggest issue on defense for head coach Mark Stoops.

Verdict: Even with all of the turnover, I think the over is worth a look here.

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Missouri Tigers

Over 8 wins -150...Under 8 wins +130
Non-Conference Games: at Wyoming, West Virginia, SE Missouri State, Troy